Embedded Files
I am a deputy division chief at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), currently working at the Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD).
My research covers the fields of Macroeconomics, International Economics, Development Economics, and Finance. Its main focus is on fiscal policy. Yet, I am also working on other topics spanning from exchange rates to economic growth.
Recent Publications and Working Papers:
Recent Publications and Working Papers:
"Distributional Impacts of Inflation Accounting for Behavioral Effects and Real Assets" (with Kardelen Cicek, Julieth C Pico-Mejia, Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, Alberto Tumino), IMF Working Paper 26/22, International Monetary Fund, February 2026.
"Private savings and COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa" (with Boileau Loko and Nelie Nembot), Emerging Markets Review, Vol. 69(C), No. 101363, 2025.
"Fiscal Forecasting Rationality Among Expert Forecasters" (with Belen Chocobar and Peter Claeys), Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 44(3), pp. 941-959, 2025.
"Inflation Indexation in Public Finances: A Global Dataset on Current Practices" (with Vybhavi Balasundharam and Arika Kayastha), IMF Working Paper 23/264, International Monetary Fund, December 2023.
"Fiscal Stimulus and Firms’ Sales and Capital Expenditures During the Global Financial Crisis" (with Carolina Correa-Caro, Leandro Medina, and Bennett Sutton), Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. 63, pp. 489-535, 2021.
"Macroeconomic impacts of non-resource revenue mobilization in CEMAC" (with Giovanni Melina), Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 28, Issue 9, pp. 721-726, 2021.
"Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Developing Economies: External Conditions and Domestic Amplifiers" (with Bertrand Gruss and Malhar Nabar), Open Economies Review, Vol. 31, pp. 753-786, 2020.
"Labour force ageing and productivity growth", Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 27, Issue 6, pp. 498-502, 2020.
"Fiscal Stimulus Impact on Firms' Profitability During the Global Financial Crisis" (with Carolina Correa-Caro, Leandro Medina, and Bennett W. Sutton), IMF Working Paper 18/251, International Monetary Fund, November 2018.
"The Slowdown in Global Trade: A Symptom of A Weak Recovery?" (with Aqib Aslam, Emine Boz, Eugenio Cerutti, and Petia Topalova), IMF Economic Review, Vol. 66(3), pp. 440-479, 2018.
"Medium-Term Fiscal Multipliers during Protracted Economic Contractions" (with Salvatore Dell'Erba and Ksenia Koloskova), Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 56, pp. 35-52, 2018.
"Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies" (with Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri, Prakash Loungani, and Saurabh Mishra), Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 82, pp. 71-96, 2018.
"Nowcashing: Using Daily Fiscal Data for Real-Time Macroeconomic Analysis" (with Florian Misch, Brian Olden, and Lamya Keiji). Published in: "Digital Revolutions in Public Finance" edited by S. Gupta, M. Keen, A. Shah, and G. Verdier, Chapter 6, pages 149-172. Washington: International Monetary Fund Publication Services, November 2017.
"Gone with the Headwinds: Global Productivity" (with Gustavo Adler, Romain Duval, Davide Furceri, Sinem Kiliç Çelik, and Ksenia Koloskova), IMF Staff Discussion Note 17/04, International Monetary Fund, April 2017.
"How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?" (with Jacopo Cimadomo and Peter Claeys), European Economic Review, Vol. 87(C), pp.216–235, 2016.
"Government Consumption Volatility and the Size of Nations" (with Davide Furceri and Sinem Kiliç Çelik), FinanzArchiv/Public Finance Analysis, Vol. 72(2), pp. 211–228, 2016.
"Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies" (with Juliana Araujo, Bin (Grace) Li, and Luis-Felipe Zanna), Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 120, pp. 144–156, 2016.
Disclaimer: This website should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this website are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy.
Last updated: June 2021.
Page updated
Google Sites
Report abuse