Here’s a hypothetical example of how an economic calendar entry might look for the upcoming week, showing key events and their potential impact:
July 1, 2025 - ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD)
Impact: High
The ISM Manufacturing PMI is an important economic indicator that measures the health of the US manufacturing sector. If the Actual result comes in higher than the Forecast (53.2), it could suggest a stronger manufacturing sector and a potential strengthening of the USD. A lower result would signal potential weakness in the sector and might weaken the USD.
July 2, 2025 - ECB Interest Rate Decision (EUR)
Impact: High
The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision. If the ECB raises interest rates unexpectedly (for example, above the forecasted 4.25%), it could lead to a stronger Euro as investors may see higher rates as a sign of economic confidence. If the ECB cuts rates or signals a more dovish stance, it could weaken the Euro.
July 5, 2025 - Non-Farm Payrolls (USD)
Impact: High
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is one of the most crucial economic releases for the US dollar and the broader global market. If the Actual figure comes in higher than the forecast (180K) and beats the Previous number (272K), it suggests a strong labor market, which could lead to a stronger USD. The NFP data is often followed by strong market reactions and is a key indicator for future interest rate decisions.
July 5, 2025 - Unemployment Rate (USD)
Impact: High
This measure reflects the percentage of the US labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A lower unemployment rate than expected could signal a strong economy, leading to a stronger USD. Conversely, a higher rate might indicate economic challenges and weigh on the USD.
Traders closely monitor these events as they can significantly impact currency prices. Depending on the event's expected outcome, they might:
Reduce exposure before the release to manage risk.
Open trades in anticipation of the event, especially if they have strong expectations.
Wait for the result and let the market react before making a move to avoid potential volatility.
By understanding the timing and potential market reaction to these events, traders can better plan their strategies and make informed decisions.