Us - Futurology

TEMPO Ore previste: 6 Periodo previsto: maggio

COSA? Big Picture

Concetti-guida:

GLOBAL TRENDS: https://globaltrends2030.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/global-trends-2030-november2012.pdf e https://medium.com/world-economic-forum/search?q=global%20trends

AGENDA E STRATEGIA GLOBALE: “Agenda 2030 per lo sviluppo sostenibile” (cfr. https://ec.europa.eu/epale/it/resource-centre/content/lagenda-2030-lo-sviluppo-sostenibile-nuovo-quadro-strategico-delle-nazioni e specificamente nel doc https://www.unric.org/it/images/Agenda_2030_ITA.pdf

Glossary

Future Studies: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_studies e https://www.futurimagazine.it/tag/futures-studies/ e https://www.instituteforthefuture.it/
Think Tank - es. http://bigthink.com/
Geo-politica -
WEF - World Economic Forum
NIC - National Intelligence Council: https://www.dni.gov/index.php/who-we-are/organizations/nic/nic-who-we-are

Risorse per intercettare trends e segnali di futuro

Provocazioni

Come vediamo il mondo in cui siamo inseriti, dalla nostra prospettiva?

cfr. TED Talk Anna Rosling Rönnlund "See how the rest of the world lives, organized by income" https://www.ted.com/talks/anna_rosling_ronnlund_see_how_the_rest_of_the_world_lives_organized_by_income?utm_source=newsletter_weekly_2018-01-20&utm_campaign=newsletter_weekly&utm_medium=email&utm_content=talk_of_the_week_button#t-128018 e straordinario sito Gapminder per visualizzazione dati demoscopici https://www.gapminder.org/dollar-street/matrix?thing=Families&countries=World&regions=World&zoom=4&row=1&lowIncome=26&highIncome=15000&lang=en

Quali contraddizioni o punti critici possiamo leggere nei trends tra passato e futuro?

cfr. Rapporto sui limiti dello sviluppo (dal libro The Limits to Growth. I limiti dello sviluppo), commissionato al MIT dal Club di Roma,

The Limit of Growth: https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapporto_sui_limiti_dello_sviluppo ; the oroginal book http://issuu.com/dartmouth_college_library/docs/the_limits_to_growth?e=1347206/1573259 and the update http://donellameadows.org/archives/a-synopsis-limits-to-growth-the-30-year-update/ (video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kIQvBYOtgMg 13 min)

Come si presenterà il mondo che ci attende?

cfr. Microsoft's vision of the Future: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=95Fxe3KnLz4 e https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRlC1f1baCc

Ms Surface Hub https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7DbslbKsQSk&feature=youtu.be

cfr. Yuval Noah Harari "A Brief History Of Tomorrow" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v4EIODEpYXE

Come sarà l'uomo del futuro?

cfr. "What humans will look like in 100 years": http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4061132/What-humans-look-like-100-years-Expert-reveals-genetically-modified-bodies-ll-need-survive.html#ixzz56pLghmQZ

cfr. Yuval Noah Harari "A Brief History Of Tomorrow" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dydvVNkYISM (animated https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v4EIODEpYXE + https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOnNuOOOZP0 )

Questioni storiche chiave per ambiti

> Quale futuro per il lavoro? https://drive.google.com/open?id=0Bze6qWGzKSjTSEI4WGZkd1E1Sms e http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs.pdf e libro di Alec Ross "Il nostro futuro. Come affrontare il mondo dei prossimi vent'anni" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K83S1vGoSag e https://www.ambrosetti.eu/whats-hot/innovazione-tecnologia/come-affrontare-il-mondo-dei-prossimi-ventanni/

Sulla Quarta Rivoluzione Industriale: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and-how-to-respond/ e https://www.weforum.org/focus/shaping-the-fourth-industrial-revolution
Sul nesso robotica/lavoro e i rischi connessi, TED Talk https://www.ted.com/talks/andrew_mcafee_what_will_future_jobs_look_like?language=it
Sulle possibili professioni futuribili: http://enterprise.blob.core.windows.net/whitepapers/futureproof_tomorrows_jobs.pdf

> Quale futuro per economia e risorse?

v. fine del petrolio https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9WgrxJCQ8o ;
OECD "Looking to 2060: A Global Vision of Long-term Growth" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnIl212tBPk ;
the world in 2015 PWC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMmvErZjLyc
TED Talk "How megacities are changing the map of the world | Parag Khanna" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7y4GlmwPLQ
calcolo del rapporto individuo/terra necessaria se proseguissimo con questo modello di produzione-consumo: http://www.footprintcalculator.org/

> Quale futuro per la geo-politica? v. global geopolitical forecast http://katehon.com/article/2017-forecast-global-trends

EU Think Tank http://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document.html?reference=EPRS_STU(2017)603263
Limes, su rivtsa di geopolitica: http://www.limesonline.com/

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