Open Letter to Chief Science Advisor of Canada
Our mission:
"To enable and unite Canadians by providing Data evidence and tools to help each other in the time of hardships caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and associated government measures"
By building state-of-art Dashboards and tracking Data over time,
we make Observations and prepare Communications,
which are delivered to politicians, lawyers and general public,
as well as discussed at our open weekly webinars.
We use Data ONLY from Official Government sources.
Click here to see the list of these sources.
Googlesheet that tracks data from these sources is here
[PHAC0] COVID-19 vaccination in Canada, Public Health Agency of Canada: https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/vaccination-coverage/
Figure 1. Cumulative number of [ people / people 5 and older / people 12 and older / people 18 and older ] who have received [ at least 1 dose / fully vaccinated / fully vaccinated and at least 1 additional dose / fully vaccinated and 2 additional doses ] of a COVID-19 vaccine in Canada by jurisdiction,
[PHAC-1] 'COVID-19 Daily Epidemiology Update', Public Health Agency of Canada: https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html = https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19 (Updated weekly). Archive of past reports: IVIM.ca/data/phac1 (cached from web.archive.org).
Cases following vaccination:
Table 2. Characteristics and severe outcomes among unvaccinated, partially vaccinated ...Severe illness and outcomes - Variation by Age:
Figure 7. Age and gender distribution of COVID-19 cases in Canada
[PHAC-2] Reported side effects following COVID-19 vaccination in Canada, Public Health Agency of Canada: https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/vaccine-safety/ (Updated weekly). Archive of past reports: https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/vaccine-safety/archive/
Figure 1. Weekly number of reports of COVID-19 vaccine adverse event reports
Figure 3. Number of adverse event reports by age group
Table 1. Count of reported adverse events of special interest
[StatCan-1] Provisional weekly death counts, by selected grouped causes of death (Updated monthly): https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1310081001
Interactive Web App Deaths and Excess Deaths Tracker: https://o-canada.shinyapps.io/vitals (Shortcut: ivim.ca/app)
[StatCan-2] Provisional weekly death counts, by age group and sex (Updated monthly): https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1310076801
We use the terminology and definitions ONLY from Official Government sources.
Click here to see the list of key terms and their definitions.
These terms are tracked in Googlesheet here
Definitions used in [PHAC-0]
Cumulative number of people who have received at least 1 dose
Cumulative number of partially vaccinated people
Cumulative number of fully vaccinated people
Cumulative number of fully vaccinated people with an additional dose
Definitions used in [PHAC-1] (Table 2 - Definitions)
PHAC monitors cases following vaccination using the following categories:
0 dose =
Unvaccinated cases: include those who were unvaccinated at the time of their episode date.1 dose <14 days =
Cases not yet protected from vaccination include those whose episode date occurred less than 14 days after their first dose of the vaccine.1 dose 14+ & 2 doses <14 days =
Partially vaccinated cases include those whose episode date occurred 14 days or more after their first vaccine dose or less than 14 days after their second dose of the vaccine.(either 2 doses or 1 J&J dose) 14+ days, or 3 doses (+) <14 days =
Fully vaccinated cases include those whose episode date occurred 14 days or more after receipt of a second dose in a two-dose series or 14 days or more after receipt of one dose of a one-dose vaccine series,, and, if an additional (i.e., third or booster) dose was received, 0 to <14 days after receipt of the additional dose.3+ doses 14+ days =
Fully vaccinated cases with an additional dose include those whose episode date occurred 14 days or more following the receipt of at least one additional dose (e.g., third or booster) of a COVID-19 vaccine product, after being fully vaccinated.
Note: A COVID-19 vaccine product includes vaccines authorized by Health Canada and vaccines accepted by the Government of Canada for the purpose of travel to and within Canada.
The Data are tracked along the following dimensions:
Click on links to proceed to the corresponding parts of the analysis
Observations
Click here for the summary of reported observations.
Go to Analysis for more observations and results.
Excess deaths
There are more total and excess deaths after vaccination than before vaccination - especially among young people (0 to 44). Read more.
Statistics Canada has removed the data related to the spike of deaths after vaccination among young people (0 to 44) in New Brunswick. Read more.
Vaccine efficacy
Data show that vaccines reduce COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths with COVID-19. The efficacy of each vaccine dose however diminished over time, and they may cause severe side-effects, including deaths. Read more.
No significant reduction is observed since December 2021 ('Significant' refers to least by a factor of ten)
Since April 2022, people with one dose have the least count of Cases. Read more.
Since August 2021, percentage of fully vaccinated in the weekly count of COVID-19 cases has been increasing faster than the vaccination rate, more than double by January 2022.
Algorithmic bias is embedded in calculation of reported percentages of fully vaccinated in COVID-19 cases that skews the results in favour of fully vaccinated. Read more.
As provinces switched to using the new "protected" category, "Fully vaccinated" with 2 doses are now "unprotected", unless they take another shot. Read more.
Individuals dying within 2 weeks of vaccination are not counted as vaccinated. Read more.
Vaccine side effects
Vaccine side-effects are reported with several months delay.
Some people complained that they were not able to report vaccine side-effect. It is not known how many side-effects are not reported. Read more.
Children (under 18) are most disadvantaged by vaccine. Read more.
Other:
Data from US CDC and other official sources showed that "natural immunity" provides better protection than vaccine-induced immunity.
By March 2022, over 75% of Canadians are estimated to have "natural immunity" - either combined with vaccine-induced immunity or without it. 90% of children in Canada are estimated to have "natural immunity" after Omicron wave. Read more
The terms "natural immunity" , "herd immunity" are publicized in countries that have removed all pandemic restrictions, such as UK, Denmark, and other countries in EU. These terms however are mentioned in official reports in Canada.
No reports on the efficacy and safety of vaccines were produced by the Office of the Chief Scientific Advisor of Canada after July 2021, which is when post-marketing data related to vaccine efficacy have become available in Canada. Read more
Main Dashboard
Click here to learn about Dashboard design and how to use it.
Go to Apps for more interactive visualizations.
Notes:
This Dashboard is generated from this Googlesheet. If your organization blocks access to Google Documents, nothing will be shown on our screen. In this case, please view the older version of this Dashboard at www.IVIM.ca
Every effort possible is made to reduce the chance of error in reproducing the statistics copied from the official sources. At minimum, two reviewers always validate all entered data and formulas. Nevertheless, some errors, although of minor significance, may still be present (such using different averaging windows for different dates or metrics). Please contact open-canada-data@ivim.ca, if you find any error or have any questions. Join weekly seminars to discuss them.
Adverse events and COVID cases statistics are reported on different dates and with different granularity and reporting delays. Hence they are rounded to the closest month, when the comparisons between these statistics are made.
Note that some graphs use Logarithmic (i.e. by factor of) scale
For some metrics, interactive Web Applications built using R programming language are also available at www.IVIM.ca/app. More of such Apps are currently being developed.
How to use the Dashboards:
To see the statistics behind the graphical visualizations, hover with your mouse over the images.
To view graph in full size , click on the pointer in top right corner of the graph. You maybe required to enter your Google login to view it in full size. No Google login is required thought to view graphs as part of the Dashboard below.
Warning: If you see an icon of "cloud" instead of graphs below, it means that your computer does not have excess to Google documents.
In this case, you can watch the cached images from the Dashboard at the bottom of this page or in Newsletter.
In this case, you can watch the cached images from the Dashboard at the bottom of this page or in Newsletter.
Summary
Vaccination rates by dose ("Fully vaccinated" / "Up-to-date vaccinated" / "Protected") [Placeholder]
Herd immunity / Natural Immunity rates [Placeholder]
1: Total Deaths and Excess Deaths
To open Death Tracker App in separate window, click here.
2: COVID-19 Deaths
3: Vaccine Efficacy
Weekly COVID-19 Death Rates and Odds: by vaccination status, averaged over all Age groups.
For data on COVID-19 Hospitalization and Cases by vaccination status, go here.
Weekly Death Rates and Odds: by vaccination status and by Age group [Placeholder]
This data is currently not reported in Canada, it can be estimated using UK official data.
4: Vaccine Safety
Vaccine Reactions of Special Interest: by Age group [Placeholder]
5. Combined Toll
Combined Toll - tracked over time [Placeholder]
All complications from COVID-19 (incl. Hospitalizations and long-COVID): by Age group
All complications from Vaccine (inc. long-term non-serious and not-reported): by Age group
Excess deaths by Age group and Death cause
6. Data integrity issues
Data integrity issues - tracked over time [Placeholder]
Tracking of delay increase in reporting total deaths
Tracking of Data reduction and removal
Tracking of critical metrics and variables that are not reported
Tracking of "NA" (Information not available) death causes
Cached images from the Dashboard for computers that don't have access to Google documents
Click on the image below to navigate to the next image using arrows