DSCC-19 Agenda
August 28th - 10:00 am to 7:35 pm EDT (Eastern Daylight Time)
** ALL TIMES ARE EDT (Eastern Daylight Time ) **
Introductions and Welcome - 10:00am -10:05am
Chair: Michael Jadoo- Bureau of Labor Statistics
Morning Keynote Address: Geographer Rebekah Jones: “Communicating Data and Uncertainty during COVID-19” - 10:05am -10:45am [Video].
Chair: Michael Jadoo- Bureau of Labor Statistics
Session 1A - 10:50 am -12:10 pm
Theme: Media influence and its effect on behavior and transmission
Chair: Marjorie Willner - Accenture Federal Services
Social Connectedness and the Geographic Spread of COVID-19, [Invited Speaker] Dominic Russel – New York University, Stern School of Business [PAPER] -10:50 am-11:10 am [VIDEO]
The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic, [Invited Speaker] Szymon Sacher- Columbia University, Department of Economics [PAPER] -11:10 am-11:30 am [VIDEO]
Detecting Communities in and the Evolutionary Structure of Google Search Trends Related to COVID-19, Philip Waggoner- University of Chicago [CODE] -11:30 am- 11:50 am [VIDEO]
PCI-Outbreak: How Serious Has the Outbreak of COVID-19 Been in China? , Kwan-Yuet “Stephen” Ho - Leidos, Julian TszKin Chan, PhD- Bates White Economic Consulting, Kit Lee, PhD-Data Scientist, Kawai Leung, PhD- Independent Machine Learning Researcher on NLP and Cybersecurity, Weifeng Zhong, PhD- Mercatus Center at George Mason University [CODE] -11:50 am -12:10 pm [VIDEO]
Session 1B -10:50 am -12:10 pm
Theme: Interventions and Policy to flatten the curve on COVID-19 Transmission
Chair: Trevor G. Kent- Accenture Federal Services
Inequality and the Coronavirus: Socioeconomic Covariates of Behavioural Responses and Viral Outcomes Across US Counties, [Invited Speaker] Caitlin Brown- University of Manchester [PAPER] -10:50 am-11:10 am [VIDEO]
A semi-parametric regression model with online estimation algorithm for dynamics of disease transmission , Jing Huang – University of Pennsylvania -11:10 am-11:25 am [CODE] [VIDEO]
Applying Principal Components & Discrimination Analysis to Covid-19 Data , Jorge Romeu - SUNY Cortland [CODE] [PAPER] [PAPER-Multivariate] -11:25 am- 11:40 am [VIDEO]
Stay at Home, or at Least Tread Lightly: Using County-Level Data to Study the Effectiveness of COVID-19 Policy , Tom Shafer - Elder Research, Inc [CODE] -11:40 am-11:55 am [VIDEO]
Estimating the True Extent of SARS-CoV-2 Spread Throughout the United States and Development of a Metric to Assess Effectiveness of People’s Personal Protective Measures, Robert Dunlap- George Mason University, Volgenau School OF Engineering [CODE] - 11:55 am - 12:10 pm [VIDEO]
12:10 pm– 12:40 pm - Lunch / Call to Action Presentation - The RECON COVID-19 challenge
Chair: Michael Jadoo- Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair: Benjamin Ortiz Ulloa - Accenture Federal Services
-Yihui Xie - R Studio
-Shirley Wang- Bringham Hospital Harvard Medical School
-Jeff Morris- University Pennsylvania
-Patrick Liu & Joseph Friedman - University of California, Los Angeles
Session 2A 1:55pm-3:20pm
Theme: COVID and the Effects of Mobility and Geospacial Data
Chair: Adam Grigg
How much does COVID-19 increase with mobility? Evidence from New York and four other U.S. cities, [Invited Speaker] Caitlin Gorback - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) [PAPER] -1:55 pm-2:15 pm [VIDEO]
The impact of policy interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and regions , Christian Morgenstern - IPM Informed Portfolio Management [CODE] [PAPER] -2:15 pm-2:30 pm [VIDEO]
Social determinates of health and COVID-19 mortality rates at the county level , Sophia Lam - Accenture Federal Services -2:30 pm-2:45 pm [PAPER] [VIDEO]
Modeling the association of county-level factors with the SARS-CoV-2 instantaneous reproduction number and predicting transmission in counties across the United States , Jing Huang - University of Pennsylvania [CODE] - 2:45 pm-3:00 pm [VIDEO]
Investigating the Relationship Between Air Quality and COVID-19 Transmission , Bennet Sakelaris - American Institute of Mathematics [CODE] -3:00 pm-3:15 pm [VIDEO]
Session 2B 1:55pm-3:20pm
Theme: Medical Detection and Measurement Accuracy
Chair: Petra Zika
Are antibodies tests accurate? Visualizations of predictive values and uncertainty of SARS-CoV-2 serology tests ,[Invited Speaker] Naomi Brownstein - Moffitt Cancer Center [CODE] [PAPER] [PRESENTATION]-1:55 pm-2:15 pm [VIDEO]
Ultrasound : Worth A Consideration For Automatic Detection Of COVID-19, Julie Goulet - Physik Department and Bernstein Center for Computational Neuroscience Technische Universität München [PAPER] [CODE] - 2:15 pm-2:30 pm [VIDEO]
Exploring Diagnostic Test Accuracy with Plotly Dash , Tommy Jones - In-Q-Tel - 2:30 pm-2:50 pm [VIDEO]
Fast and Efficient Data Science Techniques for COVID-19 Group Testing , Varlam Kutateladze- University of California Riverside - 2:50 pm-3:05 pm [VIDEO]
Modeling and estimation for COVID-19 under-reported counts , Eric Baron and Michael Baron -University of Connecticut and American University [CODE] - 3:05 pm-3:20 pm [VIDEO]
Session 3A - 3:25 pm -4:45 pm
Theme: Forecasting meets COVID-19: Transmission. Impact, and Reopening
Chair: Jun Yan- University of Connecticut
Using multiple data streams to estimate and forecast SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics ,[Invited Speaker] Jon Fintzi - National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases ( NIAID) -3:25 pm -3:45 pm [CODE] [VIDEO]
Effects of Interventions on COVID-19 Transmission in the United States, [Invited Speaker] Corbin Quick - Harvard -3:45 pm-4:05 pm [VIDEO]
Curating a COVID-19 data repository and forecasting county-level death counts in the United States: A data perspective , [Invited Speaker] Tiffany Tang and Yu Wang - UC Berkeley [PAPER] [CODE] -4:05 pm-4:25 pm [VIDEO]
Evaluate the timing and risk of resumption of business for the states of East coast states during COVID-19 [Invited Speaker] , Heping Zhang- Yale University - 4:25 pm-4:45 pm
Session 3B - 3:25 pm -4:55 pm
Theme: Forecast and Markov Chain modeling of COVID-19
Chair: Katherine Schulz- Accenture Federal Services
Finding the Cost Minimizing Path of Public Health Interventions During the COVID-19 Pandemic, Michael Falkenheim - Congressional Budget Office [CODE] [PRESENTATION] -3:25 pm -3:40 pm [VIDEO]
Survival-Convolution Models for Predicting COVID-19 Cases and Assessing Effects of Mitigation Strategies , Yuanjia Wang, Qinxia Wang, and Shanghong Xie - Columbia University [CODE] - 3:40 pm -3:55 pm [VIDEO]
Inferring True Historical Evolution of COVID-19 from Death Incidence , Kevin Kiernan - Accenture Federal Services - 3:55 pm- 4:10 pm [VIDEO]
%HOSP_Sim: A SAS macro for projecting hospital bed census from daily new cases of COVID-19, Yilun Sun - Department of Biostatistics, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital [CODE} - 4:10 pm - 4:25 pm [VIDEO]
Evaluating short-term forecast among different epidemiological models under a Bayesian framework ,Tejasv Bedi -The University of Texas at Dallas [CODE] - 4:25 pm - 4:40 pm [VIDEO]
Bayesian Segmentation Modeling for Longitudinal Epidemiological Studies, Shuang Jiang - Southern Methodist University [CODE] - 4:40 pm- 4:55 pm [VIDEO]
Session 4A - 5:10 pm- 6:25 pm
Theme: Modeling Transmission spread
Chair: Nalini Ravishanker- University of Connecticut
Modelling and Forecasting for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread in Miami-Dade County, Florida, USA, 2020 , Sumedh Kaul - Larkin Community Hospital, South Miami, FL [CODE] - 5:10 pm-5:25 pm [VIDEO]
Daily Predictions of COVID-19 Cases , Marjorie Willner - Accenture Federal Services - 5:25 pm-5:40 pm [VIDEO]
Comparing and Integrating US COVID-19 Data from Multiple Sources with Anomaly Detection and Repairing , Guannan Wang- College of William and Mary [PAPER] [CODE] - 5:40 pm-5:55 pm [VIDEO]
COVID-19 Severe Outcome Risk Prediction: Privacy-preserving Machine Learning with Massive Medical Claims, EHR and Social Data , Changrong JI - A3.AI - 5:55 pm-6:10 pm [PRESENTATION] [VIDEO]
Space-time analysis of the US COVID epidemic ,Lee DeCola- University of Maryland, Baltimore County - 6:10 pm -6:25 pm [VIDEO]
Session 4B -5:10 pm- 6:25 pm
Theme: Covid-19: Economy and the Environment
Where Low-Income Jobs Are Being Lost to COVID-19? - Monthly updates on the places and industries most at risk , Vivian(Sihan) Zheng and Ajjit Narayanan- Urban Institute [CODE] - 5:10 pm-5:25 pm [VIDEO]
Using GLMMs to Predict the Effects of COVID-19 on Airline Passenger Throughput , Katherine Schulz - Accenture Federal Services -5:25 pm-5:40 pm [VIDEO]
Changes in Greenhouse Gas Emissions during the COVID-19 Pandemic , Laura Albrecht- American Institute of Mathematics [CODE] - 5:40 pm-5:55 pm [VIDEO]
COVID-19 and Social Justice: Disproportional Impacts Among Marginalized Communities , David Corliss- Peace-Work - 5:55 pm-6:10 pm [VIDEO]
Building a COVID Economic Impact Dashboard , Huan-kun Liang - Labormatics, Inc [CODE] - 6:10 pm -6:25 pm [VIDEO]
6:30 pm – 7:30 pm - Afternoon Keynote: Delphi Research Group (COVID cast) - “New Early Indicators of COVID-19 Activity, from Massive-Scale Surveys and Medical Claims Data” [VIDEO]
-Ryan Tibshirani
-Alex Reinhart
Chair: Michael Jadoo- Bureau of Labor Statistics