doi:10.1186/1749-799X-1-14 Received: 09 April 2006 Accepted: 21 November 2006 This article is available from: http://www.josr-online.com/content/1/1/14 © 2006 Lu et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery and Research 2006, 1:14 http://www.josr-online.com/content/1/1/14 Page 2 of 6 (page number not for citation purposes) The Osteoporosis Self-assessment Tool for Asians (OSTA) is an index using chart or formula to predict low BMD simply on the basis of age and weight[4]. It was firstly proposed by Koh LK, which had a sensitivity of 91% and specificity of 45% in identifying women of high risk when compared with final results of femoral neck BMD measurement in Asia women. The index of Osteoporosis Selfassessment Tool (OST) is calculated by the same formula or chart of OSTA, which is reported to predict low BMD in other races of people using different cutoff values[5]. In this article, 218 Chinese women of Han nationality in Sichuan province were assessed by OSTA index and the usefulness of OSTA was evaluated to predict osteoporosis in comparing with LS BMD which measured by DXA. 2. Data and methods This study is a diagnostic test. We analyzed the database of DXA measurement for lumbar spine BMD (LS BMD) from August 1st 2005 to September 30th 2005 in our hospital. Most of the patients did not measure femoral neck or hip BMD. In-patient and out-patient postmenopausal women of Han nationality from Sichuan province were selected for further evaluation, among which enrolled in a physical examination clinic, rehabilitation department, geriatric department and endocrinology department were recruited. Patients were ineligible if they had a history in their case files of advanced osteoarthritis, hyperthyroidism, hyperparathyroidism, renal failure, and other knowing severe diseases or conditions that could interfere with bone metabolism. Finally, 218 postmenopausal women were eligible and applied the OSTA index. LS BMD by DXA was measured with Challenger densitometer (DMS, France), which uses the DMS reference source for the spine. A spine phantom was measured every week to keep the precision error less than 2%. All measurements were completed by one operator. T scores of lumbar spine L2 to L4 were obtained and osteoporosis was defined as T scores of any site equal to or less than -2.5[6]. In addition, when compared with the OSTA index, a T score cutoff for osteoporosis of -2.0 were also applied, according to the consensus of some specialists in China[7]. These postmenopausal women were identified at various BMD thresholds (T score values of -2.0 and - 2.5) for osteoporosis and non-osteoporosis (osteopenia or normal). OSTA index was derived according to the formula of 0.2 × (weight in kilograms – age in years), truncated to an integer[4,5,8]. Three risk categories were used for the index according to its developer's recommendations[4] and in our study, dichotomous cutoff for Asian women were used as the following: ≥ 0 for low risk and < 0 for moderate-high risk. A fourfold table was applied to calculate the sensitivity (sen.), specificity (spe.), and accuracy of OSTA compared with different T score cutoffs of LS BMD by DXA. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC curves) were constructed and the areas under curve (AUC) as well as its 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was estimated by using SPSS statistical software10.0 (SPSS Inc.). The prevalence of osteoporosis was examined across different categories of the OSTA risk index. 3. Results The mean age of the postmenopausal women in this study was 59.0 ± 9.2 years, and the mean weight was 56.7 ± 9.8 kg. The prevalence of osteoporosis at lumbar spine increased progressively with age (Figure 1). Of all the women in our sample, 40.4% (T ≤ -2.5) and 61.5% (T ≤ - 2.0) were osteoporotic at L2–4, respectively. The OSTA index varied between -9 to 6, and the percent distribution of the women according to the OSTA index is shown in Figure 2. On the basis of categories used in Asian women[4], there are 50.5% women (n = 110) of low risk, 42.2% (n = 92) of moderate risk, and 7.3% (n = 16) of high risk, respectively. Figure 3 shows the different cutoffs for LS BMD T score by DXA and the categories of low, moderate, and high risk of osteoporosis by OSTA index. Table 1 was the fourfold table of OSTA in assessing risk of osteoporosis comparing with LS BMD according to various cutoffs. Performance of OSTA risk index comparing with LS BMD by DXA and T score cutoffs was shown in table 2. The results showed that the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 59.1%, 56.9%, 57.8% (LS BMD T score cutoff -2.5), and 57.5%, 63.1%, 59.6%(LS BMD T score cutoff -2.0), respectively. The OSTA yielded AUC of 0.615 (95% CI 0.537 to 0.692) and 0.628 (95% CI 0.553 to 0.703) for LS BMD by DXA T score of -2.5 or less and -2.0 or less, respectively (Figure 4 and 5). 4. Discussion It's never ending for specialists to find out an easy tool for osteoporosis risk evaluation. The Chinese Medical Association recommended that all women aged 65 and older or