Emissions reduction is not working
The annual world-wide bump up in carbon dioxide has increased about 50 percent since the turn of the 21st century. The annual bump is now three times what it was in the 1960s.
This acceleration is not progress. And in the future?
Future prospects are poor, given A/C
About a third of annual emissions now come from the developing countries, soon to need overnight air conditioning to survive heatwaves. They will burn their local fossil fuels to generate electricity to run the extra A/C units, whatever treaties say. But it’s a global common because of air mixing, and so the CO₂ doesn’t stay local—just as ours did not.
Emissions reduction does not remove CO₂
Today, the continuing emphasis on “use less” without a cleanup is like treating a painful tooth solely with reduced sugar consumption. While emissions reduction was the obvious strategy for CO₂ fifty years ago, it is a preventative measure (like reducing smoking), not a fix once a disease (like lung cancer) develops.
However, reducing emissions is still needed because that shortens the time until cooling can begin. It's much like what is known as an adjuvant in medicine.
A warmer world causes more forest fires, the release of stored carbon adding to annual emissions, which triggers even more forest fires that raise CO₂ further.
Things have changed, but our strategy has not. The U.S., with only five percent of the world’s population, managed to create the largest national share of the present CO₂ accumulated excess—and then we ran away from the 2015 Paris Agreement on future emissions.