Predictions Examples

At this point in your report you should include the forecast output we produced earlier.
Example:

We then need to write up two of these predictions in sentences. In these sentences it is VITAL you include the units, and round the numbers appropriately, and not only give the exact number as well as a range that it is likely to be between.

For each of the graphs make two predictions, the first two have been done for you.

Note: every time the predictions get produced in NZGrapher the min and max will be slightly different as they are produced using a bootstrapping process

Remember:

To get higher grades, you need to contextualise your findings.

Once you have performed your analysis, you will need to relate your findings back to the problem you are investigating.

i.e What do the results mean for YOUR PROBLEM.

1. Sea Ice

In April 2011 I would expect the amount of sea ice for the Artic to be 11.69 million square kilometres. However I cannot be completely certain about my prediction, but I would expect the area of ice will between 11.11 million square kilometres and 12.27 million square kilometres.

In March 2013 I would expect the amount of sea ice for the Artic to be 12.44 million square kilometres. However I cannot be completely certain about my prediction, but I would expect the area of ice will between 9.53 million square kilometres and 15.35 million square kilometres.

2. Births and Deaths

In January to March 2013 I would expect there to be approximately 8030 male live births. However I cannot be completely confident in my prediction, but I would expect the number of male live births for this quarter to be somewhere between 7540 and 8590.

In October to December 2014 I would expect there to be approximately 7410 male live births. However I cannot be completely confident in my prediction, but I would expect the number of male live births for this quarter to be somewhere between 5890 and 9050.

3. Penguins

4. Visitors

5. Imports

6. Forests

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