Probability is the measure of how likely an event is to occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1 or 0% and 100%. It is calculated by dividing the number of ways an event can happen by the total number of possible outcomes. For example, the probability of flipping a coin and getting heads is 1 / 2 = one-half or 50% because there is one way to get heads out of two total possible outcomes (heads or tails).
Experiment: a repeatable procedure with a set of possible results.
EXAMPLE: Throwing a dice.
We can throw the dice again and again, so it is repeatable. The set of possible results from any single throw is {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
Outcome: A possible result.
EXAMPLE: "6" is one of the outcomes of a throw of a die.
Trial: A single performance of an experiment.
EXAMPLE: I conducted a coin toss experiment. After 4 trials I got these results:
Head - 3 times
Tail - 1 time
Three trials had the outcome "Head", and one trial had the outcome "Tail"
Sample Space: all the possible outcomes of an experiment.
EXAMPLE: Choosing a card from a deck;
There are 52 cards in a deck (not including Jokers)
So the Sample Space is all 52 possible cards: {Ace of Hearts, 2 of Hearts, etc... }
Sample Point: just one of the possible outcomes.
EXAMPLE: Deck of cards;
the 5 of Clubs is a sample point
the King of Hearts is a sample point
"King" is not a sample point. There are 4 Kings, so that is 4 different sample points.
Event: one or more outcomes of an experiment.
EXAMPLE: An event can be just one outcome:
Getting a Tail when tossing a coin
Rolling a "5"
An event can include more than one outcome:
Choosing a "King" from a deck of cards (any of the 4 Kings)
Rolling an "even number" (2, 4 or 6)
Complementary probability is the probability that an event does not occur, calculated by subtracting the probability of the event from 1.
Event A is {5, 6}
Number of ways it can happen: 2
Total number of outcomes: 6
The Complement of Event A is {1, 2, 3, 4}
Number of ways it can happen: 4
Total number of outcomes: 6