Blog Posts

Making scenarios add up: spanning risks with scenario synthesis
Bank Insights, 16 July 2026
With Davide Brignone, Satyam Goel, Giulia Mantoan, Nades Raviraj and Andrea Renzetti

The second Macro Modelling for Monetary Policy Forum: continuing the dialogue in Leeds
Bank Insights, 26 June 2026
With Andre Moreira and Jan Žácek

The inaugural Macro Modelling for Monetary Policy Forum
Bank Overground, 10 October 2025
With Andre Moreira 

Tariffs and US dollar depreciations: not so surprising after all
VoxEU, 3 September 2025
With Giancarlo Corsetti and Daniel Ostry 

The granular origins of exchange-rate fluctuations
Bank Underground, 19 October 2023
With Balduin Bippus and Daniel Ostry 

The transmission of macroprudential policy in the tails
Bank Underground, 13 September 2023
With Álvaro Fernández-Gallardo and Ed Manuel 

Fuelling the tail: Inflation- and GDP-at-Risk with oil-supply shocks
Bank Underground, 10 August 2023
With Marco Garofalo and Ed Manuel 

Unknown measures: assessing uncertainty around UK inflation using a new Inflation-at-Risk model
Bank Underground, 13 July 2023
With Niki Anesti, Marco Garofalo, Ed Manuel and Julian Reynolds

Back to the Future IV: challenges for financial stability policy in the next decade
Bank Underground, 31 August 2022
With Alina Barnett and Sinem Hacioglu Hoke

Pinning the tail on the economy: why domestic developments aren't enough
Bank Underground, 11 October 2021
With Ed Manuel

Global value chains, volatility, and openness
The SAIS Europe Journal of Global Affairs: Blog Post, 21 June 2021
With Lucio D'Aguanno, Oliver Davies, Aydan Dogan, Rebecca Freeman, Dennis Reinhardt, Rana Sajedi and Robert Zymek

Le Pont de Londres: monetary policy spillovers, prudential policy and the financial centre effect
Bank Underground, 11 February 2021
With Matthieu Bussière, Robert Hills, Baptiste Meunier, Justine Pedrono, Dennis Reinhardt and Rhiannon Sowerbutts

Bitesize: Emerging market currency risk: evidence from the COVID-19 crisis
Bank Underground, 24 July 2020
With Giancarlo Corsetti and Emile Marin

Uncovering uncovered interest parity: exchange rates, yield curves and business cycles
Bank Underground, 13 July 2020
With Emile Marin

Do emerging market prudential policies lessen the spillover effects of US monetary policy?
Bank Underground, 6 January 2020
With Andra Coman

Mind the gap: services trade liberalisation and global imbalances
Bank Underground, 10 October 2017
With Mark Joy, Noëmie Lisack, Rana Sajedi and Simon Whitaker