第 11 回
話せばわかる
～独裁制下における議会の戦略的利用～
第 11 回
話せばわかる
～独裁制下における議会の戦略的利用～
（2025年8・9月号 掲載）
Embedded Files
■ ご案内
■ ご案内
このウェブサイトは、『経済セミナー』（日本評論社刊）の連載（2023年8・9月号～ ）、浅古泰史・東島雅昌「どうする独裁者：数理・データ分析で考える権威主義」のサポートページです。
ここでは、連載第11回の実証分析を再現するためのコードとデータの提供、参考文献などの情報提供を行っています。
本誌とあわせてぜひご利用ください！
■分析コード・データの提供
■分析コード・データの提供
ここでは、本稿の第３節の実証分析（Preworski (2013) が構築したデータセット＝「The Political Institutions and Political Events (PIPE) dataset」を用いた分析）を再現するStataコードとデータを、以下よりダウンロード頂けます：
図２（権威主義体制における議会の種別の推移）、図３（議会の有無・タイプとクーデターの企ての重回帰分析）の再現を実行することができます。
■ 第11回の参考文献
■ 第11回の参考文献
Engvall, J. (2016) The State as Investment Market: Kyrgyzstan in Comparative Perspective, University of Pittsburgh Press.
Gandhi, J. and Przeworski, A. (2007) “Authoritarian Institutions and the Survival of Autocrats,” Comparative Political Studies, 40(11): 1279-1301.
Gehlbach, S. (2021) Formal Models of Domestic Politics, 2nd ed., Cambridge University Press.
Gehlbach, S. and Keefer, P. (2011) “Investment without Democracy: Ruling-Party Institutionalization and Credible Commitment in Autocracies,” Journal of Comparative Economics, 39(2): 123-139.
Lust-Okar, E. (2005) Structuring Conflict in the Arab World: Incumbents, Opponents, and Institutions, Cambridge University Press.
Lust-Okar, E. and Zerhouni, S. eds. (2008) Political Participation in the Middle East, Lynne Rienner Publishers.
Malesky, E. J. and Schuler, P. (2010) “Nodding or Needling: Analyzing Delegate Responsiveness in an Authoritarian Parliament,” American Political Science Review, 104(3): 482-502.
Myerson, R. (2008) “The Autocrat’s Credibility Problem and Foundations of the Constitutional State,” American Political Science Review, 102(1): 125-139.
Noble, B. (2020) “Authoritarian Amendments: Legislative Institutions as Intraexecutive Constraints in Post-Soviet Russia,” Comparative Political Studies, 53(9): 1417-1454.
Pepinsky, T. B. (2014) “The Institutional Turn in Comparative Authoritarianism,” British Journal of Political Science, 44(3): 631-653.
Powell, J. M. and Thyne, C. L. (2011) “Global Instances of Coups from 1950 to 2010: A New Dataset,” Journal of Peace Research, 48(2): 249-259.
Przeworski, A. (2013) “The Political Institutions and Political Events (PIPE) Data Set”.
Schuler, P. (2021) United Front: Projecting Solidarity through Deliberation in Vietnam’s Single-Party Legislature, Stanford University Press.
Stasavage, D. (2020) The Decline and Rise of Democracy: A Global History from Antiquity to Today, Princeton University Press (立木勝訳『民主主義の人類史──何が独裁と民主を分けるのか？』みすず書房、2023年).
Szakonyi, D. (2025) “Corruption and Co-Optation in Autocracy: Evidence from Russia,” American Political Science Review, 119(1): 402-419.
Tavana, D. L. and York, E. (2025) “Legislative Cooptation in Authoritarian Regimes: Policy Cooperation in the Kuwait National Assembly,” British Journal of Political Science, 55, e72.
Wiebrecht, F. (2021) “Between Elites and Opposition: Legislatures’ Strength in Authoritarian Regimes,” Democratization, 28(6): 1075-1094.
Wiebrecht, F. (2024) “Corruption, Elite Contestation, and Parliaments: Why Do Legislatures Become Stronger in Authoritarian Regimes?” Political Research Quarterly, 77(1): 255-269.
Woo, A. S. and Conrad, C. R. (2019) “The Differential Effects of ‘Democratic’ Institutions on Dissent in Dictatorships,” Journal of Politics, 81(2): 456-470.
Wright, J. (2008) “Do Authoritarian Institutions Constrain? How Legislatures Affect Economic Growth and Investment,” American Journal of Political Science, 52(2): 322-343.
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