Publications

1. Investigating Economic Uncertainty Using Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs: The Importance of Model Size, Order-Invariance and Classification, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2025, with  C. Hou and G. Koop [Journal Version] [Working Paper]

2. Cross-Country Uncertainty Spillovers: Evidence from International Survey Data, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2023, 130, with J. Beckmann, G. Koop  and R. Schuessler [Journal Version] [Working Paper] [Virtual Presentation at the ESCoE Conference on Economic Measurement] 

3. Regional Integration and Decoupling in the Asia Pacific: A Bayesian Panel VAR Approach, IMF Economic Review, 2022, 70, pp.773-807. [Journal Version][Working Paper] 

4. Interdependence or Contagion: A Model Switching Approach with a Focus on Latin America, Economic Modelling, 2020, 85, pp. 166-197. [Journal Version] [Working Paper ]

Working Papers

1. Do Macro‑Financial Conditions Amplify Shocks in Banking System Vulnerability? (2026) with D. Moccero [New Version Available Upon Request] [Older ECB Working Paper Under Previous Title] Impact: cited in the ECB's  November 2020 Financial Stability Review  here 

2. From Colonial Global Economy to Colonial Methodology: The Decolonization Agenda Meets Data Analysis (2025) [Working Paper] 

PhD Studentships

1. Monetary Policy Transmission in Sub-Saharan Africa with Arnold Palamuleni 

2. Missing but not Forgotten: Modelling New Developments in the Global Economy Using Data with Missing Values with Zhoullihua Zhang and Ping Wu [Draft of First Paper Available Upon Request]

3. Policymaking in Times of Tension: Modelling Geopolitical Risk Across Sectors and Countries with Moke Wu and Ping Wu [Draft of First Paper Available Upon Request]

Publications

1. The Use and Misuse of Regional Data: Perspectives, Challenges and Policy Implications from Across the UK, Regional Studies, 2025, with J. Black, K. Connolly and M. Spowage [Open Access Journal Version] [e-Zine Blog]

Work in Progress 

1. Regional Data to Support Policymaking: Unlocking Collaboration Across the UK’s Statistical System with Allison Catalano and Le Nguyen [Project Page]

Policy Reports, Engagement & Impact

1. Supporting Comparative Regional Analysis Across the UK: Evaluating the Availability, Comparability, and Dissemination of Northern Ireland's Socioeconomic Data, FAI Report, 2024, with A. Catalano, K. Connolly and C.Crummey [Published Version] Impact: our comparability scale has been further developed by the UK's Office for Statistics Regulation and used by the ONS

2. Improving the Quality of Regional Economic Indicators in the UK: A Framework for Interregional Trade Data Collection & Estimation, ESCoE Technical Report Series, 2021  with M.Spowage. [Published Version] Impact: our recommendations have informed the ONS' production of interregional trade estimates

3. Building a Suite of Subnational Socioeconomic Indicators for the United Kingdom: Opportunities, Challenges and Recommendations, ESCoE Discussion Paper Series, 2022 with K. Connolly, C. Crummey, N. Brazzelli and M. Spowage [Published Version] [ESCoE Economic Measurement Webinar] [ESCoE Conference Panel Discussion]

4. Improving the Quality of Regional Economic Indicators in the UK: A Framework for the Production of Supply and Use and Input Output Tables for the Four Nations, ESCoE Discussion Paper Series, 2022 with J. Black, K. Connolly and M. Spowage [Published Version]