Research
Current research areas
I am particularly interested in interdisciplinary policy research with international organisations, entrepreneurs, corporations, and scientists. My current main fields of research are:
(1) Macroeconomics:
Fiscal policy analysis and debt sustainability.
Macroeconomic uncertainty modelling and business cycles.
Open-economy DSGE and Heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) models.
(2) Econometrics:
Applied econometrics.
Econometric forecasting using dynamic factor models (large datasets).
(3) Energy & Resource Economics:
Economics of climate change & oil price shocks in the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region and Emerging Economies.
Published and Forthcoming Articles
Zahran, Mohamed S. (2019), "The response of remittances inflows to asymmetric oil price shocks in Egypt", Review of Economics and Political Science. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1108/REPS-01-2019-000
Working Papers
Zahran, M. S. (2021), "Negative-supply-driven Uncertainty Shocks". Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3891156
Zahran, M. S. (2021), “Estimating Disaggregate Time-varying Macroeconomic Uncertainty Using a Dynamic Model Selection Procedure ”, Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3924258.
Zahran, M. S. (2022), “Fiscal Policy Curse and Public Debt Distribution over the Uncertainty Cycles”, City University of London, UK, In progress.
Zahran, M. S. (2022), “The Dynamic Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Inflation in HANK Model”, City University of London, UK, In progress.
Unpublished Research Articles
Zahran, M. S. (2017), “Does military expenditure crowd out private investment? Evidence from Egypt”, Philipps-Universität Marburg. Germany.
Zahran, M. S. (2016), “Public spending on education in resource-rich countries: Does corruption matter?”, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Germany.
Zahran, M. S. (2015), “Conflict and youth population in the MENA region: Role of income inequality”, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Germany.