Dr Larissa Marioni - Publications

Publications

Journal articles

Does a teacher's perception of school management predict student achievement? (with Ricardo da Silva Freguglia and Ana Beatriz Monteiro Costa), Education Economics, 1-22, 2026.
Fiscal Framework, Public Investment and Regional Regeneration: Policy responses to spatial and distributional inequality in the UK (with Adrian Pabst, Arnab Bhattacharjee, Eliza da Silva Gomes and Tibor Szendrei), Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. 50, Issue 5, Pages 905-927, 2026.

★ Productivity performance, distance to frontier and AI innovation: Firm-level evidence from Europe (with Francesco Venturini and Ana Rincon-Aznar), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 228, 2024.

The effects of minimum wage on education acquisition in Brazil, International Labour Review, Vol. 163, No. 4, 2024.
Prevalence of flu-like syndrome in healthcare workers in Brazil: a national study, 2020 (with Ada Ávila Assunção, Ricardo da Silva Freguglia and Marcel de Toledo Vieira), Journal of Public Health (Revista de Saúde Pública), 57(6), 2023.
Overeducation in the labour market: evidence from Brazil, Education Economics, 29(1):53-72, 2021.
The impacts of teacher working conditions and human capital on student achievement: evidence from Brazilian longitudinal data (with Ricardo da Silva Freguglia and Naércio Aquino Menezes-Filho), Applied Economics, 52(6):568-582, 2020.

The impact of PRONAF on Brazilian GDP: a quantile regression application for panel data (with Vinícius de Almeida Vale, Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli and Ricardo da Silva Freguglia), Brazilian Journal of Rural Economics and Sociology, 54:221-242, 2016.

Discussion papers

Digital skill demand by region and industry in the UK (with Mary O'Mahony and Patrick Serberis). Working Paper No. 081, The Productivity Institute, 27 Aug 2026.
Characteristics of Venezuelan Migration to Brazil: General Aspects and Labour Market Allocation (with Fillipe Guedes, Carlos Henrique Leite Corseuil and Ricardo da Silva Freguglia). NIESR Discussion Papers Series No. 574, 27 Jan 2026.
Does School Management and Leadership Predict Student Achievement? Evidence From Elementary Schools in Brazil (with Ricardo da Silva Freguglia and Ana Beatriz Monteiro Costa). NIESR Discussion Papers Series No. 557, 24 Sep 2024. Funded by FAPEMIG and CNPq.
Exploring alternative data sources for household wealth statistics (with Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst and Max Mosley). NIESR Discussion Papers Series No. 552, 24 Jan 2024. Funded by the ONS via ESCoE.
Transition Probabilities, Wages and Regional Human Capital Stocks (with Augustin de Coulon and Mary O'Mahony), ESCoE DP 2022-28, 24 Nov 2022. Funded by the ONS via ESCoE.

Technical reports

Understanding the gender pay gap in the UK: Drivers and barriers, evidence from UKLHS 2009 to 2023 (with Anisa Butt, Edoardo Masset, Eliza da Silva Gomes, and Tibor Szendrei), Technical Report, Cabinet Office, Jul 2026.
The impacts of changes to the National Minimum Wage, including the National Living Wage, on household incomes (with Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst and Tibor Szendrei), Technical Report, Low Pay Commission, Jan 2026.
Domestic Abuse and Schools: Evidence from the Supervision for Designated Safeguarding Leads Evaluation (with Lucy Stokes, Johnny Runge, Sophie Kitson, Jasmin Rostron, Ekaterina Aleynikova, Janine Boshoff, Max Harvey, Katherine Stockland, Cecilia Zuniga-Montanez and Chiara Manzoni), Technical Report, Department for Education via What Works for Children’s Social Care, Jun 2023.
Supervising Designated Safeguarding Leads in Primary Schools (with Lucy Stokes, Johnny Runge, Jasmin Rostron, Richard Dorsett, Janine Boshoff, Cecilia Zuniga-Montanez, Max Harvey, Katherine Stockland, Ekaterina Aleynikova, Chiara Manzoni, Claudine Bowyer-Crane, and Lei Xu), Technical Report, Department for Education via What Works for Children's Social Care, 27 Apr 2023.
Designated Safeguarding Leads Group Supervision in Secondary Schools (with Lucy Stokes, Johnny Runge, Ekaterina Aleynikova, Jasmin Rostron, Janine Boshoff, Max Harvey, Katherine Stockland, Cecilia Zuniga-Montanez, Chiara Manzoni, and Claudine Bowyer-Crane), Technical Report, Department for Education via What Works for Children's Social Care, 27 Apr 2023.
Supervision of Designated Safeguarding Leads in Schools: Focus on Child Sexual Abuse (with Lucy Stokes, Johnny Runge, Katharine Stockland, Richard Dorsett, Janine Boshoff, Max Harvey, Ekaterina Aleynikova, Jasmin Rostron, Cecilia Zuniga-Montanez, and Chiara Manzoni), Technical Report, Department for Education via What Works for Children's Social Care, 27 Apr 2023.
Supervision of Designated Safeguarding Leads: Great Manchester Combined Authority (with Lucy Stokes, Johnny Runge, Jasmin Rostron, Richard Dorsett, Janine Boshoff, Chiara Manzoni, Ekaterina Aleynikova, Max Harvey, Katharine Stockland, Cecilia Zuniga-Montanez, Claudine Bowyer-Crane, and Elena Lisauskaite), Technical Report, Department for Education via What Works for Children's Social Care, 27 Apr 2023.
Fairer Taxation? The Case For and Against More Progressive Consumption Taxes in the UK (with Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Andrew Aitken, Elena Lisauskaite, and Justin van de Ven), Technical Report, abrdn Financial Fairness Trust, 19 Oct 2022.

- Covered by Yahoo Finance.

Investigating the factors driving Scotland’s productivity gap with international countries (with Ana Rincon-Aznar, Francesco Venturini and Catherine Robinson), Technical Report, ISBN 9781804358191, Scottish Government, 23 Sep 2022.

- Covered by The Times.

Estimating Food and Drink Demand Elasticities (with Ana Rincon-Aznar, Andrew Aitken, Sandeep Kapur, Ron Smith and Walter Beckert), Technical Report, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, 25 Apr 2022.
From ideas to growth: understanding the drivers of innovation and productivity across firms, regions and industries in the UK (with Andrew Aitken, Francesca Foliano, David Nguyen, Ana Rincon-Aznar, and Enrico Vanino), Technical Report, BEIS Research Paper Number: 2021/041, Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy, 08 Oct 2021.

Blog posts and columns

Navigating the Shift: What Today's Graduates Need to Know About the Job Market, NIESR Monday Interview, 06 Jul 2026.
Why Is the Graduate Wage Premium Falling in the UK?, NIESR Monday Interview, 13 Apr 2026.
Forced Migration and Labour Market Allocation: The Case for Venezuela, NIESR Monday Interview, 23 Feb 2026.
How Minimum Wage Rises Impact Household Income, NIESR Monday Interview, 09 Feb 2026.
The Great British skills mismatch, FE Week, 07 Jul 2025.
From Education to Employment: Understanding the Youth Jobs Gap, NIESR Monday Interview, 27 May 2025.
Minimum Wage Policies and on-the-job education acquisition: Lessons from Brazil and implications for the UK, NIESR Blogs, 14 Jan 2025.
How Artificial Intelligence Could Narrow the Productivity Gap, NIESR Monday Interview, 06 Jan 2025.
The UK Productivity Paralysis, NIESR Monday Interview, 09 Sep 2024.
What might be the economic implications of autonomous vehicles?, Economics Observatory, 29 Aug 2024.

- Covered by The Telegraph (interview, Feb 2026), The Times (Mar 2026).

Understanding Skill Mismatches and Regional Mobility, NIESR Monday Interview, 22 Apr 2024.
The Case for a Fairer UK Tax System, NIESR Monday Interview, 31 Oct 2022.
How sensitive is the price of food and drink?, NIESR Monday Interview, 25 Apr 2022.
Will people go back to the office after the pandemic?, Economics Observatory, 21 Jul 2021.
What do social media reveal about our emotions during the Covid-19 crisis?, Economics Observatory, 01 Mar 2021.

Other publications

Mind the Regional Transport Connectivity Gap, National Institute UK Economic Outlook Winter, 2025.
Transport Connectivity in the UK: Regional Disparities and Policies Pathways, NIESR Policy Papers Series No. 40, 17 Dec 2024.
Economic Priorities for the 2024 General Election (with Jagjit S. Chada, Benjamin Caswell, Ed Cornforth, Patricia Sanchez-Juanino, Max Mosley, Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Eliza da Silva Gomes, Robyn Smith and Tibor Szendrei), National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 18 Jun 2024. Funded by The Nuffield Foundation.
General Election Briefing - Productivity (with Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Eliza da Silva Gomes, Robyn Smith and Tibor Szendrei), National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 06 Jun 2024. Funded by The Nuffield Foundation.
The AI revolution and public services transformation, runner-up of the Bennett Public Policy Prize 2024 (University of Cambridge).
Covid-19 and Productivity: Impact and Implications (with Adrian Pabst, Paul Mortimer-Lee, Kemar Whyte, Claudine Bowyer-Crane, Jagjit S. Chadha, Rory MacQueen, Issam Samiri, Konstantinos Myrodias, Ana Rincon-Aznar, Manuel Tong Koecklin, Barry Naisbitt, Gabriele Ballicu, Catherine Robinson and Andy Westwood), NIESR Occasional Paper LXII, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 17 Feb 2022.
NIESR’s Response to the Autumn Budget and Spending Review 2021 (with Jagjit S. Chadha, Rory MacQueen, Paul Mortimer-Lee, Claudine Bowyer-Crane, Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Ana Rincon-Aznar, Manuel Tong Koecklin and Andrew Aitken), National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 27 Oct 2021. Funded by NIESR via ESRC Impact Acceleration Account.
National Institute UK Economic Outlook - Recovery: stalling not soaring (with Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Tibor Szendrei, Andrew Aitken, Ana Rincon-Aznar and Manuel Tong), National Institute UK Economic Outlook, issue 4, 33-40, 2021.