I’d like to believe I’m a reasonably strong forecaster. Over the past ~1.5 years, I’ve worked on predicting future events and outcomes using base rates, causal reasoning, probabilistic thinking, and structured analysis. Here’s a snapshot of my track record:
Professional Forecaster with the RAND Forecasting Initiative, contributing forecasts that support the work of RAND analysts and policymakers as part of a highly selective global cohort.
Active participant in several private, invite-only forecasting and prediction communities — the kind you gradually discover, or eventually get invited into. I’m still relatively new to many of these spaces, but the pace at which information, narratives, and probabilities shift has been fascinating to experience firsthand.
Won the University Forecasting Challenge hosted on GJO. Was interviewed about my thinking process etc.
Won the Roche AI challenge. Was invited to a special webinar by Roche's leadership team.
Winner of the Catalonia’s Next Decade Challenge, where my public proposal received the highest priority ranking from beBartlet and the Catalonian government. I also accurately prioritized the final rankings of the proposals, which further strengthened my interest in collective intelligence, policy forecasting, and strategic foresight.
My research on the emerging world order was featured at the Global Citizen Festival by Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s largest hedge funds. Paper: SSRN Research Paper.
Emerging Fellow with the Association of Professional Futurists, where I am exploring strategic foresight and long-term systems thinking.
A more detailed breakdown of my forecasting work across different platforms can be found below:
Comprehensive Portfolio: https://forecastingtrackrecord.onrender.com/achievements
