Journal articles:
Serván-Mori E, Pineda-Antúnez C, Cerecero-García D, Flamand L, Mohar-Betancourt A, Millett C, Hone T, Moreno-Serra R, Gómez-Dantés O. Health system fragmentation and maternal mortality transition in Mexico, 2000-2022, International Journal for Equity in Health, 2025, Vol:24(32). (doi)
Hatamyar J, Shayeb S, Hussain A, Hammoudeh W, Mazumdar S, Moreno-Serra R, Multidimensional vulnerability and financial risk protection in health in contexts of protracted conflict: evidence from the Occupied Palestinian Territory, PLoS ONE, 2025, Vol:20(1): e0314852. (doi)
Dutra Teixeira A, Postali F, Ferreira-Batista N, Diaz M, Moreno-Serra R, The role of primary healthcare amid the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from the Family Health Strategy in Brazil, Social Science & Medicine, 2024, Vol:359. (doi)
Ochoa-Moreno I, Moreno-Serra R, Inequality in financial risk protection in health among displaced populations: the case of Venezuelan women in Brazil, SSM – Health Systems, Vol:3. (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Ochoa-Moreno I, Anaya-Montes M, Fernandes L, Gomes T, Leal M, Cuadrado C, Healthcare access, quality and financial risk protection among displaced Venezuelan women living in Brazil: a cross-sectional study, The Lancet Regional Health – Americas, 2024. (doi)
Hone T, Gonçalves J, Seferidi P, Moreno-Serra R, Rocha R, Gupta I, Bhardwaj V, Hidayat T, Cai C, Suhrcke M, Millett C, Progress towards universal health coverage and inequalities in infant mortality: an analysis of 4.1 million births from 60 low- and middle-income countries between 2000-2019, The Lancet Global Health, 2024, Vol:12(5), e744-e755. (doi)
Caspersen N, Jaksa U, Lordemus S, Moreno-Serra R, Ripe for better post-war governance? The impact of the 2016 peace agreement on the reestablishment of health services in Colombia, Political Geography, 2024, Vol:111. (doi)
Lordemus S, Kreif N, Moreno-Serra R, Public financing during counterinsurgency efforts: evidence from Colombia, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2024, Vol:86(5), Pages:1230-1259. (doi)
Salas-Ortiz A, Moreno-Serra R, Kreif N, Suhrcke M, Casas G, The effect of conflict-related violence intensity and alcohol use on mental health: the case of Colombia, SSM - Population Health, 2024, Vol:25. (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Leon-Giraldo S, Jater-Maldonado N, Casas G, Bernal O, Trends in mental health before and after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic: a longitudinal survey of a conflict-affected population in Colombia, International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 2024, Vol:18(4). (doi)
Miranda J, Morales Barahona O, Barahona Krüger A, Lagos P, Moreno-Serra R, Central America and the Dominican Republic at crossroads: the importance of regional cooperation and health economic research to address current health challenges, Value in Health Regional Issues, 2023, Vol:39, Pages:107-114. (doi)
Rocha F, Montoya Diaz MD, Pereda P, Arabe I, Cavalcanti F, Lordemus S, Kreif N, Moreno-Serra R, COVID-19 and violence against women: current knowledge, gaps, and implications for public policy, World Development, 2023, Vol:174. (doi)
Ferreira-Batista N, Dutra Teixeira A, Diaz M, Postali F, Moreno-Serra R, Love-Koh J, Is primary health care worth it in the long run? Evidence from Brazil, Health Economics, 2023, Vol:32(7), Pages:1504-1524. (doi)
Cuadrado C, Libuy M, Moreno-Serra R, What is the impact of forced displacement on health? A scoping review, Health Policy and Planning, 2023. (doi)
Ferreira-Batista N, Postali F, Diaz M, Dutra Teixeira A, Moreno-Serra R, The Brazilian Family Health Strategy and adult health: evidence from individual and local data for metropolitan areas, Economics and Human Biology, 2022, Vol:46. (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Anaya-Montes M, Leon-Giraldo S, Bernal O, Addressing recall bias in (post-)conflict data collection and analysis: lessons from a large-scale health survey in Colombia, Conflict and Health, 2022, Vol:16(14). (doi)
Diaz M, Dutra Teixeira A, Postali F, Ferreira-Batista N, Moreno-Serra R. Assessment of the association between the Brazilian Family Health Strategy and adult mortality, Health Policy and Planning, 2022. (doi)
Kreif N, Mirelman A, Suhrcke M, Buitrago G, Moreno-Serra R, The impact of civil conflict on child health: evidence from Colombia, Economics and Human Biology, 2022, Vol:44. (doi)
González-Uribe C, Olmos-Pinzón A, Leon-Giraldo S, Bernal O, Moreno-Serra R, Health perceptions among victims in post-accord Colombia: focus groups in a province affected by the armed conflict, PLoS ONE, 2022, Vol:17(3): e0264684. (doi)
Postali F, Diaz M, Ferreira-Batista N, Dutra Teixeira A, Moreno-Serra R, Primary care coverage and individual health: evidence from a likelihood model using biomarkers in Brazil, BMC Health Services Research, 2021, Vol:21(1300). (doi)
Kreif N, Diaz-Ordaz K, Moreno-Serra R, Mirelman A, Hidayat T, Suhrcke M, Estimating heterogeneous policy impacts using causal machine learning: a case study of health insurance reform in Indonesia, Health Services and Outcomes Research Methodology, 2021. (doi)
Leon-Giraldo S, Cuervo-Sánchez JS, Casas G, González-Uribe C, Kreif N, Bernal O, Moreno-Serra R, Inequalities in catastrophic health expenditures in conflict-affected areas and the Colombian peace agreement: an Oaxaca-Blinder change decomposition analysis, International Journal for Equity in Health, 2021, Vol:20(217). (doi)
Buitrago G, Moreno-Serra R, Conflict violence reduction and pregnancy outcomes: a regression discontinuity design in Colombia, PLoS Medicine, 2021, Vol:18(7). (doi)
The pre-publication version of this work was awarded the Colombian National Medical Academy Prize for Scientific Research 2020 (Premio de la Academia Nacional de Medicina a la Investigación Científica 2020).
Leon-Giraldo S, Casas G, Cuervo-Sánchez JS, García T, González-Uribe C, Moreno-Serra R, Bernal O, Trastornos de salud mental en población desplazada por el conflicto en Colombia: análisis comparado frente a la Encuesta Nacional de Salud Mental 2015, Revista Colombiana de Psiquiatría, 2021. (publication)
Leon-Giraldo S, Casas G, Cuervo-Sánchez JS, González-Uribe C, Bernal O, Moreno-Serra R, Suhrcke M, Health in conflict zones: analyzing inequalities in mental health in Colombian conflict-affected territories, International Journal of Public Health, 2021, Vol:66. (doi)
Yang F, Leon-Giraldo S, Moreno-Serra R, Health-related quality of life of a conflict-affected population in Colombia, Quality of Life Research, 2021. (doi)
Leon-Giraldo S, Casas G, Cuervo-Sánchez JS, González-Uribe C, Olmos A, Kreif N, Suhrcke M, Bernal O, Moreno-Serra R, A light of hope? Inequalities in mental health before and after the peace agreement in Colombia: a decomposition analysis, International Journal for Equity in Health, 2021, Vol:20(39). (doi)
Kreif N, Mirelman A, Love-Koh J, Kim S, Moreno-Serra R, Revill P, Sculpher M, Suhrcke M, From impact evaluation to decision-analysis: assessing the extent and quality of evidence on ‘value for money’ in health impact evaluations in low- and middle-income countries. Gates Open Research, 2021, Vol:5(1). (doi)
Chirwa G, Suhrcke M, Moreno-Serra R, Socioeconomic inequality in premiums for a community based health insurance scheme in Rwanda, Health Policy and Planning, 2020 (online first). (doi)
Chirwa G, Suhrcke M, Moreno-Serra R, The impact of Ghana’s national health insurance on psychological distress, Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, 2019, Vol:18, Pages:249-259. (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Anaya-Montes M, Smith PC, Potential determinants of health system efficiency: evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean, PLoS ONE, 2019, Vol:14(5), e0216620. (doi)
Mengqi Qin V, Hone T, Millett C, Moreno-Serra R, McPake B, Atun R, Lee, JT, The impact of user charges on health outcomes in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review, BMJ Global Health, 2019, Vol:3, e001087 (publication)
de la Maisonneuve C, Moreno-Serra R, Murtin F, Oliveira Martins, J, The role of policy and institutions on health spending, Health Economics, 2017, Vol:26, Pages:834-843. (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Smith PC, Broader health coverage is good for the nation’s health: evidence from country-level panel data, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2015 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, The impact of cost-containment policies on health expenditure: evidence from recent OECD experiences, OECD Journal on Budgeting, 2014, Vol:12, Pages:1-29 (publication)
Also available as a chapter in: Fiscal Sustainability of Health Systems: Bridging Health and Finance Perspectives, pp. 129-158, OECD Publishing, Paris, 2015 (doi)
Gaynor M, Moreno-Serra R, Propper C, Death by market power: reform, competition, and patient outcomes in the National Health Service, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2013, Vol:5, Pages:134-166 (publication)
This paper was awarded the American Economic Journal: Economic Policy Best Paper prize 2016. You can download a complimentary copy here: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/pol.5.4.134
Moreno-Serra R, Smith PC, Does progress towards universal health coverage improve population health?, Lancet, 2012, Vol:380, Pages:917-923 (doi)
Gaynor M, Moreno-Serra R, Propper C, Can competition improve outcomes in UK health care? Lessons from the past two decades, Journal of Health Services Research & Policy, 2012, Vol:17, Pages:49-54 (doi)
Bloom N, Cooper Z, Gaynor M, et al, In defence of our research on competition in England's National Health Service, Lancet, 2011, Vol:378, Pages:2064-2065 (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Millett C, Smith PC, Towards improved measurement of financial protection in health, PLoS Medicine, 2011, Vol:8 (doi)
Gaynor M, Moreno-Serra R, Propper C, Competition could substantially benefit healthcare, British Medical Journal, 2011, Vol:343 (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Wagstaff A, Systemwide impacts of hospital payment reforms: evidence from Central and Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Journal of Health Economics, 2010, Vol:29, Pages:585-602 (publication)
Wagstaff A, Moreno-Serra R, Europe and Central Asia's great post-communist social health insurance experiment: aggregate impacts on health sector outcomes, Journal of Health Economics, 2009, Vol:28, Pages:322-340 (publication)
Grinbaum R, Moreno-Serra R, et al, Cost minimization analysis: use of Linezolid vs Vancomycin for MRSA skin and soft tissues infections, Revista Panamericana de Infectologia, 2005, Vol:7, Pages:16-27 (doi)
Books edited and book chapters:
Mazumdar S, Moreno-Serra R, Political economy of public financing of health in low-and-middle-income countries, In: Elgar Handbook on the Political Economy of Health Systems, Editors: Costa-Font J, Batinti A, Turati G; London, Edward Elgar, 2023 (publication).
Casas G, Leon-Giraldo S, Uskategui C, González-Uribe C, Moreno-Serra R, Bernal O, Desplazamiento forzado y salud mental en el Meta antes y después de los acuerdos de paz: desafíos para el posacuerdo, In: Después del Acuerdo ¿Cómo va la paz en Colombia?, Editors: Rettberg A, Restrepo LB; Colombia, Ediciones Uniandes, 2023 (publication)
Leon-Giraldo S, Caicedo N, Casas G, González-Uribe C, Moreno-Serra R, Bernal O, Inequidades en el acceso a salud en el departamento del Meta: de la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Colombia a la actualidad, In: Después del Acuerdo ¿Cómo va la paz en Colombia?, Editors: Rettberg A, Restrepo LB; Colombia, Ediciones Uniandes, 2023 (publication)
Revill P, Suhrcke M, Moreno-Serra R, Sculpher M (Eds), Global Health Economics: Shaping Health Policy in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, London, World Scientific, 2020 (free access)
Moreno-Serra R, Hole, A, Smith, PC, A new approach to measuring health development: from national income toward health coverage (and beyond), In: Global Health Economics: Shaping Health Policy in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, Editors: Revill P, Suhrcke M, Moreno-Serra R, Sculpher M; London, World Scientific, 2020 (free access)
Pinto D, Moreno-Serra R, Cafagna G, Giles Alvarez L, Efficient spending for healthier lives, In: Better Spending for Better Lives: How Latin America and the Caribbean Can Do More with Less, Editors: Izquierdo A, Pessino C, Vuletin G; Washington (DC), Inter-American Development Bank, 2018 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, Thomson S, Xu K, Measuring and comparing financial protection, In: Health System Performance Comparison: An Agenda for Policy, Information and Research, Editors: Smith PC, Papanicolas I, Figueras J, pp. 223-254, Berkshire (UK), Open University Press, 2013 (publication)
Wagstaff A, Moreno-Serra R, Great post-communist experiment in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, In: Scaling Up Affordable Health Insurance: Staying the Course, Editors: Preker A, Lindner M, Chernichovsky D, Schellekens O, pp. 357-392, Washington (D.C.), The World Bank, 2013 (publication)
Wagstaff A, Moreno-Serra R, Social health insurance and labor market outcomes: evidence from Central and Eastern Europe, and Central Asia, ln: Advances in Health Economics and Health Services Research, vol.21, Editors: Chernichovsky D, Hanson K, pp. 83-106, Bingley (UK), Emerald Group Publishing, 2009 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, Uma avaliacao do impacto do Programa Saude da Familia sobre a saude infantil no Estado de Sao Paulo (An evaluation of the impact of the Family Health Programme on infant health in the State of Sao Paulo), ln: Economia da Saude: 1o Premio Nacional 2004. Coletanea Premiada, Editor: Piola J, Brasilia, IPEA/DFID, 2005 (publication in Portuguese)
Policy reports and working papers:
Moreno-Serra R, Monteiro P, Ruiz Marin W, Campos M, Hernandez de Ayala M, Barahona Kruger A, Miranda J, Salud y macroeconomía: el impacto del gasto o inversión en salud en el crecimiento económico de Centroamérica y República Dominicana (Health and the macroeconomy: the impact of health spending or investment on the economic growth of Central America and the Dominican Republic), SE-COMISCA, June, 2024 (publication in Spanish)
Montoya Diaz MD, Pereda P, Rocha F, Moreno-Serra R, Tavares P, Carbonari F, Contreras Urbina JM, COVID-19 and femicides in Brazil, World Bank, January, 2023 (publication)
Tavares P, Carbonari F, Contreras Urbina JM, Montoya Diaz MD, Rocha F, Pereda P, Moreno-Serra R, COVID-19 and violence against women in low- and middle-income countries, World Bank, January, 2023 (publication)
León-Giraldo S, Bernal O, González-Uribe C, Casas G, Cuervo-Sánchez JS, Moreno-Serra R, Acceso a salud y percepción sobre la calidad de la atención médica en el departamento del Meta: una mirada después de los acuerdos con las Farc, Notas de Politica, No. 41, Universidad de Los Andes, March, 2022 (publication)
Lordemus S, Kreif N, Moreno-Serra R, Public healthcare financing during counterinsurgency efforts: evidence from Colombia, HiCN working paper HiCN WP-348. Households in Conflict Network, June, 2021 (publication)
Diaz MD, Teixeira A, Postali F, Ferreira-Batista N, Moreno-Serra R, Assessment of the Brazilian primary health care impacts on adult premature mortality, SSRN working paper, February, 2021 (publication)
Kreif N, Mirelman A, Suhrcke M, Buitrago G, Moreno-Serra R, The impact of civil conflict on child health: evidence from Colombia, HiCN working paper HiCN WP-336, Households in Conflict Network, November, 2020 (publication)
Kreif N, Mirelman A, Moreno-Serra R, Hidayat T, DiazOrdaz K, Suhrcke M, Who benefits from health insurance? Uncovering heterogeneous policy impacts using causal machine learning, CHE Research Paper 173, University of York, 2020 (publication)
León-Giraldo S, Bernal O, González-Uribe C, Casas G, Cuervo-Sánchez JS, Olmos A, García T, Moreno-Serra R, Acceso a salud y percepción sobre la calidad de la atención médica en el departamento del Meta: una mirada después de los acuerdos con las Farc, Documentos de Trabajo, No. 76, Escuela de Gobierno Alberto Lleras Camargo, Universidad de Los Andes, September, 2020 (publication)
Montoya Diaz MD, Teixeira AD, Postali FAS, Ferreira-Batista NN, Moreno-Serra R, Primary health care coverage in Brazil: assessment of the Family Health Program impacts on mortality at municipality level, Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_42, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), 2019 (publication)
Ferreira-Batista NN, Montoya Diaz MD, Teixeira AD, Postali FAS, Moreno-Serra R, Impact of ESF coverage on general health at the individual level - metropolitan areas, Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_43, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), 2019 (publication)
de la Maisonneuve C, Moreno-Serra R, Murtin F, Oliveira-Martins J, The drivers of public health spending: integrating policies and institutions, OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1283, OECD Publishing, 2016 (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Hole A, Smith PC, Towards a broader framework for assessing country development in health: a practical approach based on theory and evidence, Final report prepared for the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (Equitable Access Initiative), 2016 (Available from: EAI website)
Nakamura R, Lomas J, Claxton K, Bokhari F, Moreno Serra R, Suhrcke M, Assessing the impact of health care expenditures on mortality using cross-country data, CHE Research Paper 128, University of York, 2016 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, Smarter purchasing of goods and services, In: OECD Reviews of Health Systems: Mexico 2016, pp. 147-172, Paris, OECD Publishing, 2016 (doi)
Moreno-Serra R, Performance of the Colombian health system, In: OECD Reviews of Health Systems: Colombia 2016, pp. 73-102, Paris, OECD Publishing, 2015 (doi)
Thomas R, Smith PC, Ezzati M, Hallett T, Moreno-Serra R, A formula to support the Global Fund’s new funding model, Final report prepared for the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, 2013 (Unpublished)
Moreno-Serra R, Smith PC, Towards an index of health coverage, Imperial College Business School Discussion Paper 2012/11, 2012 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, Smith PC, The effects of health coverage on population outcomes: a country-level panel data analysis, Results for Development Institute, 2011 (publication)
Gaynor M, Moreno-Serra R, Propper C, Death by market power: reform, competition and patient outcomes in the National Health Service, NBER Working Paper Series, 16164, NBER, 2010 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, Health programme evaluation by propensity score matching: accounting for treatment intensity and health externalities with an application to Brazil, HEDG Working Paper Series, 09/05, University of York, 2009 (publication)
Moreno-Serra R, Matching estimators of average treatment effects: a review applied to the evaluation of health care programmes, HEDG Working Paper Series, 07/02, University of York, 2007 (publication)
Campino A, Moreno-Serra R, Una propuesta de evaluacion economica del Programa de Salud de la Familia de Brasil (Economic evaluation of the Brazilian Family Health Programme: a preliminary proposal), Inter-American Development Bank SDS/SOC Technical Note on Health, 01, Inter-American Development Bank, 2004 (publication)