JSQPS 2024 

Summer Meeting Program

計量・数理政治学会（JSQPS）2024年夏季集会プログラム

Japanese Society for Quantitative Political Science (JSQPS) 2024 Summer Meeting Program



日時と場所/Date and Place



参加登録/Registration



プログラム/Program


※ 報告者を太字で表記しています。/ Presenters are indicated in bold font.

※ 報告者が求職中の報告タイトルには (J) を付しています。/ (J) after the title indicates the presenter is searching a job.

※ セッションは2部屋で同時に開催されます。/ Presentation sessions will be held simultaneously in two rooms.

- セッションを開催する2部屋 (Rooms 1 and 2) の教室番号は当日までにアナウンスします。/ The room numbers for the two classrooms used for the sessions (Rooms 1 and 2) will be announced by the meeting day.


受付 / Registration: Room A214


Day 1: July 6 (Sat)


開会の挨拶 / Opening

9:45–9:55 Room 1


セッション 1A / Session 1A (in English)

10:00–11:00 Room 1


- "Voter Preferences for Young and Female Candidates: Comparing Conjoint Experiments with Real-World Behavior"

Charles T. McClean (Yale University) and Yuki Shiraito (University of Michigan)


- "To Compare or Not to Compare, That Is A Question in Conjoint Analysis"

Yusaku Horiuchi (Dartmouth College) and Martha Johnson


セッション 1B / Session 1B (in English)

10:00–11:00 Room 2


- "Credit Claiming on Partisan Issue: The Case of  Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court Decision Leak"

Yuki TSUJIMURA (University of Tokyo), Ikuma OGURA (Hitotsubashi University)


- "Determinants of Post-Conflict Government Support Among Diaspora: Afghans in the United States"

Harunobu Saijo (Hiroshima U), Yoshinari Kajishita (Hiroshima U), Khan Ghulam Dastgir (Hiroshima U), Sumire Matsuda (Consulate Gen. of Japan Nashville)


セッション 2A / Session 2A (in English)

11:15–12:15 Room 1


- "Time Zones and Voting Behavior: Evidence from Russia" (J)

Elizaveta Kugaevskaia (OSIPP, Osaka University)


- "The Margin of Victory in Ranked-Choice Voting"

Yuki Atsusaka (University of Houston), Silviya Valeva (Saint Joseph's University), and Agustin Vallejo (University of Houston)


セッション 2B / Session 2B (in English)

11:15–12:15 Room 2


- "Electoral Cycles of Refugee Acceptance: Evidence from 34 European Countries"

Masaaki Higashijima (University of Tokyo), Naoki Shimizu (University of Kochi), and Yujin Woo (Hitotsubashi University)


- "Racial Profiling and Public Perception: Unveiling the Role of Statistical Discrimination in Japan"

Akira Igarashi (Osaka University), Yoshikuni Ono (Waseda University)


セッション 3A / Session 3A (in English)

14:00–15:00 Room 1


- "Does AI help humans make better decisions? A methodological framework for experimental evaluation"

Eli Ben-Michael (Carnegie Mellon), Melody Huang (Harvard), D. James Greiner (Harvard Law School), Kosuke Imai (Harvard), Zhichao Jiang (Sun-Yat sen), Sooahn Shin (Harvard)


- "Using Large Language Model Annotations for the Social Sciences: A General Framework of Using Predicted Variables in Statistical Analyses"

Naoki Egami (Columbia University), Musashi Hinck (Intel Research), Brandon M. Stewart (Princeton University), and Hanying Wei (Columbia University)


セッション 3B / Session 3B (in English)

14:30–15:00 Room 2


- ""Hack the Elections, Harlequin!" Said the Dictator: Nomination and Its Effects of Spoiler Party Candidates in Authoritarian Elections"

Masatomo Torikai (Osaka University), Mari Aburamoto (Hosei University)


セッション 4A / Session 4A (in English)

15:15–16:15 Room 1


- "Dominance Through Division: Group-Based Clientelism in Japan"

Amy Catalinac (NYU)


- "Congruence of Legacy Candidates"

Sho Izumisawa (Rice University)


セッション 4B / Session 4B (in English)

15:15–16:15 Room 2


- "Natural Disasters, Asymmetric Exposure, and War: Why Empirical Evidence on Climate Conflict Is Mixed"

Hiroto Sawada (Princeton University)


- "Militarized Sanctuary: How Incomplete Protection of Indigenous Peoples Entangle Them into Armed Conflict" (J)

Tatsuya Koyama (New York University)


セッション 5A / Session 5A (in English)

16:30–17:30 Room 1


- "Inequality, Conspiracy Theories, and Redistribution"

Daiki Kishishita (Tokyo University of Science)


- "Youth Representation and Parties' Nomination Strategy in Mixed Member Systems"

Dai Sasaki (The University of Tokyo)


セッション 5B / Session 5B (in English)

16:30–17:30 Room 2


- "Global Evidence for the Relevance of Irrelevant Events: International Soccer Games and Leader Approval"

Kyosuke Kikuta (JETRO Institute of Developing Economies), Yoshikuni Ono (Waseda University)


- "The Relevance of Culture: Collectivism Reduces Negativity Biases in Government Evaluation" (J)

Baowen Liang (Shanghai International Studies University & University of Montreal)


懇親会 / Reception (optional) 

18:30– 土佐料理司本店 / Tosa-ryori Tsukasa


※ 懇親会に参加するためには事前の登録と支払いが必要です。/ Pre-registration and pre-payment are required to participate in the reception.


Day 2: July 7 (Sun)


セッション 6A / Session 6A (in English)

9:30–10:30 Room 1


- "Not Linearly Correlated, But Dependent: A Family of Normal Mode Copulas"

Kentaro Fukumoto (University of Tokyo)


- "Non-Ignorable Nonresponse in Panel Survey Data"

Michael Bailey (Georgetown University)


セッション 6B / Session 6B (in Japanese)

9:30–10:30 Room 2


- "Media freedom as an effective tool for coup-proofing"

Yuki Matsuura (the University of Tokyo)


- "The Effect of Election on Elite Polarization: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives"

Yuichi Igarashi (The University of Tokyo)


セッション 7A / Session 7A (in English)

10:45–11:45 Room 1


- "Strategic Peasants: Weapons of the Weak in Pre-Modern Societies"

Shusuke Ioku (The University of Rochester)


- "The Long Shadow of Elite Conflict in History to Modern State Capacity: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Japan" (J)

Jiali Shen (Kobe University)


セッション 7B / Session 7B (in Japanese)

10:45–11:45 Room 2


- "Addressing Design Bias Due to Instrumental Variables in Web Experiments ---- Considering Violations of the Exclusion Restriction" (J)

Yizhou FAN (Hiroshima University), Ran NAKAO (Ehime University), Yuki HAYASHIKAWA (Tokyo University)


- "Detecting Ideological Regimes: Dirichlet Process Mixture Ideal Point Model of Congressional Voting Data"

WU, TUNG-WEN (Service Development Group, dip Corp.)


セッション 8A / Session 8A (in English)

13:30–14:30 Room 1


- "Investigating the effects of populism in power on policy dynamics and democratic institutions"

Jiajia Zhou (University of Toronto)


- "Too Complicated to Negotiate from Scratch: How China Leverages Extra-Institutional Information Shortcuts for Cooperation in the United Nations General Assembly"

Takahashi, Tomoko (Kyoto University)


セッション 8B / Session 8B (in English)

13:30–14:30 Room 2


- "Unraveling the Effects of Pre-Election Violence: A Quasi-Experimental Analysis Using Unexpected Events in Zambia and Zimbabwe"

Tolgahan Dilgin (Princeton University)


- "War in Eastern Europe! Realistic experimental evidence on the impact of NATO membership on audience costs"

Pierangelo Isernia (University of Siena), Sergio Martini (University of Siena), Francesco Olmastroni (University of Siena), Matteo C.M. Casiraghi (University of Groningen)


セッション 9 / Session 9 (in English)

14:45–15:45 Room 1


- "Assurance and Threats in a Taiwan Contingency Scenario: Public Opinion in Japan and Okinawa"

Hinano Kamenosono (Tokyo Institute of Technology), Atsushi Tago (Waseda University)


- "Territorial Claims, Peace Attempts & Claim Origination" (J)

Tsukasa Watanabe (University of North Texas)


閉会 / Closing remarks

15:50–16:00 Room 1



謝辞/Acknowledgment


2024年夏季大会は、高知工科大学との共同開催です。/ The 2024 Summer Meeting is co-hosted by the JSQPS and the Kochi University of Technology.



2024年夏季集会実行委員会/Organizing Committee of the JSQPS 2024 Summer Meeting


お問い合わせは矢内勇生 (yanai.yuki@kochi-tech.ac.jp) までお願いします。

For inquiries, please contact Yuki Yanai at yanai.yuki@kochi-tech.ac.jp