Embedded Files
Welcome to Statistics and Probability
Welcome to Statistics and Probability
Remind Join Code - @statprob21
Learning Targets
Learning Targets
LT 1 - I can use probability to develop informed strategies.
LT 2 - I can use combinatorics forecast future events.
LT 3 - I can determine if there are meaningful differences between two populations.
LT 4 - I can use a political poll to make an informed prediction.
Our LT's topics
Our LT's topics
We will be using probability to develop the best possible strategy for the Game of Pig, during the course of the unit we will investigate topics such as measures of Central Tendency (mean, median, and mode), Geometric and Binomial distributions, and expected value.
May 5th
May 5th
Task Day - Complete the Linear Regression CSI activity found on UC. Be sure to show your work when making predictions using the least squared regression lines (a separate photo of work done by had works too!)
Please make sure that the following assignments have been submitted
Setting the price of good guacomole
Check your understanding, LSRL and residuals
Linear Regression CSI
Tuesday, May 11th
Tuesday, May 11th
Final Project - Examine the distribution of 2 quantitative
variables across Massachusetts and use our univariate and bivariate data tools to analyze trends and make predictions.
Final Project Organizer (Rough Draft)
Personal Data Lists (Make a copy of this list and track your 50 data points in it)
Sample Data - Feel free to use the data collected here for your project
using z score guide.pdfFinding the Standard Deviation (4).pdfFriday 2/12
Friday 2/12
Be sure to complete the assignment on UC titled "Standard Deviation and the Five Number Summary"
If you want a refresher on either the Standard Deviation Calculation or Five Number Summary check out the videos below, or check out the notes attached to the left.
Wednesday 2/24
Wednesday 2/24
Project Work
Complete the Day 1 and Day 2 Organizer on UC
You should attach histograms of each of your two populations and describe them
Remember, when you are describing data you should describe
Shape (skewed right, skewed left, roughly symetric)
Spread (range, standard deviation. or Interquartile Range)
Center (Mean or Median)
Outliers and Gaps
Context - what is this graph depicting?
Copy of Sampling Distributions - Day 1 notes.pdfMonday 2/1
Monday 2/1
Please see attached notes to the left. Remember to complete the exit ticket posted to UC before tomorrow's class!
conditional probability notes.pdfFriday
Friday
Asynchronous
Practice using conditional probability in order to determine if two events are independent.
Notes from Yesterday attached to the left
Wednesday 1/20
Wednesday 1/20
Asynchronous
Practice determining the conditional probability of an event with this handout and submit your work to UC. (assignment also exists as a handout on UC)
Wednesday 1/13
Wednesday 1/13
I can prepare for tomorrow's assessment of my learning
Instructions:
Take the practice quiz (note: this will not be collected, it is for your benefit).
Check your work against Mr. Creeden's answer key.
Complete the LT 4 preparedness reflection. (This will be a HOW #3 score in grade book).
Monday 1/11
Monday 1/11
I can complete a Venn Diagram and use it to calculate probabilities involving intersection and union
Monday 1/11
Monday 1/11
I can complete a Venn Diagram and use it to calculate probabilities involving intersection and union
Tuesday 1/05
Tuesday 1/05
I can use the principal of mutually exclusive events to determine probabilities
Assignments due by midnight Wednesday
Complete the self paced pear deck to the left.
Complete the check your understanding problems (last slide of the pear deck) and submit either a word document or photo of your work to UC
Thursday
Thursday
We will begin our research into the demographics of the lottery in preparation for our Socratic Seminar on Monday where we will discuss whether the lottery is a regressive tax.
Socratic Seminar Ticket to Enter (Word Document)
Socratic Seminar Ticket to Enter Slides (Thank you to Elissa R)
Friday
Friday
Please continue your research into the lottery. From the Lottery Research resources, you should read at least one article from each column and complete either the word document TTE or the slides version and submit to UC
Socratic Seminar Ticket to Enter (Word Document)
Socratic Seminar Ticket to Enter Slides (Thank you to Elissa R)
Thursday
Thursday
Analyzing the Numbers Game
Using the questions included in the pear deck, create your Analysis Appendix.
These questions should be either typed or handwritten and will be included in your project.
Your PSA should Include
Probability of winning the Numbers or Mega Millions Game
A translation of those odds into terms that we can all understand.
The results of at least one of your Analysis questions.
Wednesday
Wednesday
Asynchronous
Complete the Day 2 tracker found in the Lottery Investigation Master Folder (can be typed or handwritten). Upload to Unified Classroom.
Goal should be
I have found the probability of each payout in the Numbers Game
I have determined the expected value of a Numbers Game ticket
Lottery Investigation Master Folder
Tuesday
Tuesday
Lottery Investigation Master Folder
We will be using the rubric today and Day 2 the Numbers Game
Friday
Friday
Asynchronous
Complete the Problem Set that we began yesterday (Attached Here)
Due 11:59 tonight
For binomial probability problems, feel free to use Stapplet - be sure to specify what n (the group size), p (the probability of success), and the condition you are using are.
For geometric and expected value problems, be sure to show all work
I am happy to answer any question you send me (with the exception of what's the answer).
BINOMIAL AND GEOMETRIC NOTES.pdfThursday
Thursday
I can use the Geometric and Binomial Distributions to determine the probability of an event.
Today's Handout (and tomorrow's async work)
Wednesday
Wednesday
Asynchronous
Please complete the worksheet attached here and either submit your work typed or handwritten to Unified Classroom.
For each problem
Determine if it is describing a binomial or geometric scenario.
Calculate the specified probability
If you are calculating a binomial probability, feel free to practice using the stapplet.com binomial calculator (video here).
If you are calculating a geometric probability or expected value, you should show all your work.
binomial exemplar.pdfTuesday
Finding the Mean of a Binomial Scenario and More Practice
Today's Assigment - Pick three of the eight scenarios listed here.
For each of the selected scenarios
a. Explain why it is binomial
b. Calculate and interpret the expected value
c. Determine the specified probability using the binomial probability formula
binomial steps.pdfMonday
Monday
Practicing with the Binomial Formula
To the right are a set of steps to follow when using the Binomial Formula
Asynchronous
Asynchronous
Friday
Watch the video to the left where the binomial probability formula is discussed. It may be helpful for you to also watch the guided practice section that happens later in the video.
The screen captures can be found here
Then, complete these two practice problems and submit a photo of your notes + problems to UC
Wednesday
Wednesday
Async
To the left is a short slide show containing videos on the Multiplication Rule and Complement Rule (both should be review from past years).
Watch both videos and take notes on the key points. Then complete the practice problems. Submit a photo or typed version of your notes and practice problems to UC
Creeden Project.pdfFriday
Friday
Async
Investigate a company who allows you to personalize their products (food and clothing is perfect for this).
Your assignment is to use the Fundamental Counting Principle, Combinations, and Permutations to determine how many combinations are truly possible - then design an advertisement marketing the product using your calculations.
Task Sheet (we did part one together in class yesterday)
Looking for inspiration? Take a look at the exemplar to the left
Monday
Monday
Today we will be reviewing the differences between combinations and permutations and making sure that we can distinguish between the two.
You will be given time tomorrow to practice applying the permutation and combination formulas. Suggested HW for tonight is to review each situation and determine if a permutation or combination is being described
Async
Async
Friday November 6th
Please complete the student paced pear deck to the left.
You will need to do three things
Complete 3 practice problems regarding permutations
Take notes on Combinations
Practice with 3 combination problems.
When you have finished, take a photo of your 6 practice problems (make sure your work is neat) and upload the photo to Unified Classroom
Permutation Review Video (just in Case)
Asynchronous
Asynchronous
Wednesday's Async Assignment - Begining the fundemental countring principle - submit either typed work to UC or photo pdf of neatly labeled work
Thursday
Thursday
We will be working on our LT 1 Portfolios today
Reviewing the opening paragraph for the Cover Letter
Presenting a complete strategy
Some have asked for the slides from the class we determined that point based strategies were superior to draw based strategies (little pig). They can be found here
Wednesday (Asynchronous)
Wednesday (Asynchronous)
Please work on your LT 1 portfolio (remember, these will be due on Tuesday)
Today, focus on finding the optimal strategy (this organizer might help)
Asynchronous
Asynchronous
Friday, October 23rd 2020
Please Complete the LT 1 Quiz.
This is meant to capture your understanding of probability and expected value up to this point.
Please be sure to review the rubric (last page in your week's work packet) before submitting via UC. Due 11:59 pm tonight
Thursday 10/22
Thursday 10/22
Today we learned the optimal strategy for little pig. Review our work as it will be valuable when solving the central problem for our Learning Target.
Wednesday 10/21
Wednesday 10/21
Complete Should I Go On and submit via Unified Classroom.
You can either submit a typed document or a photo of handwritten work.
Remember to show your work!
2 Draw Strategy Models.pdfMonday 10/19
Monday 10/19
Work Packet for the Week of 10/19
What is due today?
Photos of your two models (draw 2 and 2 point) with explanation regarding which strategy you would pick
Asynchronous Day
Asynchronous Day
Watch Mr. Creeden's video describing the game Martian Basketball and how to set up a tree diagram.
Complete Martian Basketball Analysis and Submit to Unified
Don't Forget...POW #4 due today!
Thursday
Thursday
Thursday
Thursday
Basketball IQ (can be found on UC)
You should plan on completing ACT One today and Act 2 for your Asynchronous Work Tomorrow!
Asynchronous Assignment
Asynchronous Assignment
Watch Video of Creeden describing how to set up a probability distribution table and use it to determine an expected value.
Complete Expected Value Practice and submit to Unified Classroom
Asynchronous Assignment
Asynchronous Assignment
Friday October 2nd
Review Creeden's Problem of the Week #2 Solution
Begin Problem of the Week #3 - Linear Nim, found on Unified Classroom
POW #3 will be due next Thursday.
LT 1 Quiz Day
LT 1 Quiz Day
Thursday October 1st
Today we are taking a Quiz summerizing our first LT up to this point
Mean and Median
Area Models
Experimental Probability
If you were absent today, be sure to check in with me to arrange an alternate assessment (you didn't think you would get the quiz that everyone just took did you?)
Also, be sure to pass in Problem of the Week #2 by 6 pm tonight on Unified Classroom
Asynchronous Assignment
Asynchronous Assignment
Wednesday September 30th
Complete Async Area Models and Submit via Unified Classroom
Remember to Submit Question of the Week #2 to Unified Classroom (Due Thursday)
Reminder - Quiz Thursday (Mean and Median, Experimental Probability, Area Models)
Area Models
Area Models
Tuesday September 29, 2020
Practice with Area Models Worksheet
Sum of Two Die Area Model (From Class Notes)
Asynchronous Day
Asynchronous Day
Friday September 25, 2020
We will be taking today to reflect. Examine the work we have done over the past two weeks and use your understanding to answer First Reflection LT 1
(on Unified Classroom)
Additionally, the 2nd Problem of the Week has been posted to Unified Classroom and will be due next Thursday.
Here is Mr. Creeden's model solution of the first POW.
The Gambler's Fallacy
The Gambler's Fallacy
Thursday September 24, 2020
Key Understanding - Two events are independent if the outcome of one does not impact the outcome of the other.
Asynchronous Day
Asynchronous Day
Wednesday September 23, 2020
Please watch Mr. Creeden's video reminding you how to find the mean, median, and mode using a frequency bar chart.
Then complete the activity on Unified Classroom (Mean, Median, and Mode Practice).
Remember - Problem of the Week #1 is due tomorrow!
Asynchronous Day #1
Asynchronous Day #1
Tuesday September 16, 2020
Please view Mr. Creeden's "About Me" Slide Show
Create a presentation, letter, song, picture, or something else that you believe will help Mr. Creeden learn more about yourself. (Submit this to Unified)
Sign up for Mr. Creeden's Remind and send me a message (instructon's here)
Day 1! M&Ms and Norms
Day 1! M&Ms and Norms
Tuesday September 15, 2020
Notecatcher can be found on Unified Classroom
Class RESOURCES
Class RESOURCES
Page updated
Google Sites
Report abuse