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This page mainly gives information about graduate type of low-skilled trap.
The low-skilled trap refers to a situation where individuals or entire economies become stuck in a cycle of low-skill, low-productivity, and low-wage work, making it difficult to transition to higher-skilled, higher-paying jobs. This trap can exist at both the individual and overall levels.
Low-paid jobs are defined as those paid below two-thirds of median hourly earnings and high-paid jobs are defined as those paid more than 1.5 times median hourly earnings.
The lowest-earning employees tend to be younger, aged between 16 and 21 years, including graduates and non-graduates.
The difference between the median (nominal) salaries between working age graduates and young graduates (21-30) in 2023 was £8,500 annually. This may show that older graduates had more working experience and were higher skilled.
The UK's minimum wage is set to rise to £12.21 per hour from April 2025 which is a 6.7% increase. This explains an increase in median salaries and a decline in low-paid jobs.
Although national minimum wage policy is working, certain sectors experience stagnation.
The social care and retail industries often have a high concentration of low-paid positions.
Graduates in these sectors may face limited opportunities for wage progression, and may face underemployment.
Source WF
A study from the Work Foundation thinktank found that 44% of people in non-full time (insecure) work were in the same situation four years later. Graduates in part-time jobs are stuck in the low-skilled trap.
Source: WF
The proportion of young employees (21-30) working part-time in 2019 (pre-pandemic) was higher than 2023 for graduates (14.4%), whilst it was lower for non-graduates (21.6%).
Source GOV.UK
Source GOV.UK
The UK potentially faces a deficit of high-skilled labour in 2030 amounting to ~2.5 million people if there is not an increase in skill levels. This case makes graduates' situation worse as the mismatch traps them.
Are there too many graduates? From a low-skilled trap perspective, there aren't too many graduates, but rather a mismatch between education and labour market needs.
The issue isn't an oversupply of graduates, but rather that many enter the workforce without the specific skills employers require. This mismatch leads to underemployment (overeducation), where degree holders take jobs that do not require their qualifications, while industries face shortages of skilled workers in areas like trades, healthcare, and technical fields.
In a low-skilled trap, economies struggle to create high-skill, high-wage jobs, leaving even well-educated individuals in lower-paying roles. Instead of having too many graduates, the challenge lies in aligning higher education with market demands to ensure graduates have the skills needed to drive economic growth.