Thais' homepage

Upcoming events

Talk - "Time-varying dependence regimes for multivariate spatial processes" - CMStatistics 2026, Berlim, 12/2026

Sort-course - “De los datos al riesgo de longevidad: construcción y modelización de tablas de mortalidad” - Universidad de La Republica, Uruguai, 12/2026

Talk - "Monitoring Renewable Energy Transitions with Dynamic Time-Series Clustering" - LACCI 2026, Lima, 11/2026

Talk - TBA - V Colóquio de Matemática da Região Sudeste, Rio de Janeiro, 09/2026

Karen Barrera - "Robust Dynamic mortality modelling under Structural Shocks" Rome, 09/2026

Talks (since 2020)

Talk - "Bayesian multivariate approach to subnational mortality graduation with age-varying smoothness" - CLAPEM, Uruguai, 03/2026

Talk - "Dynamic Clustering of Multivariate Time Series: Modeling Time-Varying Memberships" - Programa de Verão, Juiz de Fora, 03/2026

Talk "Graphical Models for High-Dimensional Time Series: A Dynamic Approach to Forecasting and Decision-Making"- ESTE, Campinas, 09/2025.

Talk "Bayesian Networks: elicitation, temporal modeling and applications" - Colóquio do IMECC, Unicamp, 04/2025.

Talk "Multivariate quantile regression via Bayesian Networks" - VII Latin American Meeting on Bayesian Statistics (COBAL) and XVII Brazilian Meeting of Bayesian Statistics (EBEB) - 12/2024 na UFMG.

Contributed Session "Bayesian modeling in actuarial sciences" - VII Latin American Meeting on Bayesian Statistics (COBAL) and XVII Brazilian Meeting of Bayesian Statistics (EBEB) - 12/2024 na UFMG.

Talk: "Smooth covariance functions for multiscale spatiotemporal models" CMStatistics 2022, On "Recent advances in Bayesian modeling and computation" - London (online session) - 12/2022.

Talk: "Tábuas BR-EMS: a experiência do mercado segurador brasileiro" 13 Congresso Brasileiro de Atuária - 15/09/2022 - Hotel Renaissance (São Paulo) (in portuguese)

Discussion panel in the X Fórum Nacional de Seguro de Vida E Previdência Privada - 01/09/2022 - Hotel Renaissance (São Paulo)

Talk "Food security in Brazil: a Bayesian Network model for discrete multivariate time series" - SINAPE 31/7 a 05/8 2022, Gramado, RS.

Talk "Dynamic Clustering of Time Series Data with dynamically changing memberships" - The 14th International Conference of the ERCIM WG on Computational and Methodological Statistics (CMStatistics 2021), King's College London, 18-20 December 2021 (on line), Session: Recent advances in Bayesian modeling and computation.

Talk "Graphical modeling of risks in complex decision making" - XVII Escola de Modelos de Regressão, November 30th 2021, 16:00 (online event). https://eventos.ibge.gov.br/emr2021

Modelos gráficos dinâmicos para tomada de decisão: sistemas de especialistas e segurança alimentar no Brasil - Colóquio Interinstitucional: Modelos Estocásticos e Aplicações (COLMEA) (online event, 2021)

A Bayesian Network approach to modelling food security over time - Insper Academic Seminar (online event, 2021).

Modelos Bayesianos para tomada de decisão na presença de incerteza - Seminários de Estatística e Atuária (DME, UFRJ) (2021).

Can you render your Lattes? A Bayesian Network modelling of digital preservation risks (2021) - Seminários do DEST - UFMG (online event).

A dynamic model for heavy-tailed spatio-temporal processes (2021) ISBA World Meeting (online event).

A Bayesian Network approach for food security modelling over time (2021) Celebrating Women in Math. Online event, Mathematical Institute, UFRJ.

Generalized Dynamic Models for wind power forecast (2021) - Palestra no Ciclo de palestras PUC (mecânica) (online event, Brazil), 12-05.

A Bayesian network-based approach for the Brazillian birth care system - Ciclo de palestras do DME/UFRJ, Brazil (2020) Online event.

Workshops

Programa de Treinamento Mulheres em Tech - British Council - Lideranças Inclusivas (2022) - Grupo apoiado pela SBM link do programa

Quantifying digital preservation risk (online workshop) - https://www.dpconline.org/events/quantifying-digital-preservation-risk-online-workshop 17 July (2020).

Opportunities and Limitations of Machine Learning and other AI Techniques in Complex Decision Making (AS&RU/AU4DM Workshop) (2019) - London, UK.

Pan-American advanced study institute on spatio-temporal statistics (2014) - Buzios, Brazil, 16-26th June.

Environmental and Spatial Statistics (2009) - Southampton, UK.

Bayesian Analysis of High Dimensional Data (2008) - Warwick, UK.

Probability and Uncertainty in Climate Models (2007) - Durham, UK.

Posters (since 2011)

Fonseca, T.C.O., Lobo, V., Moura, F. (2018) - Bayesian cross-validation of geostatistical models. ISBA meeting, July, Edinburgh, UK.

Fonseca, T.C.O., Steel, M.F.J. (2012) - Measuring separability in spatiotemporal covariance functions. Sinape, July, João Pessoa, Brazil.

Talks (before 2020)

A Bayesian network-based approach for the Brazillian birth care system - Ciclo de palestras do DME/UFRJ, Brazil (2020) Online event.

Dynamical mixture modeling of spatial processes (2019) - invited talk - CMStatistics, London, UK.

Bayesian cross-validation of geostatistical models (2019) - Cobal, Lima, Peru.

Invariant prior distributions for hierarchical models (2018) - invited talk - IME, SP

Modelos espaço-temporais aplicados à calibração do modelo numérico ETA (2018) - invited talk - Departamento de Meteorologia, UFRJ

Bayesian cross-validation of geostatistical models (2018) - invited talk - Insper, SP

Modelo gravitacional Bayesiano para previsão de mortalidade em séries curtas (2017) - invited talk - Encontro Nacional de Atuários, RJ, Brazil.

Modelling the kurtosis of spatiotemporal processes (2017) - invited talk - V COBAL - Guanajuato, Mexico

Modelling the kurtosis of spatiotemporal processes (2017) - invited talk - 37th MaxEnt - Jarinu, SP

Spatio-temporal models for heavy tailed skewed processes (2016) - invited talk - ISBA - Sardinia, Italy.

Dynamic Multiscale Spatiotemporal Models for Poisson Data (2016) - Invited Talk - EBEB - Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.

Dynamic Multiscale Spatiotemporal Models for Poisson Data (2015) - Invited Talk - 60th ISI World Statistics Conference - Riocentro Convention Center, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Dynamical multiscale spatiotemporal models for Poisson data. (2014) - Invited talk - I Brazilian Congress of Young Researchers in Pure and Applied Mathematics - São Paulo, Brazil.

Dynamical multiscale spatiotemporal models for Poisson data. (2014) - Invited talk - JSM - Boston, USA.

On flexible modelling of spatiotemporal processes. (2011) - Invited talk - Bisp - Madrid, Spain.

Non-Gaussian Spatiotemporal Modeling Through Scale Mixing. (2011) - Invited talk - JSM - Miami Beach, USA.