Remind Code - @renstats21
email - creedenn@springfieldpublicschools.com
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How can we interpret a confidence interval?
How extreme does a sample need to be in order to prove that something doesnt happen by random chance
What are the ramifications of a statistical error?
Examining the Flint Water Crisis
The Google Drive folder to the left contains the final project tasks along with the data regarding the Flint Water Crisis.
Final Product will be a presentation of your choosing (poster, paper, diorama, powerpoint, timeline, etc) summarizing the events theat occurred in Flint, Michigan along with the results of at least 3 of your tasks.
Use the resources linked to the left, along with any that you find in your own independent research to complete the two research tasks found in UC.
Task #1 - What happened in Flint Michigan? Review the research questions posted to UC and use the resources provided to determine what happened in Flint Michigan. Note, you do not need to read every article/watch every video, nor do you need to limit yourself to the materials provided.
Task #2 - Personal accounts. Read 3 of the 8 accounts provided in UC, summerize the individuals position and complete the reflection at the bottom of the page.
Self Paced Work Days. Before class on May 5th you should have the following complete
BBK Notetracker (slides can be found attached to slide 6 of the self paced pear deck)
Super 6 Question #1
The BBK will lead in to our final project for the year, the Super 6 question is designed to help us start to review for the AP Exam (3 weeks away!) and will replace your lowest free response question for the semester
Solution for todays Chi Square Test for Independence analysis of the Stop and Frisk program
Dont forget to complete the Regulating Handgun Free Response on UC (need the test statistic value and the p-value)
Solution for today's Hypothesis Test for Difference of Means
Make sure to complete the Check your Understanding problem on UC
Remember to complete the One Sample Inference for Means practice on UC.
Additionally, be sure to complete Test Revisions by Wednesday March 31st. Revision organizer is on UC
Revision FRQs (Complete the ones that correspond to the FRQ's that you need to revise)
Resources from today
Answer Key from Yesterday's Free Response Questions
Task for Today - Practice One Sample Mean Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests on the document in UC (Inference for 1 Sample Mean Practice)
Additionally, be sure to complete Test Revisions by Wednesday March 31st.
Today we worked on estimating a population mean using a confidence interval. Notes attached to the left.
You can find Table B (used to find t scores) here.
Remember, assessment Wednesday on inference for proportions
One and Two sample Confidence Intervals
One and Two Sample Hypothesis Tests
Type I and II Errors
There is a practice test on AP classroom to help you prepare.
Complete the Assignment on UC (Type I and Type II Errors). You should answer each question with several complete sentences.
Additionally, attached to the left is a practice
I can describe the consequences of a statistical error
Attached to the left are the notes we took on type one and type two errors.
Remember to complete the Assignment on UC (Type I and Type II Errors). You should answer each question with several complete sentences
Complete the Assignment on UC titled Inference for P Hat CI and HT (those stand for Confidence Interval and Hypothesis Test).
Remember when completing both tests to complete a state - plan - do -conclude
Take a look at the sample problem that we completed as a class.
Additionally, the final pages are steps for completing general steps for evaluating a claim using a hypothesis test.
The Four-Step Process for a Confidence Interval.
State, Plan, Do, Conclude
Refer to the notes that we took today where we found our first formal confidence interval. From now on, we will be evaluated on each of the four steps - State/Plan/Do/Conclude.
Additionally, if you would like to use it, here is a graphic organizer to help you set up your confidence intervals.
If you did not complete the confidence interval for your own sample of 30, or would like additional practice, complete the practice problem attached to the notes before submitting a picture of your notes to UC.
Assignment for today is to complete the handout titled What is a Confidence Level on UC
If you have not completed the assignment on AP classroom (Sampling Distribution Quiz assigned before break) it has been recreated as Samplling Distribution AOL 2 - it must be completed by Wednesday or its going in as a zero!
Review the completed notes from todays class.
If you did not complete the confidence interval for your own sample of 30, or would like additional practice, complete the practice problem attached to the notes before submitting a picture of your notes to UC.
Assignment for tomorrow is to complete the handout titled What is a Confidence Level
If you have not completed the assignment on AP classroom (Sampling Distribution Quiz assigned before break) it has been recreated as Samplling Distribution AOL 2 - it must be completed by Wednesday or its going in as a zero!
Please be sure to come to class tomorrow with
your sample of 30 students
The proportion of the sample that is female
Your standard Error calculation
The 4 major critical values
I can use the Central Limit Theorem to show my sampling distribution is normal
Check out the anchor chart to the left for a guide for setting up sampling distributions
Graphic Organizer to Help with Sampling Distribution problems
Async Assignment - Complete Difference of Proportions AFL (found on UC) and submit by noon Saturday.
I can determine the characteristics of a sampling distribution.
Notes from today are attached to the left. Be sure to complete the exit ticket for today's class posted to Unified Classroom
To the left are two documents to help you review the key principals of probability for your assessment Friday
Key terms/Concepts from LT 4
Mutually Exclusive
Independent
And vs Or Probabilities
Binomial
Random Variables
Expected Value
Standard Deviation
If you need a refresher on the 10% condition or the Large Counts Condition, watch the video posted to the left and the video assigned to your AP classroom account.
Assignment - Complete the worksheet posted here and submit to unified classroom. Be sure to explain your answers and show your work.
I can determine when the normal model can be used to approximate the binomial distribution.
Asynchronous
I can demonstrate my understanding of the binomial distribution
Complete these two Free Response Quesitions and submit to UC
Be sure to show and explain your work!
Yesterday's Notes attached to the left
I can use the binomial formula to determine the probability of an event.
Complete the problem set attached here (also a handout on UC).
Identify if the binomial setting is met.
For the last three, determine the probability of the specific event
Random Variables Quiz is on AP Classroom. This is due by 11:45 pm tonight.
Please make sure all late work is submitted by 6 pm today. Check yesterday's pear deck for a list of assignments that can be submitted.
Enjoy your long weekend!
We will be reviewing for tomorrow's quiz on Random Variables using the Self Paced Pear Deck to the left.
Be sure to complete the Debrief Slide and to make sure that all work is submitted before 6 pm tomorrow
Please complete the Random Variables Review Problem Set (upload work to UC) and be prepared with questions for tomorrow
I can explain how to transform a random variable using constants.
Pear Deck to the left
Notes from today can be found here
Expected Value and Standard Deviation of a Random Variable Calculator
Quiz Friday
Random Variables
Expected Value
Transforming
Combining Random Variables
Please use today to catch up on the 2 Free Response Questions that were assigned Tuesday. Thank you to those of you that have already completed this.
Additionally, please watch the video attached here, and take the 5 question quiz after the video. This is a good overview of our work with Random Variables up to this point. Please submit a screenshot of your quiz to UC for credit (example to the left)
I can find the expected value of a discrete random variable
HW questions due to UC by 11:59 PM Wednesday
I can find the expected value of a discrete random variable
HW: Complete the self paced pear deck from today (last 3 slides)
Complete the LT 4 Summative MC found on AP Classroom
This will be the last summative grade for 2020!
Complete the two Probability Free Response Questions Attached Below.
Be sure to show work and back your claims with evidence
Additionally, Saturday Session Groups and schedule are linked to the left.
Individual FRQ Questions (Due by end of Day)
Complete the two Free Response questions we began in class in AP format (work shown and answers in context).
Work should be submitted to UC
Check the LT 4 Videos Link in case you need a refresher on any of the concepts we have covered this week
Conditional Probability
Independence
Two Way Tables and Venn Diagrams
General Addition Rule
Asynchronous
Please take the LT 3 FRQ Summative (posted here and on UC). You should submit either a typed response or a clear photo of your work to UC. These FRQs are due by the end of the day to allow for turnaround over the weekend.
Please be sure to answer every portion of the question and to write your answers in context.
Additionally, please remember that your sayings presentations will be happening on Monday (2 minutes a piece)
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Thursday
Here is the exemplar Experimental Design Project that I showed in class evaluating the saying "A watched pot never boils"
Remember, Presentations (2 min each) are happening Monday!
Remember to Study for your FRQ Summative - Happening tomorrow!
Wednesday
Use today to work on your Sayings Experiment
Consult the draft document that we worked with yesterday if you have not yet selected a saying. No duplicates in a class. Due Monday
We will have our FRQ Summative Friday and our MC summative Tuesday. The study guide here can help you review (ignore page 1)
Asynchronous Work
Complete Unit 3 Progress Checks (A+B)
These are formative assessments which will help both you and me identify our strengths and weaknesses as we move towards the summative assessments we will be taking next week.
Diagraming Completely Randomized, Blocked, and Matched Pairs Experiments.
Video to the left may provide additional clarification
November 6th 2020
Time to practice. Complete the FRQ check in found here and submit either a typed response or a photo of your neatly handwritten responses. You should aim to complete these questions in approximately 30 focused minutes.
Recommended Deadline = Today at 11:59
Work will not be accepted without penalty after Sunday night (6 pm)
November 5th 2020
Today we debriefed the activity completed on Wednesday. You can find a copy of Creeden's notes attached to the left. Please keep in mind, these are not exhaustive as they didnt take into account the conversations that happened during class.
November 4th 2020
Complete Income Segregation Activity from Monday
For every sampling technique except the judgement sample, please complete two samples.
Share your sample means to the appropriate dot plots (you will need to use the admin codes to input new data)
Please complete the Sampling Techniques Exit Ticket
Friday October 30th 2020
On AP Classroom you will find two videos to watch and take notes on (these can be found on your AP Classroom homepage)
After watching the videos, please take the Sampling and Bias CFU assessment on AP Classroom.
Note: Rolling Down the River will be due Monday
Wednesday October 28th 2020
Please complete the assessment found on AP Classroom
(LT 2 Summative)
When answering the Free Response Questions, you should be sure to show all work
Draw and shade normal curves
Declare parameters
Leave answers in context.
You may either type your Free Response or submit a picture of your work. Reach out via remind if you have any questions.
Today we began our 3rd LT that will examine how to effectively sample a population using different methods.
Please complete Part I (first 8 pages) of this activity (will be due Friday)
I also created this slide show as a way of more effectively organizing the questions - feel free to use
Please take the LT 2 practice test as a way of self assessing yourself on your preparedness for your LT 2 Summative on Wednesday.
After taking the test, please complete the LT 2 reflection in order to self assess and set goals for yourself.
(Submit word document or pdf to unified classroom)
October 22nd 2020
Today we will review how to use the Normal Distribution to determine an unknown standard deviation or mean.
Slides to the right
Please watch the video posted to the left regarding how multiplying or adding to a distribution changes the mean and standard deviation.
Then take the check your understanding quiz on AP Classroom.
Note: Several of you reached out to say that the Normal Distribution AFL from Friday was locked when you tried to take it. I have reassigned it to those that have not taken it yet.
Additionally, if your group did not complete your slide problem from yesterday, please use today to finish.
Please upload your dice activity to Unified Classroom and take the Normal Distribution Formative found on AP Classroom. You may want to watch Mr. Creeden's video for some help calculating z-scores and using a table when finding a probability.
Friday October 9th 2020
Please complete Percentiles, Ogives and Standardized Scores
You should submit a copy of the last page (either photo or handout to Unified Classroom as your exit ticket.
Additionally, you will need to roll 5 die and find their sum... 150 times. To help you automate this process with Excel or Google Sheets, please watch the video to the left.
Watch the videos regarding Percentiles and Standardized Scores to help prepare you for our work in LT 2
For those looking for an additional LT 1 score, please complete the additional assignment (Due Friday at 11:59 pm)
Note: All work should be organized and complete. Graphs should be well made and work should be shown. This is meant to provide students with an additional opportunity to demonstrate their understanding in LT 1 but is not mandatory.
FRQ Questions for Group Work (Remember to submit via Unified by end of class)
NEW FRQ SOLUTIONS WITH WORK SHOWN
Remember MC Test Tomorrow
Please use today to work on your LT 1 Review Project. You should be prepared to share out one graph of your data and its description (using SOCCS) in class Thursday.
Sample Boxplot if you need a distribution to compare your to
Boxplots and Outliers Worksheet
If you are looking for assistance with creating a boxplot, take a look at the video to the left.
Friday, September 25th 2020
Please watch the two videos, being sure to take notes on any key points
Videos
Center and Spread Boxplots and Outliers
Notecatchers (optional) You will need to make a copy of these
Center and Spread Boxplots and Outliers
After you watch the videos, please take complete the checks for understanding found in AP Classroom
Describing Quantitative Data AFL
Boxplots and Outliers AFL
September 23, 2020
Please join our classes AP Classroom page by following the instructions on the task sheet.
Vocabulary Quiz (Found on Unified Classroom)
*Please note, this vocab quiz is meant to be done in 50 minutes or less and should reflect your individual work.
Tuesday September 22, 2020
Monday September 21, 2020
Friday September 18, 2020
Watch the video describing how to identify and describe associations between categorical variables and complete Free Response Question #1 (found on Unified Classroom)
DESMOS Activity (practice and reinforcement): Click Here
Digital Notecatcher: Click Here
Remember to submit FRQ #1 and Summer Video Summaries to Unified Classroom!
Tuesday September 16, 2020
Please view Mr. Creeden's "About Me" Slide Show
Create a presentation, letter, song, picture, or something else that you believe will help Mr. Creeden learn more about yourself. (Submit this to Unified)
Sign up for Mr. Creeden's Remind and send me a message (instructon's here)
Tuesday September 15, 2020
Notecatcher can be found on Unified Classroom
September 24, 2020
I can analyze trends in a population using univariate data
I can fairly compare individuals' positions in separate distributions
I can use the relationship between two variables to make informed predictions
I can design and implement unbiased appropriate tools for collecting data about a population
I can use probability to make informed decisions about my world.
I can use a sample to make inferences about a population.
I can determine if the difference between two samples is statistically significant.
I can determine if a sample conforms to a population distribution.