Reviving Arab Reform
Index
INDEX
Note: Page numbers followed by “n” indicated footnotes.
Abuse of political power, 112
Accountability, 74
Accountable governance system, 176
Advanced economies, 35
estimated panel data models for, 128–134, 135–141
heterogeneity of panel data models for, 163–164
relationship between economic growth and public health expenditure, 166
relationship between economic growth and sanitation, 167
Aggregate governance indicator, 161
Aggregate structural reform indicator, 72–73
Arab Aggregate Demand, 44
Arab countries (ACs), 1–2, 19, 39, 172
adopting reforms to diversify economic structures, 71
bureaucracy system, 107
development of financial and banking sector, 71–72
economic reform programmes, 99
estimated panel data models for, 142, 146–154
facing economic shocks and fluctuations, 53
gains from oil, 39
governance and institutions in, 100–102
heterogeneity of panel data models for, 165–166
percentage of oil and tax revenues, 60
politics in Arab states, 2
production structures, 78
societal development in, 81
Arab economics, 39–40
actual and expected GDP of Arab region, 45
Arab economic growth characteristics, 44–46
Arab GDP per capita growth, 41
Arab potential and actual GDP with output gap, 41, 49
Arab’s Chronic Low-Growth Syndrome, 45
GDP growth in Arab region, 46
GDP per capita growth for sub-Arab groups, 50
growth rates of GDP components in Arab region, 51
sub-Arab groups, economic growth pattern in, 43–44
whole region, economic growth pattern in, 40–43
Arab health indicators, 88
Arab institutional reform, 122
Arab Monetary Fund index (AMF index), 76
Arab multidimensional poverty index, 86
Arab oil-exporting countries, 43
Arab Reform
democracy, 102–105
evolution, 46–48
failure to provide inclusive reforms, 119–125
governance and institutions in ACs, 100–102
impact on Arab World, 116–119
inclusive development framework for, 169–178
public administration capacity, 105–109
social aspects of, 82–97
state of law, 109–114
Arab socialism, 101
Arab Spring, 2, 18–19, 40, 62, 162
Arab Stock Markets Combined Index, 77
Arab Sub-groups, 36–37
Arab vulnerable governance system, 123
Arab–Israeli conflict, 102
Armed conflicts, 172
Asian financial crisis, 41–42
Barro-type regression, 17, 23
Between-country disparities, 85
Budget balance, 62
Business reform indicators, 16–17, 27
Central and South Asian countries (CSA), 19
Centralised bureaucratic system in Arab region, 39
Chronic Low-Growth Syndrome, 45, 48
Civil wars, 124–125, 170
Cobb-Douglas production function, 11
Commodity Structure of Arab Exports, 79
Communication tools, 175
Comparative cross-country analysis, 16
Comparative heuristic approach, 16
Confessionalism, 174
Consumer price index, 56
Control of corruption (CC), 111–114, 161
Control variables, 17–18
Corruption, 108
Credibility gap, 175
Crowding effect, 158
Crowding out effect hypothesis, 158
Current accounts (CAs), 54
balance/GDP, 66
Data
balance, 64–66
characteristics, 19
definition, 29
missing, 20–21
sources, 20
sources, 29
Debt relief, 66–68
Democracy, 102, 173
deficit, 123
PS indicator, 103–105
voice and accountability, 102–103
Developing countries
estimated panel data models for, 134, 142–145
heterogeneity of panel data models for, 164–165
relationship between economic growth and public health expenditure, 166
Developing economies, 35
Development, 5–7
Diversification, 74–75
Drinking water, 93–96
Dynamic panel data (DPD), 22
East Asian countries (EAS), 19
Econometric techniques, 21–23
Economic development, 5–7, 169
Economic growth and development, 7
Economic growth pattern
in sub-Arab groups, 43–44
in whole region, 40–43
Economic infrastructure, 161
Economic policies adoption, 42
Economic reforms, 76, 173–175
aggregated indicators of, 24–38
programmes, 99, 115
Economic stabilisation
external stability indicators, 63–70
macroeconomic stability indicators, 54–63
Economic stabilisation policies, 115
Economic stability, 53–54
Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) Country Data, 20
Economy diversification structure, 77–80
Education sector reform, 90–91
Electricity, 93–96
Empirical model, 17–19
configuration, 127
principal components, 24
Endogenous growth theory. See New growth theory
Estimated panel data models
for ACs, 142–154
for advanced economies, 128–134
for developing countries, 134–142
Estimation approaches, 21–23
European countries (ECS), 19
European sovereign debt crisis, 77
Evolution of Arab reform, 46–48
Exchange rates, 57–59
Explanatory variables, 17–18
definition and sources of data, 29
Export Concentration Index, 78, 158
Export Diversification Index, 78
External debt-to-exports of goods and services, 68
External debts, 54
External demand, 45–46
External stability, 129, 134, 156–157
reform indicators, 16, 26
External stability indicators, 63–64. See also Macroeconomic stability indicators
current account balance/GDP, 66
debt relief, 66–68
external debt-to-exports of goods and services, 68
international reserves, 68–70
international trade and CA balance, 64–66
total Arab exports by subregions, 65
total reserves in months of imports, 69
External stabilization, 121
External sustainability, 53–54
F-statistics, 127
Financial liberalisation, 75–77
Financial reforms, 71–72
Fixed effect, 23, 127–128, 142
Fixed Telephone Subscriptions, 97
Foreign direct investment (FDI), 20, 42, 44, 62, 73–75, 134
Formal social security, 176
Generalised Methods of Moments (GMM), 22–23
Global recession, 42
Governance, 160–162
in ACs, 100–102
aggregated indicators of, 24–38
gap, 100
indicators, 17, 28, 100
Government effectiveness (GE), 105–109, 161
Gross Domestic Product (GDP), 5, 17, 53, 73, 40, 128
Growth, 6–7
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), 19, 43, 116, 118, 156
Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCCC), 81, 105, 109
governance effectiveness factor, 173
Hausman test, 21, 23, 128
Health expenditures, 89–90
Health sector reform, 87–90
Heterogeneity of panel data models, 127–128
for ACs, 165–166
for advanced economies, 163–164
for developing countries, 164–165
Hodrick–Prescott filter (HP filter), 40n1
Human capital, 86–87, 134, 158–159
aggregated indicators of, 24–38
education sector reform, 90–91
health sector reform, 87–90
indicators, 17, 27, 87
research and innovation, 91–92
Inclusive development framework for Arab Reform, 169–170
economic reform, 173–175
influential factors, 176–177
political and institutional reform, 170–173
social reform, 175–176
Inclusive institutions, 101
Indebted Poor Country (HIPC), 69
Industrial Research Institute report (IRI report), 91
Ineffectual reform plan, 123
Inequality, 82–86
Infant mortality rates, 88–89
Inflation, 55–56
relationship with unemployment, 122
Information and communication technology (ICT), 93, 96–97
Innovation, 91–92
Institutional reform, 170–173
Institutions, 171–172
in ACs, 100–102
indicators, 28
Instrumental Variable technique (IV technique), 21
Internal stabilisation, 121
Internal stability, 129
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 67, 115, 157
International reserves, 68–70
International trade, 64–66
Internet Protocol (VoIP), 97
Kafala system, 86
Kaiser–Meyer–Olkin test (KMO test), 25
Knowledge, 8
Knowledge-based economy, 9
Lacklustre performance in fighting poverty, 83
Lagrange Multiplier test (LM test), 21, 128
Large-scale corruption, 112
Latin America countries (LCN), 19
Least Square Dummy Variable technique (LSDVC technique), 23
Levin–Lin–Chu test (LLC test), 21
Life expectancy at birth, 89–90
Low-Income Countries (LICs), 19, 54–55, 63, 79, 89, 101, 102
Macroeconomic fragility, 120–122
Macroeconomic instability, 129, 134, 146
Macroeconomic stability, 154–156
reform indicators, 16, 18, 25
relationship with structural reform, 117
Macroeconomic stability indicators, 54–55. See also External stability indicators
budget balance, 62
consumer price index, 56
exchange rates, 57–59
prices and inflation, 55–56
public debt, 63
public finance indicators, 59–63
unemployment, 56, 58
MENA region, 85
Millennium Development Goal (MDG), 160
Mobile telephony, 97
Modern economic development theories, 7
neoclassical theory, 7–8
new growth theory, 8–9
NIE theory, 5, 9
underpinning theory of research, 9–10
Modified operationalisation of model, 19
Monetary policy, 174
Natural resources abundance, 170
Neoclassical School, 8
Neoclassical theory, 7–8
New growth theory, 8–9
New Institutional Economics Theory (NIE Theory), 5, 9
Next-generation networks (NGNs), 97
Non-resource-rich countries, 43
North American (NAC), 19
OECD countries, 20–21
Oil dependence ‘resource curse’, 119–120
Oil production, 177
Oil wealth, 105
Open access society, 101
Overstaffing, 108
Panel data methods, 21
Panel unit-root test, 21
Physical infrastructure, 92–93, 159–160
aggregated indicators of, 24–38
basic infrastructure facilities, 93–96
ICT, 96–97
indicators, 17, 28, 94
Political conflict, 124–125
Political reform, 170–173
Political stability (PS), 146, 161
indicator, 103–105
Pooled OLS regression, 128
Population growth rate, 170
Poverty, 82–86
Power concentration, 108
Prices, 55–56
Production productivity frontier (PPF), 12
Public administration capacity, 105
government effectiveness, 105–109
Public debt, 62–63, 155
Public debt-to-GDP ratio, 62
Public expenditure, 61
Public finance indicators, 59–63
Public infrastructure, 92
Public revenues, 59–60
Public-choice theory, 7
Quality of life, 6
Rational fiscal policy, 174
Reform, 16
policy, 169
Reform programme impact on economic growth, 127
panel estimated results, 128–162
testing heterogeneity of panel data, 127–128
Regulatory Quality (RQ), 108–109
Regulatory quality complement, 173
Research, 91–92
approach, 15–17
theoretical model of, 10–12
underpinning theory of, 9–10
Research and development (R&D), 8
Resource abundance, 177
Resource-poor, labour-abundant countries (RPLA countries), 19, 72, 74–75, 79, 87, 89, 92, 102, 116, 118, 120
Resource-poor subgroups, 54
Resource-rich, labour-abundant countries (RRLA countries), 43, 54–56, 63, 58, 69, 74, 87, 101, 102
Resource-rich, labour-importing countries (RRLI countries), 19, 43, 55–56, 58, 69, 74, 76, 87, 89, 102
Rule of Law (RL), 109–111
Sanitation, 93–96
Small-scale corruption, 112–113
Social aspects of Arab Reform
human capital, 86–92
inequality, 82–86
physical infrastructure, 92–97
poverty, 82–86
Social benefit-cost analysis, 160
Social infrastructure, 161
Social reform, 81, 175–176
Social spending, 176
Solow growth model, 17
Solow residual or ignorance of neoclassical growth theory. See Total factor productivity (TFP)
Solow–Swan model, 8, 10
Sponsorship system, 86
Stabilisation, 53
Stagflation, 121
State of Law, 109
control of corruption, 111–114
rule of law, 109–111
State variables, 17, 154
Structural adjustment
policies, 115
programs, 70
strategies, 115
Structural Adjustment Plan (SAP), 67
Structural reforms, 71, 157–158
aggregate structural reform indicator, 72–73
economy diversification structure, 77–80
financial liberalisation, 75–77
foreign direct investment, 73–75
indicators, 16–17, 27
relationship with macroeconomic stability, 117
strategies, 177
Sub-Arab groups
economic growth pattern in, 43–44
GDP per capita growth for, 43
GDP per capita growth for, 50
Sub-Saharan Africa countries (SSF), 19
Tax policy, 176
Tax reforms, 60
Technology, 18n2
Theoretical basis
development, 5–7
growth, 6–7
modern economic development theories, 7
Theoretical model of research, 10–12
Total Arab exports by subregions, 65
Total factor productivity (TFP), 10–12
Total investment, 44
Tourism, 61–62
Transparency, 174
‘Trickle-down’ effect, 7
Two-stage least squares regression analysis (2SLS regression analysis), 21
UNCTADstat, 20
Unemployment, 56, 58, 155–156
relationship with inflation, 122
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), 20
Value added tax (VAT), 56
Violent conflicts, 95
Voice and accountability (VA), 102–103
Vulnerable institutions, 122–123
Wars, 95
World Bank, 67, 115
World Development Indicators (WDI), 20
World Health Organisation (WHO), 88, 158
World Inequality Report, 84
World Statistical Database, 20
Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGIs), 20, 99, 101