Why is it a complex issue ?
Japan is actively engaged in mitigating and reducing PM2.5. However, the issue of PM2.5 air pollution in Japan is difficult to solve because it is fed by multiple processes internally and is not solely a domestic issue. The causes and impacts are multidimensional, affecting the population's health and environment.
The key dimensions we identified are ranked below, based on how complex they make this wicked problem.
Transboundary nature of PM2.5 pollution in Japan is the most difficult component of the issue to solve, creating wicked nature of the problem. Hence, this is number one in terms of issues associated with PM2.5 pollution.
Yonago City, Japan (Oct 2015 – July 2016), reveals four major air pollution events with Episode I dominated by nitric aerosols, Episodes II and III by Asian dust, and Episode IV by sulfate aerosols. Global chemical transport models and backward trajectories confirmed these pollutants originated from external sources, highlighting the challenge of cross-border air pollution (Figure 4) (Onishi et.al., 2025).
Emissions from mainland China may contribute up to 50–60% of the annual mean PM2.5 concentration in Western Japan and approximately 40% in the Kanto region, which can be observed in Figure 5 (Botta & Yamasaki, 2020).
As seen in the image below from IQAir's live data on air quality, Japan's location downwind of arid regions and rapidly developing Asian countries has intensified PM2.5 pollution and visibility issues associated with it (Figure 6). Transboundary pollution is reported to exceed local sources, particularly in western Japan, though its impact varies with climate patterns and wind direction (Figure 4) (Onishi et al., 2025).
While China remains primarily focused on its economic development, rather than international cooperation on limiting PM 2.5, it prioritizes air quality standards within its urban centers due to the serious health hazards from this air pollution (Xie & Liao, 2022).
Figure 5: Source areas of transboundary PM pollution affecting South Korea (A) and Japan (B) in Northeast Asia, based on Source-Receptor Relationship (SRR) studies published through 2020. The map illustrates simulated source areas, excluding local pollution sources, with boundaries for reference only. (Liu, Li, & Yao, 2022)
Figure 4: Location of Yonago City, Japan, the survey area, and the observation site. It is 400m from the south side of the Nakaumi (Brackish Lake) and 4km from the north side of the Japan Sea (Onishi et al., 2025).
Figure 6: Screenshot of live map showing air quality at 9 AM local time in Tokyo, Japan, on February 14th, 2025 (IQAir, 2025). Information is gathered from government reference stations and low-cost sensors such as air monitors. Values are compared to WHO's 2021 annual PM2.5 guideline.
Q: Why is it Dangerous?
A: Air pollution consists of a combination of pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur oxides (SOx), volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and suspended particulate matter (PM) of different sizes (PM10, PM2.5, coarse particles). Of these, PM2.5 is the most significant threat to the health of those who have been exposed to it. This is due to its microscopic size of just 2.5 microns, which allows it to be easily inhaled into the lungs where it accumulates in the bronchial tubes that lead to each of the lungs, as pictured in Figure 9 (IQAir, 2023). Aside from the deadly nature of the pollutant, Japan has a dense population (>80%) residing near pollution hotspots such as urban regions thus, strengthening the inability to mitigate health-related impacts (Goto et al., 2016).
Figure 9: The size, composition, and deposition of particulate matter (PM) in the lungs, explaining how it can lead to respiratory impacts (Yang et al., 2020).
Short Term Exposure Effects
Being exposed to PM2.5 levels that are above the air quality standard for a short period still has potential to yield health impacts. Although minor, these effects can grow and worsen if repeatedly exposed to PM2.5 in short periods. Some of the short term exposure effects can include:
Respiratory impacts (sneezing, amplified asthma symptoms, itchy throat, coughing, shortness of breath)
Cardiovascular impacts (heart palpitations, increased blood pressure, chest pain, increased heart rate)
Migraines
Irritated eyes (watering, itchy, dryness, burning)
*Thus, resulting in increased hospitalization and emergency hospital visits.
(Pui et al., 2014)
Long Term Exposure Effects
Health impacts resulting from prolonged / repeated exposure to high PM2.5 levels is associated with more severe outcomes. Being exposed to high concentrations for long periods significantly increases the risk factor for many fatal health conditions. So, although the impacts may not be immediately observable, they often manifest as a shortened lifespan or premature death. Some of these impacts include:
Stroke (minor and severe)
Increased risk of fatal heart attacks
Reproductive impacts (decline in sperm quality, reduced fertility)
Increased risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)
Increased risk of lung / heart diseases
Increased risk of developing lung / heart cancer
Heightened risk of facing mental health challenges
(California Air Resources Board, 2015)
Long Term Health Implications: Suicide Mortality
Due to little research on suicides related to ambient air pollution (PM2.5), NG et al. (2016) conducted a study aiming to examine the impacts of air pollution on suicide mortality in Tokyo to gain a better understanding of whether there is a correlation. By examining the mortality records provided by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan it was determined that during the study period of 2001-2011, there were 29,939 recorded suicide deaths (NG et al., 2016). The National Institute for Environmental Studies in Japan provided them with the recorded concentrations of different air pollutants (NO2, SO2, PM2.5) present for each day of the study period (NG et al., 2016). With this information, they cross-referenced the suicides and pollution levels the day of to determine if there is a correlation. The authors findings suggest that:
Suicide rates are higher on days with increased pollutant concentrations.
People under the age of 30 appear to have increased suicide rates as a result of worse air quality.
*Important to note that this study had several limitations such as bias, lack of information, pre-existing conditions such as grief not considered, and miscalculated deaths due to low autopsy rate
(Ng et al., 2016)
Figure 10: Odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for mental health and self-rated health with a typical increase in annual PM2.5, NO2, or BC (Black Carbon) levels (Hautekiet et al., 2022).
OR = 1: no association between exposure and outcome
OR > 1: exposure increases the odds of outcome
OR < 1: exposure decreases the odds of outcome
Figure 11: Health impacts of exposure to PM2.5 seen in children/infants, adults, and the elderly (Amnuaylojaroen & Parasin, 2024).
Age Related Health Impacts
It is important to note that not everyone is impacted the same by exposure to PM2.5. There are age groups identified as more sensitive/vulnerable to the health impacts of PM2.5 meaning that they are at a greater risk of developing fatal cancers or diseases, encountering fatal conditions (stroke, heart attack), or having a premature death or shortened lifespan. These groups are:
Infants (1 month - 1 year) / Children (1 - 18 years)
Adults with pre-existing conditions (21+ years)
Elderly (60+ years)
(Amnuaylojaroen & Parasin, 2024)
Figure 12: Section of table defining the Air Quality Index scale as defined by the Unite States Environmental Protection Agency in 2016 (The World Air Quality Index Project, n.d.). Left to Right: AQI, Air Pollution Level, Health Implications, Cautionary Statement (for PM2.5).
Research on the Health Impacts of PM2.5 on Vulnerable Age Groups:
In a study by Kaihara et al., data was gathered from the Japanese Registry of All cardiac and vascular diseases (JROAD) and the National Institute for Environmental Studies database to examine the relationship between cardiovascular diseases and short-term PM2.5 exposure among the elderly. This study's methods were analyzing the JROAD to identify patients admitted between 2012-2014 for cardiovascular diseases (835,405 total patients) and cross-referencing with the PM2.5 levels at the time of admission. The median patient age was 79 and it was distributed as 58% males and 42% females.
(Kaihara et al., 2021).
The findings conclude that:
Short-term exposure to PM2.5 correlated to increased hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases.
Increased exposure and increased age were related to longer hospital stays.
Reduced emissions (thus, reduced exposures) would lead to lower risk of developing cardiovascular diseases and less hospitalizations/shorter visits.
(Kaihara et al., 2021).
Aiming to determine whether the Japanese air quality guidelines for PM2.5 emissions was adequate for the prevention of health impacts on infants (>1 year old), a study conducted by Yorifuji et al. examines the relationship between short-term PM exposure and infant mortality in Japan. The methods of this study was the use of a "time stratified, case-crossover design" that allowed for the cross-reference of the infant deaths over a period of 11 years (2002-2013) and the recorded concentration of PM2.5 during the time of these deaths (Yorifuji et al., 2016).The authors noted limitations to their study in that their PM2.5 concentration data was gathered from only one air quality monitoring station in the Tokyo metropolitan area. They suggest future studies consider the data from multiple monitoring stations to ensure a more accurate result.
(Yorifuji et al., 2016)
Conclusions:
At PM2.5 levels below the guideline, harmful health implications resulting from short-term exposure were still present.
Many of these deaths were due to respiratory complications.
The present emission guidelines are not adequately contributing to the prevention of infant mortality as a result of PM2.5 exposure.
Having not been revised since 2009, these guidelines must be reassessed in order to reduce the associated infant deaths.
(Yorifuji et al., 2016)
Air quality policies are fragmented across multiple ministries, lacking a formal coordination mechanism, leading to inconsistent regulatory approaches.
Despite the Ministry of Environment's budget nearly tripling from 2000 to 2017, resources for air quality remained stagnant.
Prefectures and lower levels of government, has limited power over air quality control as central government retains monitoring in response to nuclear matters instead of air quality standards.
Mitigating industrial emissions is challenging, as imposing charges on industries to meet air quality standards often leads to increased production costs, hence big industry players are subject to resist policy.
(Botta & Yamasaki, 2020; Cole, 1994)
Improving Japan's economic status has always been of interest but was particularly motivated by global influences. While this allowed for signficant levels of success in their industrial endevures, it has shown an evident relationship with higher concentrations of PM2.5.
Figure 7: Emissions in Japan – trends and sectoral decomposition. Panel a: Total emissions per unit of GDP (Kg per 1000 USD). Panel b: Total Emission by sector, 2012 (kt/y) (Botta & Yamasaki, 2020).
PM2.5 concentration is above the safest level as identified by the WHO (10µg/m3) . The main sources of PM emissions within Japan are the manufacturing sector, on-road vehicles and “soil dust & tire ware” (Figure 7) - varied sources and widespread prevalence of PM2.5 make it harder to tackle the problem, making it second crucial issue after transboundary nature (Botta & Yamasaki, 2020).
Figure 8: Image of Tokyo area factories (1920) before the Air Pollution Control Law (APCL).
In the 20th century, Japan underwent rapid industrialization, particularly since the 1950s. Industry flourished at a very rapid pace which caused problems in air quality, including the exponential increase in PM 2.5 (Wakamatsu et al., 2013).
This expansion of industry, coupled with population growth and increased construction, occurred in the absence of established air quality standards, as the Air Pollution Control Law (APCL) was only introduced later. This lack of regulation contributed significantly to the exacerbation of air pollution, including rising levels of PM 2.5. (Figure 8) (Wakamatsu et al., 2013).
As a result:
An evident relationship between the modernization of Japan and the revolution of industrial activity and higher concentrations of NOx and SOx in the atmosphere which can be attributed to the following variables:
Figure 12. The relationship between increased industrial activity and increasing concentrations of NOx and SOx.
Japan's citizens have played a crucial role in how they have responded to high concentrations of pollution. Excessive pollution often goes against their cultural belief systems as well as inflicts severe health challenges causing evident tension between the citizen's of japan and government authorities. Its wickedness is derived from the disproportionate impact it has based on the individual's income, access to resources such as health care, or means to relocate and improve their quality of life.
Shinto, is a native folk religion in Japan that has historically shaped belief systems and practices which are based on ideas of interconnectedness of humans and environments
They used the word 'ecology' that has Greek origins: Oikos meaning “House”, logos meaning “Study/discourse"
Using such language is the foundation to Japanese ecological ethics and implies a sense of maintaining one's home as though they are their kin.
(Shaw, 2005; Yale Forum on Religion and Ecology, n.d.)
The word 'environment' often used in anthropocentric contexts, supporting Western ecological attitudes that value dominion, ownership, and possession upon performing labourious acts on natural environments
As Japan adopted western models which allowed for greater economic opportunity through industry advancement, it inevitably came with Westernalized and rebel against traditional relationship Japanese had with their environment
(Shaw, 2005; Yale Forum on Religion and Ecology, n.d.)
Microplastics & Vehicle Emissions (PM2.5)
Microplastics are classified as less than 5mm in size, originating from a range of sources (Akhbarizadeh et al., 2021). They are created when materials break down over time and are then turned into microplastics. Some of the main sources include plastic garbage, cosmetics, and synthetic clothes. However, they are also products of vehicle parts wearing down such as tires, brake pads, paint/coating, interior materials. When these vehicular microplastics are created, they are often expelled into the air from the motion of the vehicle or the exhaust. When this happens, they become suspended and contribute to the PM2.5 levels as microplastics can be the same size (and smaller) than 2.5 micrometers (Akhbarizadeh et al., 2021).
Q: How Does this Impact the Environment?
A: Because these microplastics are now suspended in the air (as explained above), species, such as birds, who spend a majority of their time in the air are at risk of inhaling and consuming these microplastics. Whether it be during travel or sitting atop a tree, bird species exposed to PM2.5 (which includes microplastics) can face health effects.
(Sanderfoot & Holloway, 2017)
Impacts of Air Pollution on Birds:
Can Lead to Reduced:
(Sanderfoot & Holloway, 2017)
Scientific data on PM2.5 is crucial as it reflects the severity of the issue, but data limitations can distort findings by overlooking or underestimating key causes. However, compared to other factors discussed above, it is considered the least critical dimension in addressing PM2.5 pollution.
International efforts to reduce PM2.5 mainly involve data collection from China, Korea, and Japan, but differing domestic air quality standards hinder the development of effective collective agreements (Kim et al., 2021).
Outdated datasets compromise accuracy, as many studies still use emission inventories like MEIC 2010 or INTEX-B 2006. This fails to reflect significant reductions in China’s anthropogenic emissions from 2013 to 2017, such as a 59% drop in SO₂ and a 33% decrease in PM2.5 (Liu, Li, & Yao, 2022).
In Japan, 94.2% of monitoring stations recorded PM2.5 levels exceeding PM10 in at least 1% of records. Among the 1,074 PM2.5 monitoring stations, 20.3% recorded over 1% and 3.4% recorded over 5% of repeated PM2.5 measurements (Liu, Li, & Yao, 2022).
Many Source-Receptor Relationship (SRR) studies focus on short-term pollution episodes, leading to overestimations of transboundary pollution contributions (Liu, Li, & Yao, 2022).
Limited spatial coverage in air quality models risks misattributing sources, as pollutants from regions like the Indo-China Peninsula and Central Asia are often overlooked despite their significant contributions to East Asian air pollution (Liu, Li, & Yao, 2022).
Figure 13: Mind map relating to the issue of air pollution in Japan, highlighting the main topics: Impacts, Causes, Initiatives, and Challenges. Missing is the topic of Governance and the organizations involved.