“Induction is the glory of science and the scandal of philosophy.” - C. D. Broad
By Lee Bright
Version 0.1
5. RESPONSIBLE TIME
Many religions have not been strongly coupled to reality. The People of the Book - Jews, Christians, and Muslims - most definitely are. They are grounded in the Creator God revealed in history through and to mankind. This means there should be millions of points of contact with history and science.
That gives the Abrahamic faiths an incredible strength when points of contact are validated, and most of the time they are - they are validated within the probabilities that they would be validated. There is even evidence to suggest perhaps higher probabilities than they should be. But with just a few uncertainties, a few overcommitments, a few logical fallacies, a few spurious consensuses, a few debating tricks, that can be made to look like a weakness.
For well over a thousand years after Constantine made Christianity legal, and then the preferred religion of the Roman Empire, validation was easy because of the meager discriminating abilities of history and natural philosophy. Most of the things that could be checked - the Tigris, the Euphrates, Egypt, Jerusalem, the Temple Mount, Babylon, and Rome - checked out fine. All else was legitimately silent and imprecise.
Logical Positivism and its failure
Scientific Demarcation by falsification, Karl Popper
Any form of critical or scientific theory that in itself cannot be falsified doesn't have any credibility as a science.
You're so vain
I bet you think this song is about you
Don't you, don't you?
- Carly Simon, "You're So Vain"
There is an area of causal inquiry that allows for logical deduction - culpability. The tracing back from effects to a person or persons who are the cause is often a logical process that forms the basis of legal and historical inquiry. When considering this kind of causality, the degree of responsibility, blame, or praise is determined by a person's degree of freedom and their intentions or negligence. The intention or inattention is the cause. A cause-and-effect relation of persons is necessary when determining responsibility, blame, justice, and, by extension, grace and love.
The logical (ie. a priori) element in cause and effect has to do with the intention of a person. The fundamental presupposition of legal/historical causality is, of course, the person - the moral agent. A person is the locus of a cause. If we cannot find a human or perhaps animal cause, then we must blame or praise a divine one, ultimately getting back to the Logos, God. Therefore, some destructive event that is completely outside of human responsibility is called an "Act of God."
So the old NRA slogan that “Guns don’t kill people, people kill people” is correct, with the caveat that the design, availability, and possession of guns that are so often correlated with killing also have human intentionality and negligence all around them. The reason why this slogan has any traction against gun control advocacy is that it exposes the personification of the gun that is required to say the positive statement, "guns kill people." Personification provides intention. Almost anything can be thought of as a murderer if you ascribe it intent: swimming pools, old age, that stuff under your fingernails, etc. While there are guns made by people to kill people, a gun itself is not a person and so has no intent. It could be used for anything. It could be used for a lamp.
Once we are aware of the personification and remove it, we are left with the banal historical fact that "people have used guns to kill people." It's those people who are the problem. Removing intent, the shortcut "guns kill people" has been essentially flattened to "occasionally a death is correlated with an object of the group commonly called 'gun'."
“Nature abhors a vacuum” - Aristotle
The concern of modern science is to determine cause-and-effect as a relation of things rather than persons. In doing so, it borrowed the paradigm of culpability and so routinely personifies the thing as being causal. Each statement of cause is invoking a thing as a tiny god, and then afterward, denying that the thing is in fact of minuscule divinity. For the theist, this procedure is at most a harmless shortcut, and not even that for Leibniz. By whatever circuitous route, which might include angels, demons, and monads, all order ultimately flows from the Logos, God -- and God is indeed intentional. For the 'secularist', this is an utter embarrassment. David Hume emphatically points his skeptical finger and reluctantly calls out the shortcut - induction is a habit of belief. Without appealing to the intention of the Logos, the whole scientific enterprise is illogical. Philosophically, the effect of this on 'secular' science is brutal.
One of the most strident atheists in the world is the evolutionary biologist Richard Dawkins. Ironically, one of the things he is best known for is introducing the concept of "selfish genes" to the evolutionary literature. Genes are strands of DNA code that code for a certain protein or trait. DNA is not in and of itself a living thing as far as we know. It has no intent, but in the operation of a cell, a gene provides a recipe that cell mechanisms put to use. Dawkins, of course, knows this, but personifies the gene to efficiently get across his overarching idea of the locus of natural selection. He is so aware of the shortcut that he knows any scientist will deny the intent when seeking to understand the idea; thus, we have science by irony. In Selfish Genes, the ironic intentional shortcut is on neon display.
If we allow ourselves the license of talking about genes as if they had conscious aims, always reassuring ourselves that we could translate our sloppy language back into respectable terms if we wanted to, we can ask the question, what is a single selfish gene trying to do?
- Richard Dawkins, The Selfish Gene: p. 88
Richard Dawkins - The Selfish Gene explained - youtube.com
The literature on evolutionary theory, in particular, is filled with this kind of intent and design language, which brings an even bigger irony and absurdity - we understand the gene by declaring it a person, but the human, the actual person, is a mere vessel or mechanism of the gene. Frankly, Dawkins made even a few 'secular' scientists flinch with how unabashedly this ironic procedure was presented.
The Two Languages of Science (2020) by Yanai, I., & Lercher, M. - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Dawkins' intentional language is sometimes misrepresented as being merely anthropomorphic. We have every reason to believe that any animal with a central nervous system and senses enough to detect others takes an intentional stance. What is truly anthropomorphic is then denying the intention and replacing it with abstruse language concealing a different kind of intent. Is there any other animal that does this without being deceptive? Is there any other animal that is so deceived?
That's right, deceived. The verb 'cause' and any approximate synonym is intentional: will, bring about, lead, generate, spawn, create, produce, purpose, incite, instigate, determine, begin, motivate, etc. The most that a denier of intention can say about a 'cause' is that it is a metaphor. Hume's skepticism allows no other option because all that connects an observed cause to an effect is our habits, jumps of extrapolation, and preconceived bias.
The most that can be said of the abstruse supposedly metaphor-free language used in science is that it might shift the intending cause from the lifeless thing to the Logos or at least some higher-order intermediary of intent, such as perhaps the Wave Function, General Relativity, Nature, or the Universe. This is not necessarily so, as seen in the contrasting Night Science and Day Science that Itai Yanai and Martin Lercher (2020) defend as informal and formal science language:
Night Science
“Nature abhors a vacuum”
- Aristotle
Day Science
“Effusion or movement towards lower pressure occurs because unobstructed gas molecules will become more evenly distributed between high- and low-pressure zones, by a flow from the former to the latter.”
- Pathetic Fallacy, Wikipedia
Intentional Shift?
Nature → Gas molecules
higher order to lower
“A cancer gene aims to secure an unfair advantage.”
- Yanai & Lercher
“Mutations to a proto-oncogene that cause an increased growth rate of the cells that carry the mutation will over time lead to an increase in the total fraction of body cells that carry the mutation”
- Yanai & Lercher
Cancer gene → Gene mutations
no shift
“The image of a relatively smooth [fitness] landscape, where populations adapt by going up-hill once they fix an advantageous mutation, are trapped in mountain peaks and remain isolated from other possibly higher fitness maxima by deep valleys, often appears as the way in which adaptation proceeds.”
- Catalán, Arias, Cuesta, Manrubia
Evolutionary adaptations of a population can be quantified [correlated?] by fitness changes due to the fixation of mutations that increase fitness. Such increases may lead to genotypes with locally maximal fitness, i.e., fitness cannot increase further through additional point mutations, as any individual such mutation would first lead to a strong decrease in fitness.
- Yanai & Lercher
Populations with advantageous mutations → Mutations that increase fitness
no shift
“Non-hazardous bacteria also help prevent diseases by occupying places that the pathogenic, or disease-causing, bacteria want to attach to. Some bacteria protect us from disease by attacking the pathogens.”
- Brazier
Commensal bacteria with no direct detrimental effects on human health often benefit humans by occupying ecological niches in the human body that could alternatively be occupied by disease-causing bacteria, thereby reducing their potential fitness. Some bacteria release compounds toxic to pathogens, thereby reducing the probability of disease for their host.
- Yanai & Lercher
Non-hazardous bacteria → Commensal bacteria
no shift
On the one hand, Yanai and Lercher have made their point well - Night Science, such as Dawkin's "selfish genes" can be translated into the more precise and testable "Day Science" language of hypotheses. On the other hand, as the bolded causal words show, metaphysically nothing has changed, at least not with these examples. Except for Aristotle invoking "Nature" as a product of the Logos, both night and day statements are invoking tiny gods. Apart from their use in forming hypotheses, the acceptability of causal verbs as Day Science language is a kind of scientific euphemism treadmill that, thankfully, moves more slowly than the Politically Correct version.
The evidence is in. These are all sound statements of knowledge if one can believe in tiny gods or:
delete the tiny gods by unexamined habit; or
delete the tiny gods after accepting that causality in science is fundamentally an ironic endeavor; or
believe in some aggregate relationship of monads in harmony with God; or
believe in some integration of me spoken by the Sumerian Triad or the Christian Trinity; or
see this kind of causal language as a shortcut pointing back to the underlying cause of everything - the Logos, God.
The first three options are objectively ungrounded and unacceptable on their face. With very slight qualifications, the last three options are equivalent and can ground all of the patterns seen in the hard sciences.
So what of Aristotle's totalizing generality, Nature?
Nature, according to Aristotle, is an inner principle of change and being at rest (Physics 2.1, 192b20–23). This means that when an entity moves or is at rest according to its nature, reference to its nature may serve as an explanation of the event. We have to describe how—to what extent, through what other processes, and due to what agency—the preconditions for the process of change or of being at rest are present, but once we have provided an account of these preconditions, we have given a complete account of the process. The nature of the entity is in and of itself sufficient to induce and to explain the process once the relevant circumstances do not preempt it.
- "Aristotle’s Natural Philosophy" (2023) by Istvan Bodnar - plato.stanford.edu
Thereby Aristotle reasons four required causes in increasing hierarchy: matter, form, efficient, and ultimate. Matter of a suitable nature can be given a suitable form by efficient causes towards the ultimate intention of an agent. Internally or externally, all four causes in the chain of causation are required for an explanation. Having (inadequately) dispensed with the Logos after rejecting the "Heraclitean doctrine" of the unity of opposites (Physics 1.2) and failing to concede that the Problem of the One and the Many is in fact a real problem, Aristotle had to conceive of the Unmoved Mover to make his Physics work. Needing an ultimate cause for all motion, it must be the Unmoved Mover that Aristotle is intending when talking of Nature in total.
But maybe not. Aristotle's method is not that of experimental design as used in modern science. It is observation, analogy, and metaphor. He is using what is commonly known to explain the unknowns of Nature.
Plainly... in the science of Nature, as in other branches of study, our first task will be to try to determine what relates to its principles.
The natural way of doing this is to start from the things which are more knowable and obvious to us and proceed towards those which are clearer and more knowable by nature; for the same things are not ‘knowable relatively to us’ and ‘knowable’ without qualification. So in the present inquiry we must follow this method and advance from what is more obscure by nature, but clearer to us, towards what is more clear and more knowable by nature.
Now what is to us plain and obvious at first is rather confused masses, the elements and principles of which become known to us later by analysis. Thus we must advance from generalities to particulars; for it is a whole that is best known to sense-perception, and a generality is a kind of whole, comprehending many things within it, like parts. Much the same thing happens in the relation of the name to the formula. A name, e.g. ‘round’, means vaguely a sort of whole: its definition analyses this into its particular senses. Similarly a child begins by calling all men ‘father’, and all women ‘mother’, but later on distinguishes each of them.
The very nature of using a generality is to treat it as an agent - a god - who has messages - an angel. The generality of all Nature is treated by Aristotle as a hugely influential angel, regardless of whether he conceived of the Unmoved Mover or not. And the angel Nature abhors a vacuum, the meaning of which is absolutely clear - vacuums suck.
A seven-day creationist reading the Bible, and everything else as literally as they can, will have no problem with the Hard Sciences. Most of those sciences are meant to be read literally. The content presented this way - physical laws, chemical reactions, anatomy, and esoteric mathematics - is entirely compatible with a high view of theism - an omniscient, omnipresent, omnipotent God.
I've known several engineers, physicists, chemists, and mathematicians who have entertained seven-day creationism. I've even known PhD-level university professors who specialize in biology or medicine who have settled on such a view. Of course, given the complete and total integration of Evolutionary Theory into Biology, they are swimming against the current - perhaps kicking against the bricks - and must be selective on when and where they divulge those beliefs.
Evolutionary theory is routinely and unabashedly written as ironic science. Regardless of whether it is popular or scientific literature, a literal reading of an article or book using Darwinian or Neo-Darwinian theory routinely reads as a perverse form of creationism invoking tiny gods who design biologic function or pick winners and losers. That is, the literal reading offends both moral sensibilities and scientific sensibilities.
"The function of the heart is to pump blood."
- Implies the heart has a job or duty it was specifically assigned to do.
"The main job of your lungs is gas exchange. They pull fresh air in when you breathe, pass oxygen into your blood for your body to use as energy, and take out carbon dioxide waste so you can breathe it out."
- A boss god gave your lungs a job.
"A polar bear's white fur evolved for camouflage against the snow."
- Suggests the fur was created with the ability to optimize the hiding the animal.
"Birds migrate in order to find more favorable food sources and weather."
- Attributes an intentional plan or journey motivation to a behavioral trait.
"Plants developed deep root systems to reach underground water."
- The plant actively decided or tried to grow roots deeper.
"The eye is designed to focus light and form images."
- Crystal clear design language - God did it.
"These ecological pressures will determine whether grouping is favoured or penalized by selection. Behavioural ecology is not only concerned with the animal's struggle to survive by exploiting resources and avoiding predators, but also with how behaviour contributes to reproductive success....We show that natural selection should favour individuals who are best able to propagate their genes to future generations." (J. R. Krebs & N. B. Davies 1993, pg. 1)
- The tiny gods of ecological pressures determine animal grouping strategies that the selection god favours or penalizes. The god known as Behavioural Ecology judges how an individual animal's behaviours and wisdom, struggling through life, using resources, and avoiding predators contribute to reproductive success....The scientifically powerful natural selection god favours individuals who are best able to propagate their selfish genes to future generations.
That last quote is from An Introduction to Behavioural Ecology, 3rd edition. The authors fully acknowledge (page 3) that the ironic science type of jargon is there for the sake of the reader:
There is no doubt that loose terminology can indicate imprecise thinking and half-formulated ideas. But it is equally easy to conceal woolly arguments behind an obfuscating screen of scientific jargon. We have used a simple direct style in order to make our arguments clear and not because behavioural ecology is woolly subject.
Krebs and Davies quite ably defends this by quoting George Orwell's satirical translation of Ecclesiastes 9:11:
Objective consideration of contemporary phenomena compels the conclusion that success or failure in competitive activities exhibits no tendency to be commensurate with innate capacity, but that a considerable element of the unpredictable must invariably be taken into account.
- George Orwell, (1946) Politics and the English Language
I have seen something else under the sun:
The race is not to the swift
or the battle to the strong,
nor does food come to the wise
or wealth to the brilliant
or favor to the learned;
but time and chance happen to them all.
Reflecting on Orwell's translation, Krebs & Davies end their Introduction:
This translation is not only tired and ugly, lacking the fresh vivid imagery of the biblical passage, but it replaces precise illustrations with woolly generalization. While we cannot hope to emulate the clarity and brillance of Ecclesiastes, or indeed of George Orwell, we hope we have avoided the worst excesses of the Orwellian parody and presented our ideas in simple but precise language.
Hear, Hear! Were that all scientists so consciencious of their readers. In all fairness, the companion volume Krebs & Davies edited with relevant peer reviewed papers ramped up the formal jargon, and reduced or neutered the ironic science jargon so that it doesn't get in the way of the science. They exhibit good science and good science communication, not the least of which is spelling out so specifically why they communicate the way they do.
But there is still the question: If the formal statement of the science uses design language even latently, can it ever be free of the design concept? We still have both kinds of intention in the text: culpability, which may or may not be misused; and tiny gods/ironic science, which can only ever be legitimate for the theist. I'm not at all concerned about Krebs & Davies or even Richard Dawkins - they get it. I am concerned for everybody else in the soft sciences, especially the social sciences, who routinely conflate the two types of intention and don't include in their introductions a clear notice of how their writing style benefits the reader. Worse still is those who insist upon the abstruse language, which moves Science as a discipline outside of a normal person's ability to reason with the science wisely.
For his part, Charles Darwin, the person most responsible for getting evolutionary theory going as a legitimate discipline in Biology, doesn't see the problem:
I see no good reasons why the views given in this volume should shock the religious feelings of any one.
- Origin of Species (1872), Chapter 15. Recapitulation and Conclusion.
Darwin here is being coy.
Most people and most Christians have had as their avocation the production of food - hunting, gathering, farming and the like. By and large, raping, pillaging, and plundering were done on the side. Theistic culture and religion - Judaism, Christianity, etc. - brought order to human relationships suppressing the competitive urges inbuilt in mankind for the greater good of the family, tribe, and mankind. Even Islam - which is commonly thought to be more violent and vengeful than its cousins - has a Mohammad who at great personal cost turns the other cheek again and again until a threshold of iniquity was met. Mohammad advocates the moderation of many things - including slavery - in a tribal culture that could and did easily go to extremes. Nature and natural selection divorced from god and destiny offend this moderation.
The stories in the Old Testament are stories of the special selection of Abraham and his seed in a field of belief that was being corrupted towards ideas of base natural selection and might makes right (Genesis 15:16). Ironic science doesn't just stoke the perennial Problem of Evil (see Job), it questions all moral sentiment everywhere. Coming into the 20th-century, personalism as a broad moral sentiment began leaching out as nearly all progressive movements actively advocated eugenics with their fascisms and socialisms; and on the other end, "Might makes right"/"survival of the fittest" mobsters and capitalists saw being on top as the only goal worth pursuing, regardless of the human cost.
Rarely stated outright, the demonstrated capacity of Nature and natural selection to extinguish all morality is what drove so many People of the Book against Evolutionary Theory.
Going back to the source, Charles Darwin was more careful, staying fairly consistently in the Aristotelian form of explanation. He continually gives Nature, natural selection, and general law intentions, which is fine as he wrote most of his works as a Christian or at least a theist. For a non-theist polemicizing against the theistic frame in the same way, this kind of writing not only invokes tiny gods, but produces a perverse kind of idolatry. Consider for yourself the following examples from Darwin's Origin of Species, 6th edition (1872, 1st ed. 1859) from the point of view of theistic and antitheistic frames:
Man selects only for his own good: Nature only for that of the being which she tends.
Mere chance … alone would never account for so habitual and large an amount of difference as that between varieties of the same species.
- Chapter 4.
One general law, leading to the advancement of all organic beings, namely, multiply, vary, let the strongest live and the weakest die.
As natural selection acts by competition, it adapts the inhabitants of each country only in relation to the degree of perfection of their associates; so that we need feel no surprise at the inhabitants of any one country, although on the ordinary view supposed to have been specially created and adapted for that country, being beaten and supplanted by the naturalized productions from another land.
Thus, from the war of nature, from famine and death, the most exalted object which we are capable of conceiving, namely, the production of the higher animals, directly follows.
An ancient Sumerian wouldn't have major reservations with intentional evolutionary statements. Time is certainly not an issue. Taken literally, the Sumerian Kings List (SKL) has mankind going back over 400,000 years! The life of the major gods goes back long before that. Perhaps unique among all the ancient theistic cultures, the Sumerians do not have a problem with millions and even billions of years in their timescale!
The focus on the Problem of Nature and Problem of Evil are of no great concern. Dynamic-destruction like competition that we expect of natural selection abounds in the ancient times and is the very thing that the gods/sukkals/angels of civilization were put in place to moderate in the less tribal more urban environment. They may even see the concept of natural selection as a step up in this regard. The myths of the formation of mankind - which are diverse only if taken literally - do not make out mankind as being so far above the animals that Darwinian and Neo-Darwinian evolutionary theory would pose any great threat.
The concern of the ancient Sumerian would be to place these statements of science under the correct god or sukkal/angel in the hierarchy of gods that exist at the pleasure of the Sumerian triad. The god of heart and blood is Nu-dim-mud, "Prince creator of life-blood", which is a common name/epithet for Enki/Ea. The god of the function of the lungs is Enlil whose name has the polysemous meaning "Lord Spirit/Wind/Breath." The god of the wild animals, at least the wild animals that surround Mesopotamia, is Šakkan. Several gods have a relationship with the birds, and the annuna gods are often metaphorically designated as birds. And on and on.
The point being that this is no different than the division of processes and things into different disciplines of science. Most of these disciplines are arbitrarily defined which has
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