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Professor Anthony O'Hagan, Emeritus Professor of Statistics, The University of Sheffield
Probability is the quantification of uncertainty. It handles all kinds of uncertainties. Terms like 'epistemic' and 'aleatory' can be convenient in discussion but they are only loosely defined - probability handles them both seamlessly. Uncertainty in engineering is no different from uncertainty in any other field. There is no need for a conference when it is based on imaginary problems.
Speaker biosketch
Tony O'Hagan is a statistician specialising in the methodology and applications of Bayesian statistics. Within that broad field he has made methodological contributions in heavy-tailed distributions and conflicting information, Gaussian process modelling, emulation and uncertainty quantification for mechanistic models, elicitation of expert knowledge and probabilistic numerics. He has applied publications in many areas including health economics, nuclear engineering, accounting, environmental monitoring, drug development and asset management. Tony is Professor Emeritus of Statistics at the University of Sheffield, UK. He has served on the Council and the Research Section Committee of the Royal Statistical Society, the Board of Directors and the Programme Council of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis, the peer review colleges for the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council and the Medical Research Council, the Methodology panel of the National Health Service and as president of the Mathematics section of the British Association for the Advancement of Science.
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