VUCA

VUCA :The term "uka" is derived from the leadership theory of Warren Bennis and Bert Nanus in the 1980s, and was later introduced by the U.S. Army War College. The term "Uka Age" is used to describe four characteristics of modern society: variability, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity; To distinguish it from the stable, mechanical administrative ecology of the pre-industrial age. 

V=Volatilty mean is refers to the rapid and unpredictable changes that occur in various aspects of the world. These changes can be economic, technological, political, or social in nature. Volatility often leads to increased risk and the need for organizations and individuals to be agile and adaptable.  

U=Uncertainty mean is describes the lack of predictability and the presence of unknown factors that affect decision-making and planning. In a VUCA world, it becomes difficult to accurately anticipate future events or outcomes due to complex and interdependent systems. Uncertainty requires a flexible and proactive mindset to navigate through challenges.  

C=Complexity mean is reflects the intricate and interconnected nature of today's problems and situations. In a complex world, issues are often multifaceted and involve numerous variables and stakeholders. Understanding and managing complexity require holistic thinking, systemic approaches, and the ability to analyze and synthesize diverse information. 

A=Ambiguity mean is refers to the existence of multiple interpretations or meanings within a given situation. In an ambiguous world, information can be incomplete, contradictory, or subject to different perspectives. Ambiguity often creates confusion and makes it challenging to make clear and definitive decisions. The ability to tolerate and work with ambiguity is crucial in navigating a VUCA world. 

example 1

       Since 2019, with the outbreak of the new coronavirus epidemic, the price of commodities has risen particularly sharply, especially the price of sea transportation, shipping lines to the Americas and Africa, the price has doubled several times, and the recent shutdown of power rationing has begun, whether in the south or the northeast, electricity is tight, and many enterprises have been forced to stop production, so we will find that it is increasingly difficult for enterprises to do things in this era. In fact, many uncertain factors are increasing, in this case, will the business life be easy? The answer is no. After the epidemic last year, many enterprises were forced to close down, according to incomplete statistics, after the epidemic there were more than 3 million companies cancelled, which shows that many enterprises in this sudden period did not adjust their strategy in time, encountered many difficulties, and finally had to close down. So we say that these characteristics actually show the characteristics of our VUCA era. 

example 2

      In contrast, Tesla has adapted to the characteristics of the VUCA era in its development process 

      Since its birth, Tesla has attracted the attention of the industry as an innovator and disruptor, which also includes the direct sales model of "online sales + offline experience and service" that it has always adhered to. The self-operated offline experience store can provide standardized, specialized and experience services that are not for the purpose of direct transaction on the spot. This model is the result of Tesla's learning from Apple, and is a typical case of cross-border learning. 

In the future, cross-border learning will become a trend of learning, that is, people in one line of work will learn the knowledge of other lines of work. The purpose of cross-boundary learning is not necessarily to make people become a generalist, but to learn from other fields that do not have methods in their own line of work. The new perspective and new way of thinking brought by cross-boundary will expand our thinking reserve, so that we can make better choices in an appropriate way when facing the challenges of VUCA.