Ordered Probit model
WinBUGS code OrderedProbit.odc
Posterior means, posterior standard deviations and 95% credible intervals (Inference->Samples->stats)
Sample path (history)
Posterior probability densities (Inference->Samples->density)
(Further, right click on the figure->Margins-> Special…->Smooth -> change from 0.2 to 0.1-> apply all)
Sample autocorrelation function (Inference->Samples->auto corr)
Running quantile plot (Inference->Samples->quantiles)
Scatter plots (Inference->Correlations…)
Prediction : Pr( mental>=2 | ses, life, data)
(Inference-> Compare-> node:mental.pred.0, other: mental.pred.1, axis:life.pred, and click on modelfit)
(Further, right-click on the figure, Titles -> x-axis: # life events, title: Pr(mental>=2|ses, life, data)
Pr(mental>=2|ses=0, life, data) 95% intervals (blue) and median (red)
Pr(mental>=2|ses=1, life, data) median (black dots)
(Inference-> Compare-> node:mental.pred.1, other: mental.pred.0, axis:life.pred, and click on modelfit)
(Further, right-click on the figure, Titles -> x-axis: # life events, title: Pr(mental>=2|ses, life, data)
Pr(mental>=2|ses=1, life, data) 95% intervals (blue) and median (red)
Pr(mental>=2|ses=0, life, data) median (black dots)
