Publications

U.S. Monetary Policy Shock Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-Level Data, with Elif Arbatli-Saxegaard, Davide Furceri, and Jeanne Verrier 

Journal of International Money and Finance, September 2025

IMF Working Paper

State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through, with Yan Carrière-Swallow, Davide Furceri, and Daniel Jiménez

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,  October 2024

IMF Working Paper 23/86, April 2023 

VoxEU column

Borrowing Constraints and Saving in Turkey, with Sumru Altug

Central Bank Review, March 2018

Working Papers

Banking on nonbanks, with Bruno Albuquerque, Eugenio Cerutti, and Benedikt Kagerer

IMF Working Paper 2026/023, February 2026

Global Cross-Border Payments: A $1 Quadrillion Evolving Market?, with Eugenio Cerutti and Martina Hengge 

IMF Working Paper 2025/120, June 2025 (Submitted)

From banks to nonbanks: the effect of macroprudential and monetary policy on corporate lending, with Bruno Albuquerque, Eugenio Cerutti, and Nanyu Chen

IMF Working Paper 2025/096, May 2025 (R&R at American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics)

VoxEU column

Unraveling the Wage-Output Disconnect: The Role of Labor Market Power, with Can Sever

IMF Working Paper 2024/136, July 2024 (R&R at The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics)

Global Value Chains and Inflation Dynamics: Does the Source of Inputs Matter?, with Tommaso Aquilante, Aydan Dogan and Aditya Soenarjo

Bank of England, Staff Working Paper 1,060, February 2024 (Submitted)

China Spillovers: Aggregate and Firm-Level Evidence, with Alexander Copestake, Davide Furceri, and Chris Redl 

IMF Working Paper 23/206, October 2023 (R&R at Journal of International Economics)

Demand vs. Supply Decomposition of Inflation: Cross-Country Evidence with Applications, with Otso Hao 

IMF Working Paper 23/205, October 2023

Monetary Policy Transmission Heterogeneity: Cross-Country Evidence, with Pragyan Deb, Julia Estefania-Flores, Davide Furceri, and Siddharth Kothari

IMF Working Paper 23/204, October 2023

The China Shock, Market Concentration and the U.S. Phillips Curve 

Work in Progress

Stablecoin shocks, with Eugenio Cerutti, Martina Hengge, and Takaaki Sagawa

Cross-Border Payments in the Era of Stablecoins, with Eugenio Cerutti, Alisa DiCaprio, Martina Hengge, and Takaaki Sagawa

Bonding through crisis: the role of nonbanks, with Bruno Albuquerque, and Jonas Becker

Policy Work

Nepal: 2025 6th Review Under the Extended Credit Facility, IMF Staff Report 

External Sector Report 2025, (Box on Cross-border flows networks)

IMF Fintech Note: Estimating the Impact of Digital Money on Cross-Border Flows: Scenario Analysis Covering the Intensive Margin, with Eugenio Cerutti and Hector Perez-Saiz

Nepal: 2025 5th Review Under the Extended Credit Facility, IMF Staff Report 

Thailand: 2023 Article IV Consultation Staff Report, IMF Staff Report

Regional Economic Outlook for Asia and Pacific, Chapter 2: Recent Inflation Experiences in Asia and the Pacific, October 2023 

Regional Economic Outlook for Asia and Pacific, Chapter 1: Recovery Unabated Amid Uncertainty, May 2023 

Regional Disparities in Europe, with Ravi Balakrishnan, Christian Ebeke, Davide Malacrino, and Louise Rabier 

IMF Working Paper 22/198, September 2022

Regional Economic Outlook for Asia and Pacific, Chapter 1: Navigating Waves of New Variants, October 2021