Epidemiology

Epidemiologia

Keywords: Aerodynamic characteristics, Aerosol, Aerosol stability, Air contamination, Asymptomatic contact, Biological fluid dynamics, Case definitions, Case isolation, Cats, Climate, Contact tracing, Control, Coughing, Diagnostic lag, Dogs, Efficacy of face masks, Environmental factors, Epidemic curve, Epidemiology, Epidemic spread, Estimates, Exhaled breath, Fatality rates, Ferrets, Fluid mechanics, Impact of interventions, Mortality, Multiphase flows, Non-pharmaceutical interventions, Number of infections, Particle-laden flows, Phylogenetic, PPE, PPE contamination, Personal protective equipment, R0, Reproductive number, RNA concentration, R-nought, Respiratory virus shedding, Response, Semen, Sneezing, Spread rate, Surface environmental contamination, Surface stability, Surveillance, Temperature-dependence, Transmission, Transmission parameters, Travel restrictions, Turbulent flows, Unreported cases, Veterinary, Violent expiratory events, Water, Within-host reproductive number.
Palavras-chave: Aerosol, Água, Atraso no diagnóstico, Cães, Cachorros, Características aerodinâmicas, Casos não relatados, Clima, Concentração de RNA, Contaminação ambiental de superfície, Contaminação do ar, Contaminação do EPI, Contato assintomático, Controle, Curva epidêmica, Definições de caso, Dependência de temperatura, Derramamento do vírus respiratório, Dinâmica de fluidos biológicos, Eficácia das máscaras faciais, EPI, Epidemiologia, Equipamento de proteção individual, Espirro, Estabilidade do aerosol, Estabilidade de superfície, Estimativas, Eventos expiratórios violentos, Exalação, Fatores ambientais, Filogenética, Fluxos carregados de partículas, Fluxos multifásicos, Fluxos turbulentos, Furão, Furões, Gatos, Impacto das intervenções, Intervenções não farmacêuticas, Isolamento de casos, Mecânica dos fluidos, Mortalidade, Número de infecções, Número reprodutivo, Número reprodutivo dentro do hospedeiro, Parâmetros de transmissão, Propagação epidêmica, R0, R-nought, Rastreamento de contato, Resposta, Restrições de viagem, Sêmen, Taxas de fatalidade, Taxa de propagação, Temperatura, Tosse, Transmissão, Veterinária, Vigilância.
NOTE: most recent articles always on top | artigos mais recentes sempre em cima

Models, Rates & Estimates | Modelos, Taxas & Estimativas

NYC DOHMH COVID-19 Response Team (May 11, 2020). Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak — New York City, March 11–May 2, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep [69:ePub]. http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6919e5

Weitz JS, Beckett SJ, Coenen AR, et al. (May 7, 2020). Modeling shield immunity to reduce COVID-19 epidemic spread. Nat Med [ONLINE]. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0895-3

IHME (May 4, 2020). New IHME Forecast Projects Nearly 135,000 COVID-19 Deaths in US. IHME [DATA]. http://www.healthdata.org/news-release/new-ihme-forecast-projects-nearly-135000-covid-19-deaths-us

Wu J, McCann A (Apr 21, 2020). 25,000 Missing Deaths: Tracking the True Toll of the Coronavirus Crisis. NYT [NEWS]. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html

Salje H, Kiem CT, Lefrancq N, Courtejoie N, Bosetti P, Paireau J, et al. (Apr 20, 2020). Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France. HAL [PREPRINT]. https://hal-pasteur.archives-ouvertes.fr/pasteur-02548181

Gao S-J [Ed.] (Apr, 2020). Special Issue: 2019 Novel Coronavirus Origin, Evolution, Disease, Biology and Epidemiology: Part‐I. J Med Virol 92(4):399-459. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/10969071/2020/92/4

Vargas EAH, Velasco-Hernandez JX (Apr 15, 2020). In-host Modelling of COVID-19 Kinetics in Humans. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.26.20044487

Kissler SM, Tedijanto C, Goldstein E, Grad YH, Lipsitch M (Apr 14, 2020). Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period. Science, eabb5793. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb5793

Sanche S, Lin YT, Xu C, Romero-Severson E, Hengartner N, Ke R (Apr 7, 2020). High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2. Emerg Infect Dis 26(7), 2020 Jul. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2607.200282

Kong W-H, Li Y, Peng M-W, Kong D-G, Yang X-B, Wang L, Liu M-Q (Apr 7, 2020). SARS-CoV-2 detection in patients with influenza-like illness. Nat Microbiol 5:675–678. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-020-0713-1

Katz J, Quealy K, Sanger-Katz M (Apr 4, 2020, updated daily). Coronavirus in the U.S.: How Fast It’s Growing. NYT [NEWS]. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/03/upshot/coronavirus-metro-area-tracker.html

Popovich N (Apr 1, 2020). How U.S. Coronavirus Diagnoses Are Lagging Behind the Outbreak. NYT [NEWS]. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/us/coronavirus-covid-19-symptoms-data.html

Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team (30 Mar 2020). Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries. Medical Research Council (MRC). https://doi.org/10.25561/77731

Tsang TK, Wu P, Lin YLY, Lau E, Leung GM, Cowling BJ (Mar 27, 2020). Impact of changing case definitions for COVID-19 on the epidemic curve and transmission parameters in mainland China. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.23.20041319

Böttcher L, Xia M, Chou T (Mar 26, 2020). Why estimating population-based case fatality rates during epidemics may be misleading. arXiv [PREPRINT]. https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.12032

Magal P, Webb G (Mar 25, 2020). Predicting the number of reported and unreported cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in South Korea, Italy, France and Germany. medRxriv [PRE-PROOF]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.21.20040154

Sayburn A (Mar 25, 2020). Covid-19: experts question analysis suggesting half UK population has been infected. BMJ 2020;368:m1216 [NEWS; CRITICISM OF LOURENÇO et al.]. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m1216

Lourenço K,​ Paton R​, Ghafari M,​ Kraemer M,​ Thompson C, et al., Gupta S (Mar 24, 2020, updated Mar 26, 2020). Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. [PRE-PROOF; SEE CRITICISM IN SAYBURN]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042291

Deb S, Majumdar M (Mar 24, 2020). A time series method to analyze incidence pattern and estimate reproduction number of COVID-19. arXiv [PREPRINT]. https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.10655

Baud D, Qi X, Nielsen-Saines K, Musso D, Pomar L, Favre G (Mar 12, 2020). Real estimates of mortality following COVID-19 infection. The Lancet Infectious Diseases [ONLINE]. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30195-X

Fanelli D, Piazza F (Mar 12, 2020). Analysis and forecast of COVID-19 spreading in China, Italy and France. arXiv [PREPRINT]. https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.06031

Nishiura H, Linton NM, Akhmetzhanov AR (Mar 4, 2020). Serial interval of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections. Int J Infect Dis 93:P284-286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.060

Delamater PL, Street EJ, Leslie TF, Yang YT, Jacobsen KH (Jan, 2019). Complexity of the Basic Reproduction Number (R0). Emerg Infect Dis 25(1):1-4. https://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2501.171901

Transmission & Control | Transmissão & Controle

Lasry A, Kidder D, Hast M, Poovey J, Sunshine G, Winglee K, et al. (Apr 13, 2020). Timing of Community Mitigation and Changes in Reported COVID-19 and Community Mobility — Four U.S. Metropolitan Areas, February 26–April 1, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep [69:ePub]. http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6915e2

Kissler S, Tedijanto C, Lipsitch M, Grad YH (Mar, 2020). Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic. Harvard University’s DASH repository [PREPRINT]. http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:42638988

Bi Q, Wu Y, Mei S, Ye C, Zou X, Zhang Z, et al. (Mar 27, 2020). Epidemiology and Transmission of COVID-19 in Shenzhen China: Analysis of 391 cases and 1,286 of their close contacts. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.03.20028423

Lai, KKR; Collins, K (Mar 19, 2020). Which Country Has Flattened the Curve for the Coronavirus? NYT. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/19/world/coronavirus-flatten-the-curve-countries.html

Tanne JH, Hayasaki E, Zastrow M, Pulla P, Smith P, Rada AG (Mar 18, 2020). Covid-19: how doctors and healthcare systems are tackling coronavirus worldwide. BMJ 368:m1090. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m1090

Pung R, Chiew CJ, Young BE, Chin S, Chen MIC, Clapham HE, et al. (Mar 17, 2020). Investigation of three clusters of COVID-19 in Singapore: implications for surveillance and response. The Lancet [CORR. PROOF]. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30528-6

Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team (Mar 16, 2020). Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID- 19 mortality and healthcare demand. Medical Research Council (MRC). https://doi.org/10.25561/77482

He Z (Mar 13, 2020). What further should be done to control COVID-19 outbreaks in addition to cases isolation and contact tracing measures? BMC Medicine 18, 80. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01551-8

Ebrahim SH, Memish ZA (Mar 9, 2020). COVID-19 – the role of mass gatherings. Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease [CORR. PROOF]. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101617

Lupia T, Scabini S, Pinna SM, Perri GD, Rosa FGD, Corcione S (Mar 7, 2020). 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak: A new challenge. Journal of Global Antimicrobial Resistance 21, 22-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jgar.2020.02.021

Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Ajelli M, Gioannini C, Litvinova M, Merler S, et al. (Mar 6, 2020). The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. Science: eaba9757. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba9757

Li JY, You Z, Wang Q, Zhou ZJ, Qiu Y, Luo R, et al. (Mar 2020). The epidemic of 2019-novel-coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia and insights for emerging infectious diseases in the future. Microbes and Infection 22(2), 80-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.micinf.2020.02.002

Rothan HA, Byrareddy SN (Feb 26, 2020). The epidemiology and pathogenesis of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak. Journal of Autoimmunity [CORR. PROOF]. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaut.2020.102433

Lai CC, Shih TP, Ko WC, Tang HJ, Hsueh PR (Feb 17, 2020). Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): The epidemic and the challenges. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 55, 105924. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2020.105924

Li X, Zai J, Wang X, Li Y (Jan 30, 2020). Potential of large “first generation” human‐to‐human transmission of 2019‐nCoV. J Med Virol 92(4):448-454. https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.25693

Benvenuto D, Giovanetti M, Ciccozzi A, Spoto S, Angeletti S, Ciccozzi M (Jan 29, 2020). The 2019‐new coronavirus epidemic: Evidence for virus evolution. J Med Virol 92(4):455-459. https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.25688

Ji W, Wang W, Zhao X, Zai J, Li X (Jan 22, 2020). Cross‐species transmission of the newly identified coronavirus 2019‐nCoV. J Med Virol 92(4):433-440. https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.25682

Factors of Transmission (Air, Water, Surfaces, Temperature) | Fatores de Transmissão (Ar, Água, Superfícies, Temperatura)

NOTE : see Vaccination > Mutation Studies for articles on genomic epidemiology | vide Vacina > Estudos sobre Mutação para artigos sobre epidemiologia genômica

Liu Y, Ning Z, Chen Y, et al. (Apr 27, 2020). Aerodynamic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in two Wuhan hospitals. Nature [ONLINE]. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2271-3

Guo Z-D, Wang Z-Y, Zhang S-F, Li X, Li L, Li C, et al. (Apr 10, 2020). Aerosol and Surface Distribution of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 in Hospital Wards, Wuhan, China, 2020. Emerg Infect Dis 26(7)—July 2020 [ONLINE]. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2607.200885

Wu F, Xiao A, Zhang J, Gu X, Lee WL, Kauffman K, et al. (Apr 7, 2020). SARS-CoV-2 titers in wastewater are higher than expected from clinically confirmed cases. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.05.20051540

Araujo MB, Naimi B (Apr 7, 2020). Spread of SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus likely to be constrained by climate. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.12.20034728

Song C, Wang Y, Li W, Hu B, Chen G, Xia P, et al. (Apr 4, 2020). Detection of 2019 novel coronavirus in semen and testicular biopsy specimen of COVID-19 patients. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20042333

Jamil T, Alam IS, Gojobori T, Duarte C (Mar 31, 2020). No Evidence for Temperature-Dependence of the COVID-19 Epidemic. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.29.20046706

Medema G, Heijnen L, Elsinga G, Italiaander R, Brouwer A (Mar 30, 2020). Presence of SARS-Coronavirus-2 in sewage. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.29.20045880

Chin A, Chu J, Perera M, Hui K, Yen HL, Chan M, et al. (Mar 27, 2020). Stability of SARS-CoV-2 in different environmental conditions. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.15.20036673

Doremalen Nv, Morris DH, Holbrook MG, Gamble A, Williamson BN, Tamin A, et al. (Mar 17, 2020). Aerosol and Surface Stability of SARS-CoV-2 as Compared with SARS-CoV-1. N Engl J Med 2020 [ONLINE]. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2004973

Ye G, Lin H, Chen L, Wang S, Zeng Z, Wang W, et al. (Mar 16, 2020). Environmental contamination of the SARS-CoV-2 in healthcare premises: An urgent call for protection for healthcare workers. medRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.11.20034546

Liu Y, Ning Z, Chen Y, Guo M, Liu Y, Gali NM, et al. (Mar 10, 2020). Aerodynamic Characteristics and RNA Concentration of SARS-CoV-2 Aerosol in Wuhan Hospitals during COVID-19 Outbreak. bioRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.08.982637

Leung NHL, Chu DKW, Shiu EYC, Chan K-H, McDevitt JJ, Hau BJP, et al. (Mar 7, 2020). Respiratory Virus Shedding in Exhaled Breath and Efficacy of Face Masks. Nature Research [IN REVIEW]. https://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-16836/v1

Rothe C, Schunk M, Sothmann P, Bretzel G, Froeschl G, Wallrauch C, et al. (Mar 5, 2020). Transmission of 2019-nCoV Infection from an Asymptomatic Contact in Germany. N Engl J Med 2020; 382:970-971. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2001468

Ong SWX, Tan YK, Chia PY, Lee TH, Ng OT, Wong MSW, et al. (Mar 4, 2020). Air, Surface Environmental, and Personal Protective Equipment Contamination by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) From a Symptomatic Patient. JAMA [ONLINE]. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.3227

Yan J, Grantham M, Pantelic J, Mesquita PJBd, Albert B, Liu F, et al. (Jan 30, 2018). Infectious virus in exhaled breath of symptomatic seasonal influenza cases from a college community. PNAS 115(5):1081-1086. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1716561115

Bourouiba L, Dehandschoewercker E, Bush JWM (Apr 25, 2014). Violent expiratory events: on coughing and sneezing. Journal of Fluid Mechanics 745:537-563. https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2014.88

Veterinary | Veterinária

Zhang Q, Zhang H, Huang K, Yang Y, Hui X, Gao J, et al. (Apr 3, 2020). SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing serum antibodies in cats: a serological investigation. bioRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.021196

Shi J, Wen Z, Zhong G, Yang H, Wang C, Liu R, et al. (Mar 31, 2020). Susceptibility of ferrets, cats, dogs, and different domestic animals to SARS-coronavirus-2. bioRxiv [PREPRINT]. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.015347