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計量・数理政治研究会 第3回冬季研究集会「計量・数理政治学のフロンティア」
The 3rd Winter Meeting of the Japanese Society for Quantitative Political Science
https://sites.google.com/view/jsqps/
■ 日時/ Date 2020年1月4日（土）、5日（日） January 4 (Sat), 5(Sun), 2020
■ 場所/ Venue 早稲田大学早稲田キャンパス3号館304号室
Room 304, Building #3, Waseda Campus, Waseda University
■ アクセス (3号館へのアクセスは文末の地図と案内をご覧ください)
Directions: Please scroll down to the bottom for the maps and directions.
■ 参加・懇親会登録/ RSVP
締め切りました。
■ プログラム/ Program
* Saturday sessions are conducted in English. Sunday sessions are in Japanese.
* Female scholars are relatively well represented as a result of screening proposals. For this reason, the women’s panel we had planned was not separately organized.
1月4日（土）英語セッション/ January 4, Saturday (Sessions in English)
8:30-9:00 Registration
9:00-9:10 Opening Remarks
1. 9:10-9:50
Yuki Shiraito (University of Michigan), Nuannuan Xiang (University of Michigan, Ph.D. Candidate)
“Modeling Gradual Changes in Panel Data: The Intergenerational Chinese Restaurant Process”
2. 9:50-10:30
Shusei Eshima (Harvard University, Ph.D. Student), Kosuke Imai (Harvard University), Tomoya Sasaki (MIT, Ph.D. Student)
“Keyword Assisted Topic Models”
コーヒー･ブレーク（306号室）/Coffee Break (Room 306)
3. 10:40-11:20
Kentaro Fukumoto (Gakushuin University)
“Why Very Old Voters Don’t Go to the Poll?” (with Yudai Masao, Kyosuke Kikuta, and Maiko Shoji)
4. 11:20-12:00
Greg Chih-Hsin Sheen (New York University)
“A Quality-Based Explanation for the Incumbency Curse” (with Selina Hofstetter (LSE Government) and Hugo Reichardt (LSE Economics))
12:00-13:00
昼休憩(306号室)/ Lunch Break (Room 306)
² Light lunch will be served.
5. 13:00-14:00
Special Guest: Dean Knox (Department of Politics, Princeton University)
“More than Words: How Political Rhetoric Shapes Voters' Affect and Evaluation” (with Christopher Lucas)
6. 14:10-14:50
Yuko Kasuya (Keio University), Kota Mori (V-Dem East Asia Regional Center, Research Fellow)
“Better Regime Cutoffs for Continuous Democracy Measures”
7. 14:50-15:30
Stefano Camatarri (Waseda University, JSPS Postdoctoral Fellow), Marta Gallina (Catholic University of Louvain, Ph.D. student), Airo Hino (Waseda University)
“Measuring Party Positions from Voters’ Mind and Party Manifestos: The Case of the Japanese Upper House Election in 2019”
コーヒー･ブレーク（306号室）/Coffee Break (Room 306)
8. 15:45-16:25
Yu Sasaki (Waseda University)
“Royal Consultants: Personnel Modernization and Bureaucratic Transition in Pre-modern Europe”
9. 16:25-17:05
Takaharu Saito (The University of Tokyo, Doctoral Student)
“Presidential Control on Bureaucracy and Interagency Coordination”
10. 17:15-17:55
Woo, Yu Jin (Waseda University, JSPS Postdoctoral Fellow)
“Individual Attitudes toward Migrants: How Individuals and Countries Define Citizenship”
18:30-20:30
懇親会/Reception
1月5日（日）（日本語セッション）/ January 5, Sunday (Sessions in Japanese)
1. 9:10-9:45
勝又裕斗（横浜市立大学）
“Navigated Weighting to Improve Inverse Probability Weighting for Missing Data Problems and Causal Inference”
2. 9:45-10:20
三輪洋文（学習院大学）、大森翔子（東京大学大学院博士課程）
“Ideal Point Estimation of Political Pundits Using Opinion Magazine-Authorship Data”
コーヒー･ブレーク（306号室）/Coffee Break (Room 306)
3. 10:35-11:10
安中進（早稲田大学大学院博士課程）、喜多宗則（早稲田大学大学院博士課程）
“Military Conscription, Political Regime, and Interstate Conflict”
4. 11:10-11:45
松本朋子（東京理科大学）、岡田謙介（東京大学）、加藤淳子（東京大学）
“The free Rider Problem, the Tragedy of the Commons, and Public Perception in the Contemporary Welfare State”
11:45-13:00
昼休憩(306号室)/ Lunch Break (Room 306)
² Light lunch will be served.
5. 13:00-13:35
原田勝孝（福岡大学）、伊藤岳（広島大学）
“Historical Image Analysis with Machine Learning: An Evaluation of the WWII Tokyo Air Raid Damages”
6. 13:35-14:10
持橋大地（統計数理研究所）
“Probabilistic Latent Semantic Scaling: An Intermediate Report”
7. 14:10-14:45
小椋郁馬（Georgetown University, Ph.D. student）
“Comparing the Subjective and Objective Measures of Political Knowledge” (with Yukio Maeda)
コーヒー･ブレーク（306号室）/Coffee Break (Room 306)
8. 15:00-15:35
周源（神戸大学大学院博士前期課程）
“China's Mediated Public Diplomacy towards Japan: A Text-as-Data Approach”
9. 15:35-16:10
久保田徳仁（防衛大学校）
“Lacking Leadership or Just Doing their Own Dangerous Business: Effects of Force Commander’s Leadership on Casualties of Peacekeepers Sent from the Same Country”
10. 16:20-16:55
岩波由香里（大阪市立大学）
“Asymmetric Burden-Sharing and the Restraining Effect of Alliances”
■ 懇親会（1月4日）/ Reception (January 4)
時間/ Time：18:30-20:30
場所/ Venue：イル・デ・パン
https://ile-des-pain.com/
会費/ Cost：\ 5,000 (drink included)
■ 特別な配慮を必要とする方へのご案内
For those who need special consideration
PC文字通訳、手話通訳、場内誘導、座席等について配慮をご希望の方は、12月10日（火）までにご希望の内容をお知らせください。
If you would like to request PC text interpretation, sign language interpretation, guidance inside the classroom, etc., please consult with us by December 10 (Tue).
アクセシビリティ･マップ/ Accessibility Map:
https://www.waseda.jp/inst/diversity/en/publication/accessibility_map/
■ 主催/Sponsor
計量・数理政治研究会、The Japanese Society for Quantitative Political Science (JSQPS)
共催/ Co-sponsors：早稲田大学現代政治経済研究所「因果推論とデータ科学」部会、早稲田大学ソーシャル＆ヒューマン・キャピタル研究所（WISH）、Waseda Institute of Political Economy (WINPEC) Research Group “Causal Inference and Data Science,” Waseda Institute of Social and Human Capital Studies (WISH)
■ 実行委員会/ Organizing committee
栗崎周平・Yunkyu SOHN・高橋百合子（委員長）・日野愛郎・福元健太郎・和田淳一郎
■ お問い合わせは、高橋研究室(takahashi.assistant@gmail.com)までお願いします。
If you have any inquiry, please feel free to contact Yuriko Takahashi at
takahashi.assistant@gmail.com .
早稲田大学政治経済学部へのアクセス
会場は早稲田キャンパス3号館（政治経済学部）の3階フロアにある304教室です。3階まではエスカレータでお越しください。3号館は，次ページの地図のほぼ真ん中にあります．最寄り駅は，東西線早稲田駅．高田馬場側の出口から徒歩およそ5分です．文学部のキャンパスと間違えないようにご注意ください。
Getting to the School of PSE
The venue for the conference is Room 304 in Building #3 (the School of Political Science and Economics), which is located right at the center of the campus map on the next page. The nearby subway station is Waseda Station (T-04) on the Tokyo Metro Tozai Line (Blue T line ). At the station, take Exit 2, 3a, or 3b. If you take Exit 2, you should go left once you get up to the ground and walk for a block, passing the first cross-walk, Subway, and then MacDonald’s. At the second intersection, where you will see a police-box, you will turn right, crossing the street, and proceed on a winding street until you see the Waseda campus.
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