Current Research

1. Building Bridges: The Decolonization Agenda Meets Data Analysis [2025 Version, New Version Coming Soon] 

Macroeconometric Analysis of Emerging Markets

1. Regional Integration and Decoupling in the Asia Pacific: A Bayesian Panel VAR Approach, IMF Economic Review, 2022, 70, pp.773-807. [Journal Version][Working Paper] 

2. Interdependence or Contagion: A Model Switching Approach with a Focus on Latin America, Economic Modelling, 2020, 85, pp. 166-197. [Journal Version] [Working Paper ]

Macro-financial Risk & Uncertainty

1. Do Macro‑Financial Conditions Amplify Shocks in Banking System Vulnerability?, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2026, with D. Moccero [Open Access Journal Version][ECB Working Paper Under Old Title] Impact: cited in the ECB's  November 2020 Financial Stability Review  here 

2. Investigating Economic Uncertainty Using Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs: The Importance of Model Size, Order-Invariance and Classification, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2025, with  C. Hou and G. Koop [Journal Version] [Working Paper]

3. Cross-Country Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from International Survey Data, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2023, 130, with J. Beckmann, G. Koop  and R. Schuessler [Journal Version] [Working Paper] [Virtual Presentation] 

Supervised PhD Research 

1. Policymaking in Times of Tension: Modelling Geopolitical Risk Across Sectors and Countries with Moke Wu and Ping Wu [Draft of First Paper Available Upon Request]

2. Missing but not Forgotten: Modelling New Developments in the Global Economy Using Data with Missing Values with Zhoullihua Zhang and Ping Wu [Draft of First Paper Available Upon Request]

3. Monetary Policy Transmission in Sub-Saharan Africa with Arnold Palamuleni 

Current Research 

1. Regional Data to Support Policymaking: Unlocking Collaboration Across the UK’s Statistical System with Allison Catalano and Le Nguyen [Project Page, Report Coming Soon]

Publications & Impact

1. The Use and Misuse of Regional Data: Perspectives, Challenges and Policy Implications from Across the UK, Regional Studies, 2025, with J. Black, K. Connolly and M. Spowage [Open Access Journal Version] [Blog

2. Supporting Comparative Regional Analysis Across the UK: Evaluating the Availability, Comparability, and Dissemination of Northern Ireland's Socioeconomic Data, FAI Report, 2024, with A. Catalano, K. Connolly and C.Crummey [Published Version] Impact: our comparability scale has been adopted by the UK's Office for Statistics Regulation, used by the ONS and discussed by the Government Statistical Service and Royal Statistical Society

3. Improving the Quality of Regional Economic Indicators in the UK: A Framework for Interregional Trade Data Collection & Estimation, ESCoE Technical Report Series, 2021  with M.Spowage. [Published Version] Impact: our recommendations informed the ONS' production of interregional trade estimates

4. Building a Suite of Subnational Socioeconomic Indicators for the United Kingdom: Opportunities, Challenges and Recommendations, ESCoE Discussion Paper Series, 2022 with K. Connolly, C. Crummey, N. Brazzelli and M. Spowage [Published Version] [ESCoE Economic Measurement Webinar] [ESCoE Conference Panel Discussion]

5. Improving the Quality of Regional Economic Indicators in the UK: A Framework for the Production of Supply and Use and Input Output Tables for the Four Nations, ESCoE Discussion Paper Series, 2022 with J. Black, K. Connolly and M. Spowage [Published Version]