Statistical models for environmental phenomena

WORKSHOP

Statistical models for environmental phenomena

Dept. of Statistical Sciences "P. Fortunati" – University of Bologna

Via delle Belle Arti, 41 – Bologna, Italy

30-31 March, 2017

Local Committee: Linda Altieri, Daniela Cocchi, Fedele Greco, Massimo Ventrucci

Participation is open and free but limited to 60 participants. For attending the workshop, please send an e-mail to fedele.greco@unibo.it before March 25^th.

For information about accommodation click here.

PROGRAM

Thursday 30 March

STEPHI PROJECT FINAL MEETING:

Statistical modeling of environmental phenomena: pollution, meteorology, health and their interactions

09:00-09:30 Opening Session

09:30-10:50 Remembering Francesca Bruno

09:30-09:50: Introduction

09:50-10:50: Paul D. Sampson, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.

Spatio-temporal Modeling of Environmental Data for Epidemiologic Health Effects Analyses

10:50-11:15 Coffee Break

11:15-13:00 Session 1: Spatio-temporal models for health data

11:15-11:50: Pasquale Valentini, University of Chieti-Pescara, Pescara, Italy.

Generalized Spatial Dynamic Structural Equation Models with Application to Hospitalization and Exposure

11:50-12:25: Michela Cameletti, University of Bergamo, Bergamo, Italy.

Statistical challenges in modelling spatially misaligned exposure and health data

12:25-13:00: Fedele Greco, Carlo Trivisano, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

On prior elicitation in disease mapping models

13:00-14:00 Lunch

14:00-15:45 Session 2: Modelling complex spatio-temporal data

14:00-14:35: Rosalba Ignaccolo, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.

Geostatistics for functional data

14:35-15:10: Elena Scardovi, Bitbang srl, Bologna, Italy.

Rainfall spatial predictions: a two-part model and its assessment

15:10-15:45: Maria Franco Villoria, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.

Quantile regression for functional data

15:45-16:15 Coffee Break

16:15-18:00 Session 3: Modelling environmental data

16:15-16:50: Francesco Finazzi, University of Bergamo, Bergamo, Italy.

A multivariate emulator for atmospheric dispersion models with an application to Aberdeen air quality management

16:50-17:25: Annalina Sarra, University of Chieti-Pescara, Pescara, Italy.

Indoor radon concentrations: a survey of spatial approaches. Evidence from Abruzzo (Central Italy) data

17:25-18:00: Linda Altieri, Daniela Cocchi, Giulia Roli, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

The use of spatial information in entropy measures

20:00 Social dinner

Friday 31 March

EPHASTAT PROJECT KICKOFF MEETING

Environmental processes and human activities: capturing their interactions via statistical methods

09:15-09:40 Opening session

09:40-10:40 Session 1: Problems and models in Marine Ecology

09:40-09:55: Alessio Pollice, University of Bari, Bari, Italy.

Fish fauna characterization of a coral area - Alternative data features

09:55-10:05: Crescenza Calculli, University of Bari, Bari, Italy.

Fish fauna characterization of a coral area - Some preliminary analyses and results

10:05-10:25: Kasper Kristensen, Technical University of Denmark, Charlottenlund, Denmark - AQUA, National Institute of Aquatic Resources - Section for Marine Living Resources.

Automatic differentiation and Laplace approximation with ecological applications

10:25-10:40: Discussion

10:40-11:00 Coffee Break

11:00-12:00 Session 2: Cylindrical data in marine environments

11:00-11:15: Enrico Zambianchi, “Parthenope” University of Naples and CoNISMa, Naples, Italy.

Retrieving current and wave fields from High-Frequency radar systems deployed in the Gulf of Naples

11:15-11:30: Francesco Lagona, University of Roma Tre, Rome Italy.

Hidden Markov models for the analysis of marine cylindrical data

11:30-11:45: Arianna Orasi, CN-COS, ISPRA, Rome, Italy.

The ISPRA coastal monitoring and forecasting system as tool for the coastal risk evaluation

11:45-12:00: Discussion

12:00-13:00 Session 3: Modelling extreme events

12:00-12:15: Alberto Montanari, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

Extreme values estimation under change: the never-ending dilemma (or sophism?) between stationarity and non-stationarity

12:15-12:30: Liliane Bel, AgroParisTech, Paris, France.

Downscaling extremes for climate change

12:30-13:00: Discussion

13:00-14:00 Lunch

14:00-15:00 Session 4: Statistical analysis of storms flooding along a natural sandy beach

14:00-14:15: Luca Parlagreco, ISPRA, Rome, Italy.

Remote sensing of the swash zone

14:15-14:30: Luigi Ippoliti, University of Chieti-Pescara, Pescara, Italy.

Statistical analysis of timestack data

14:30-15:00: Discussion

15:00-16:00 Session 5: Spatio-temporal hospitalization data and air pollution

15:00-15:15: Michela Cameletti, University of Bergamo, Bergamo, Italy.

Italian hospital admission data

15:15-15:30: Massimo Stafoggia, DEP-Lazio, Rome, Italy.

Time-series and case-crossover designs for the analysis of short-term effects of air pollution

15:30-16:00: Discussion

16:00-16:20 Coffee Break

16:20-17:20 Session 6: Climatology and trend detection of the intertropical convergence zone

16:20-16:40: Elisa Castelli, ISAC-CNR, Bologna, Italy.

ITCZ trend analysis using 20 years of satellite data

16:40-17:00: Massimo Ventrucci, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

P-spline smoothing for spatial data collected over the globe

17:00-17:20: Discussion

17:20 Closing Session