The Indian stock market is witnessing a historic rise in demand for National Stock Exchange (NSE) unlisted shares as investors prepare for its much-anticipated public offering. In 2025, interest has skyrocketed, driving share prices in the unlisted space beyond ₹4,500 per share—up from ₹3,000 in early 2024. This sudden surge has put immense pressure on the grey market, which facilitates these unofficial share transfers.
Leading platforms like Planify, UnlistedZone, and Sharescart have reported a significant spike in investor inquiries. High-net-worth individuals (HNIs) and institutional players are competing for limited inventory as they try to lock in profits before NSE hits the stock exchanges.
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A key barrier in transferring NSE unlisted shares is the Right of First Refusal (ROFR) clause. Under this condition, sellers must obtain NSE’s approval before executing any share transfer, slowing down transaction timelines and complicating deal closures.
This approval process has become a pain point, causing long delays and, in many cases, canceled deals. Investors face fund lock-ins, while brokers experience growing frustration over frozen capital.
The grey market, long considered a flexible and fast-moving space for unlisted share trading, is now showing signs of liquidity stress. The ROFR process has led to significant delays in finalizing trades, forcing brokers to limit capital exposure. This has reduced the volume of available NSE shares and resulted in higher default rates.
Settlement success rates, once as high as 90%, have dropped to 60% or below, as buyers and sellers hesitate to commit in a high-risk environment. With rising prices and limited stock, the market has become volatile, raising the risk profile for all participants—especially retail investors.
The buzz around NSE’s IPO continues to intensify. SEBI Chairman Tuhin Kanta Pandey recently affirmed that all pending issues are being resolved, clearing the way for NSE to go public. Analysts project the IPO could value NSE between ₹4.7 lakh crore and ₹5.2 lakh crore, making it one of the largest IPOs in Indian history.
This anticipated listing has ignited speculative activity in the unlisted segment, as investors seek early access to potential multibagger gains. A successful IPO could also bring much-needed liquidity to early shareholders and validate the current grey market prices.
Despite regulatory hurdles and liquidity bottlenecks, investor confidence in NSE remains strong. Several compelling reasons continue to drive demand:
Dominance in Derivatives Trading: NSE holds over 90% market share in India's equity derivatives segment.
Robust Financials: NSE posted a net profit of ₹6,200 crore in FY 2024, showcasing consistent growth and profitability.
World-Class Infrastructure: With advanced trading technology and co-location facilities, NSE is on par with global exchanges.
Institutional Trust: NSE is a cornerstone of India’s financial architecture, known for compliance, innovation, and resilience.
Retail investors entering this space must tread carefully. The unregulated nature of grey market trades exposes participants to several risks:
Lack of SEBI Oversight: Most transactions happen outside the legal securities market framework.
Capital Lock-ins: Funds can remain blocked for weeks or months if transfers aren't approved.
Limited Liquidity: Without a formal exit route, investors may find it difficult to sell their holdings quickly.
Uncertain Transfers: The ROFR clause means there is no guarantee of transaction completion.
For those interested in participating, here are best practices to minimize risk:
Choose Registered Intermediaries: Work with reputed firms like Planify that follow a transparent and documented process.
Verify ROFR Timelines: Confirm approval durations and potential deal failure scenarios before committing funds.
Avoid Leverage: Stay away from borrowing capital to invest in unlisted shares, especially in volatile markets.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Don’t put all your capital into NSE shares. Balance your exposure across different high-potential unlisted companies.
The ongoing friction in unlisted share transfers has sparked debates around NSE's corporate governance. Critics argue that the ROFR clause, while protective, lacks transparency and hinders fair trading. As India's leading exchange, NSE is expected to modernize its share transfer policies, especially with IPO plans on the horizon.
There is also concern that prolonged delays in transfers may harm NSE’s public image, particularly among retail investors and small brokers who are struggling to navigate the evolving regulatory environment.
The excitement around NSE unlisted shares is undeniable. Fueled by strong fundamentals and IPO optimism, the boom appears grounded in real value. However, the speculative behavior in grey market trades, coupled with regulatory inefficiencies, signals caution.
Until NSE officially files for its IPO and the ROFR process is streamlined, investors must exercise due diligence. Those who understand the risks, regulatory landscape, and liquidity cycles stand to benefit the most from this pre-IPO opportunity.