Probability Adventures: Exploring the World of Chance and Choice


The recent LUMS Math Circle titled "Probability Adventures: Exploring the World of Chance and Choice" was nothing short of vibrant and intellectually stimulating. Hosted by Dr. Waqas Ali Azhar and Dr. Reza, both esteemed members of the LUMS Mathematics Department, the session explored foundational concepts of probability and set theory with a refreshing hands-on approach.

The event began with Dr. Waqas posing an engaging question, “What is a set?” As students responded enthusiastically, he used examples to clarify concepts, setting the stage for a variety of activities. From identifying vowels in the alphabet to explaining why subjective collections, like “good teachers,” don’t qualify as sets, he made these abstract ideas tangible. The session later introduced students to Venn diagrams, operations on sets, and the principle of inclusion-exclusion through real-world examples, making it accessible for first-timers and familiar faces alike.

Dr. Reza brought a new perspective on experiments, emphasizing uncertainty, clear outcomes, and repetition—principles that anchor probability theory. As an example, he used everyday scenarios, from tossing a coin to more complex cases like the random picking of objects from a given lot.

 Dr. Waqas introduced the famous Pascal's triangle by Blaise Pascal. The session also delved into combinatorics with examples on choosing students for a project, which eventually led to discussions around the structure and beauty of Pascal’s Triangle.

The session closed with Dr. Waqas sharing the “German Tanks problem,” which captivated everyone with its blend of history and mathematical deduction. Overall, the event was a remarkable convergence of mathematical insight, storytelling, and practical problem-solving, leaving students both entertained and more knowledgeable.

Special thanks to Ms. Noreen Sohail, Mr. Qamar Hussain, and Mr. Javaid Qayyum for their continued organizational support.

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Here are some highlights from the event: