Complexity

What is complex about complex systems? How can we help people make better decisions in complex personal, organizational, and societal situations.

People

Navid Ghaffarzadegan

Arash Baghaei Lakeh

Jose Guevara

Publications

Guevara, J.A., Garvin, M., and Ghaffarzadegan, N. 2016. The Capability Trap of the US Highway System: Policy and Management Implications. Journal of Management in Engineering. Forthcoming.
Baghaei Lakeh, A., Ghaffarzadegan, N. 2015. Does Analytical Thinking Improve Understanding of Accumulation? System Dynamics Review 31(2): 46–65.
Richardson, G.P., Black, L.J., Deegan, M., Ghaffarzadegan, N., Greer, D., Kim, H., Luna-Reyes, L.F., MacDonald, R., Rich, E., Stave, K.A., Zimmermann, N., Andersen, D.F. 2015. Reflections on Peer Mentoring for Ongoing Professional Development in System Dynamics. System Dynamics Review 31(3): 173-181.
Rouwette, E. A., & Ghaffarzadegan N. 2013. The system dynamics case repository project. System Dynamics Review 29(1): 56–60.
Ghaffarzadegan, N., Andersen, DF. 2012. Modeling Behavioral and Dynamic Complexities of Warning Issuance for Domestic Security. International Public Management Journal 15(3): 337-363.
Ghaffarzadegan, N., Stewart, TR. 2011. An extension to the constructivist coding hypothesis as a learning model for selective feedback when the base rate is high. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition 37(4): 1044-1047.
Ghaffarzadegan, N., Lyneis, J., Richardson, G.P. 2011. How Small System Dynamics Models Can Help the Public Policy Process. System Dynamics Review 27(1): 22-44. Reprinted: Ghaffarzadegan, N., Lyneis, J., Richardson, G.P. 2015. Policy Informatics with Small System Dynamics Models: How Small Models Can Help the Public Policy Process In: E. Johnston, ed. Governance in the Information Era: Theory and Practice of Policy Informatics. Routledge Press.
Ghaffarzadegan, N. and Tajrishi, AT. 2010. Economic transition management in a commodity market: the case of the Iranian cement industry. System Dynamics Review 26(2): 139–161.
Ghaffarzadegan, N. 2008. How a System Backfires: Dynamics of Redundancy Problems in Security. Risk Analysis 28(6): 1669-1687