The data is the surface area of sea ice in millions of square kilometres.
The data is sourced from the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
People who live in low lying areas are concerned about the amount of ice in the sea as when it melts they are worried about sea level rising and their homes flooding. “Even a modest rise in sea levels could cause flooding problems for low-lying coastal areas.”1
One of the main areas of ice in the world is at the North Pole, or the Arctic, so I am going to predict the surface area of the ice at the North Pole for the next two years.
I am going to use my forecasting of Arctic ice area to predict the effect this will have on sea level and how this might affect the flooding of coastal areas in the Pacific.
1. http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/green-science/global-warming4.htm
Data on the number of births and deaths in New Zealand.
The data is sourced from Statistics New Zealand.
A doctor at the local birthing unit has read that there is a current shortage of mid wives in New Zealand1. She has asked me to look at the number of births expected in the future so that she can work out if she should be employing more staff or not.
The number of males and females born are approximately the same, so I am going to predict the number of live male births in New Zealand for the next two years. I will use these forecasts to predict the total number of births in New Zealand.
If the predictions for the number of male births increases or stays the same, then it is likely that there will continue to be a shortage of mid wives and my doctor will need to start planning around how this will be fixed.
1. http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/health/2018/02/struggle-for-midwives-as-demand-booms.html
Data on the number of penguins at the Phillip Island Penguin Parade in Australia.
The Phillip Island penguin colony is a major tourist attraction1. Money from tourism is used by conservationists to protect the penguins from predators and other threats. Similar approaches to conservation could be useful here in New Zealand.
The yellow eyed (hoiho) penguin is an endangered species. It is found only in New Zealand and has four major breeding regions in the South Island2. The New Zealand Department of Conservation would be keen to know if the programmes used in the Phillip Island have been succesful and could be used here.
I am going to use the the penguin count from the years 2000 to 2006 to study the population of the Phillip Island Penguins and predict their numbers in 2007 and 2008.
An increase in Penguin numbers in the Phillip Island colony would indicate that their programmes are succesful. These could then be investigated by the NZ Department of Conservation to see it they could be used here.
1. https://www.penguins.org.au/
2. https://www.doc.govt.nz/nature/native-animals/birds/birds-a-z/penguins/yellow-eyed-penguin-hoiho/
The visitors’ dataset is the number of people entering New Zealand on a Visitor Visa from Australia, China, Japan and the UK.
The data is sourced from Statistics New Zealand.
The greatest number of tourists coming to NZ come from Australia. A lot of money is spent in Australia by Tourism NZ (A government department) on advertising on TV, magazines, newspapers, online, etc.
It would be beneficial to Tourism NZ to know if the money being spent on advertising is having any effect on the numbers of visitors coming to NZ.
I am going to look at the numbers of Australian visitors to NZ from the years 1998 to 2012 and predict the number of visitors in 2013 and 2014.
An increase in Australian tourist numbers would indicate the success of Tourism NZs marketing campaign in Australia and could justify the continuation of money spent on advertising over there.
Information on imports to and from New Zealand.
The data is sourced from Statistics New Zealand.
NZ Post believes that many New Zealanders are doing more and more online shopping. NZ Post would like to investigate this trend by looking at the total value of imports coming through airports around the country.
I am going to look at the Total Airports CIF for the years 2000 to 2014 to see if there has been an increase in the value of imports coming in to the country. I will be using this data to predict the value of imports arriving at our airports in 2015 and 2016.
An increase in the Total Airports CIF values could mean that New Zealanders are purchasing more online. NZ Post could use this to increase the number of services to shorten the delivery times of those purchases.
The volume of wood removed from different types of forests in New Zealand.
The data is sourced from the Ministry for Primary Industries.
A financial adviser is looking to advise clients to invest in Radiata Pine plantation forests. The adviser wishes to know if the demand for wood has been increasing over the past few years.
I will be using data of volumes of wood removed from plantation forests to see if the amount of harvested wood has been increasing. I will predict the volume of wood from plantations in 2014 and 2015.
An increase in the volume of wood being removed from plantation forests would indicate a growing demand in this resource and suggest that investing in Radiata Pine plantation forest is going to be profitable.