Policy contributions
The road out of the crisis: an update of alternative scenarios (Box 1.3)
European Economic Forecast. Winter 2021 (Interim), European Economy, Institutional Paper 144, February 2021, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
The road out of the crisis remains bumpy and uncertain (Special issue 3.1)
European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2020, European Economy, Institutional Paper 136, November 2020, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
What is behind the slowdown? A model-based analysis of growth drivers (download special issue)
European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2019, European Economy, Institutional Paper 115, November 2019, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
Putting the forecast into perspective (Chapter 1 on Growth continues at a more moderate pace)
Looking at euro area GDP growth in 2019 through the lens of an estimated model (download Box I.1)
European Economic Forecast. Spring 2019, European Economy, Institutional Paper 102, May 2019, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
How resilient is the economy to oil price shocks (download Box I.1)
Euro area GDP growth drivers in 2019 - analysis using a structural model (download Box I.3)
European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2018, European Economy, Institutional Paper 089, November 2018, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
Drivers of the euro area recovery - evidence from an estimated model (download Box I.3)
European Economic Forecast. Spring 2018, European Economy, Institutional Paper 077, May 2018, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
Main drivers of growth in 2018 - shock decomposition from an estimated model (download Box I.1)
European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2017, European Economy, Institutional Paper 063, November 2017, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
Main drivers of growth in 2017 - shock decomposition from an estimated model (download Box I.3)
European Economic Forecast. Spring 2017, European Economy, Institutional Paper 053, May 2017, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
Main drivers of growth in 2017 - shock decomposition from an estimated model (download Box I.1)
European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2016, European Economy, Institutional Paper 038, November 2016, DG ECFIN, European Commission.
Main drivers of growth in 2016 - discerning the underlying shocks (download Box I.1)
European Economic Forecast. Spring 2016, European Economy, Institutional Paper 025, May 2017, DG ECFIN, European Commission.