Research

Last updated: October 19, 2017 


Research interests

Economic Development, Technological Change & Growth; International Economics: Trade and Market Integration, Financial Crises; Applied Panel and Time Series Econometrics; Early Modern Asia (Qing China, Tokugawa Japan)


Working Papers

Revised and resubmitted to The Review of Income and Wealth, October 2017, with Francis Teal
            (Also 'Productivity Analysis in Global Manufacturing Production,' Oxford DPS-515).
              *Data*xtmg*

Submitted September 2017, with Stef De Visscher and Gerdie Everaert
            *CEPR DP 12261*

Submitted September 2017, with Daniel BernhofenJianan Li, and Stephen Morgan

March 2017, with Daniel BernhofenJianan Li, and Stephen Morgan
            *Data for 211 Chinese prefectures*Data for 20 Belgian markets*Data for 12 German cities*
            *Data for 55 European markets*Data for 85 French departments*CESifo WP No. 5580*CEPR DP 11288*
            *Online Appendix*

Under revision, April 2016, with Dietz Vollrath 
            *Data*xtmg*CEPR discussion paper DP11248*


Work in Progress

'Agricultural Convergence'

‘Banking Crises and the International Transmission of Vulnerability’ 

'Gravity'
'Knowledge Diffusion in an Interconnected World with Heterogeneous Technology'

'Patterns of International Knowledge Spillovers in Agriculture'
'Rethinking the Relationship Between Lending Rates and Bank Funding Costs
 in Emerging Economies'


Forthcoming and Published Papers


'
Nonlinearities in the relationship between debt and 
growth: (no) evidence from over two centuries
'
            Macroeconomic Dynamics
            accepted for publication, March 2017 
            VoxEU talk (RES 2014). Column in The Conversation (May 2014). 
            Media coverage: Financial Times (7th April 2014).

'The Effect of Agricultural Technology on the Speed of Development'
            World Development (Special Issue on 'Poverty impacts of sectoral productivity growth'), 
            accepted for publication (March 2016)
            with Dietz Vollrath 
            *Published Version (gated)*WP version*

'What Can Explain the Chinese Patent Explosion?'
            Oxford Economic Papers2017
            with Christian Helmers and Zhihong Yu
            (Previously 'Is the Dragon Learning to Fly? The Chinese Patent Explosion at Home and Abroad')
            *Published Version (gated)*WP version*

'From One to Many Central Plans: Drug Advertising Inspections and Intra-National Protectionism in China'
            Journal of Comparative Economics, 2016 
            with Zheng Wang and Zhihong Yu 
            CSAE Newsletter summary.
            *Published Version (gated)*WP version*

'Patent litigation in China: protecting rights or the local economy?'
            Vanderbilt Journal of Entertainment & Technology Law, 2016 
             with  
 
Christian Helmers
             Article in Intellectual Asset Management magazine (March/April 2016), iam blog entry
             Article in Mitteilungen der Deutschen Patentanwalte (04/2017)
            *Published Version (ungated)*

'The Heterogeneous Effect of Software Patents on Expected Returns: Evidence from India'
            Economics Letters, 2016
            with Marcel FafchampsChristian Helmers and Manasa Patnam

'Public debt and growth: heterogeneity and non-linearity'
            Journal of International Economics2015
            with Andrea Presbitero
            Open access to this article is funded by the UK Department for International Development (DfID)
            (Previously 'This Time They're Different: Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity in the Relationship between Debt and             Growth')
            VoxEU columnMedia coverage: Financial Times (7th April 2014)
            *Replication data & do files*Technical Appendix*Open Access Published Paper*

'Do spillovers matter when estimating private returns to R&D?'
            The Review of Economics and Statistics2013
            with Christian Helmers and Hubert Strauss 

'No Mangoes in the Tundra: Spatial Heterogeneity in Agricultural Productivity Analysis'  
            Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics2013
            with Francis Teal
            (Previously 'A Common Factor Approach to Spatial Heterogeneity in Agricultural Productivity Analysis')
            *Data*xtmg*Technical Appendix*Published Version (gated)*WP version*

'Structural Change and Cross-Country Growth Empirics'  
            World Bank Economic Review2013
            with Francis Teal  
            (Previously 'Aggregation versus Heterogeneity in Cross-Country Growth Empirics')
            *Data*xtmg*Supplemental Appendix*Published Version (Gated)*WP version*

'Econometrics for Grumblers: A New Look at the Literature on Cross-Country Growth Empirics' 
            Journal of Economic Surveys2011
            with Francis Teal
            *Published Version (gated)*WP version*
  
'It's not Technical Progress: Empirical TFP Determination and Structural Change' 
            Oxonomics, 2008. 
            *Published Version (gated)*WP version*


Older Working Papers

January 2016, with Christian Helmers

November 2013, with Stephen R Bond 
            (Also 'Cross-section dependence in nonstationary panel models: a novel estimator'), 
            *Data*xtmg*Online Appendix*

November 2010, with Anindya Banerjee and J James Reade


Stata Routines

'Estimating discrete choice panel data models with interactive fixed effects'
            September 2017 (article introducing xtnlmg).

'Estimating panel time series models with heterogeneous slopes'
            Stata Journal Vol.12(1), pp. 61-71, April 2012 (article introducing xtmg).

'MULTIPURT: Stata module to run 1st and 2nd generation panel unit root tests for multiple variables and lags'
IDEAS: Statistical Software Components, February 2011.

'Panel time-series modeling: New tools for analyzing xt data'
Presentation providing an overview of macro panel methods, given at the UK Stata User Group Meeting, September 2011.

'XTCD: Stata module to investigate Variable/Residual Cross-Section Dependence'
IDEAS: Statistical Software Components, February 2011.

'XTMG: Stata module to estimate panel time series models with heterogeneous slopes'
IDEAS: Statistical Software Components, February 2011.


Background Papers, Books and Book Chapters

'Empirical Development Economics'
with Mans Soderbom and Francis Teal (lead authors), Simon Quinn and Andrew Zeitlin. Book manuscript, Routledge UK. Three chapters on Panel Time Series econometrics (publication date: September 2014)

'Growth, Employment, and Industry in Nigeria' with Francis Teal, in: Volker Treichel (ed.) Putting Nigeria to Work: A Strategy for Employment and Growth, Chapter 3, Washington: The World Bank, June 2010.

'Ghana and Côte d’Ivoire: Changing Places'
with Francis Teal, in: Institut de Haute Études Internationales et du Développement (eds.) Revue internationale de politique de développement – Afrique: 50 Ans d'Indépendance, pp.33-49, Graduate Institute, 2010.

Cross-country Growth Empirics for Grumblers: Modelling Technology in Agriculture and Manfuacturing using Cross-country Panel Datasets, Saarbrücken: VDM Verlag, 2010. ISBN: 978-3-639-22559-4. (DPhil thesis)

'The Empirics of Economic Growth: A Dual Economy Approach'
in: United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (eds.) Growth, Exports and Technological Change in Developing Countries: Contributions from Young Scholars, pp.9-21, Vienna: UNIDO, 2009.

'Extent and Causes of Global Shifts in Manufacturing'
with Francis Teal, October 2007, Background Paper for the UNIDO Industrial Development Report 2009 (Chapters 2, 4-5). 

'China, the WTO, and the End of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing' 
with John Thoburn, in: Zhang, H. (ed.) Marginalization in China, Ashgate, 2007.

'Challenges to Vietnam in the global garment and textile value chain' 
with John Thoburn, Khalid Nadvi, and Chris Edwards, in: Guliani, E., R. Rabellotti and M. P. van Dijk (eds.) Clusters Facing Competition: The Importance of External Linkages, Ashgate, 2005.



Earlier Publications on Manufacturing Sourcing & guanxi

As a result of my previous work at the University of Bath I have a number of publications on sourcing strategies for manufacturing in China and on the changing nature of guanxi. More information can be found here.




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BEMC.pdf
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agriTA.pdf
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agri_stata9.zip
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debtdata.zip
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manu.pdf
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manu_stata9.zip
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multivariate_ts_and_panel.zip
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26 Sep 2014, 08:42
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qing.pdf
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r&d.pdf
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rddata.zip
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sources.pdf
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unido.pdf
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xtmg.ado
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xtnlmg.pdf
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