Notation: EPI -Epidemic Index; ERI - Epidemic Risk Index.

The pandemic is back in a low-risk zone. ERI is calculated using a slightly modified model.

The pandemic continues to surge. Another wave?

There are signs of the pandemic starting to surge again. R number/EPI > 1.

Both parameters, EPI and ERI, <1. The pandemic is in a low risk zone. The lockdown measures worked.

The pandemic is moving in a right direction. The R number/EPI remains <1. On 9 Nov, the Risk number ERI = 1 for the first time since the pandemic surge. The lockdown measures are working!

The positive trend continues. R number (Epidemic Index EPI) < 1; Risk Index ERI continues to decline. The pandemic is slowing down.

The pandemic in Ireland is NOT under control. It's spreading. EPI>1. ERI > 1 and increasing.