研究成果
IPCC AR6 WG1報告書で引用された論文一覧
IPCC AR6 WG1 Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis
Chapter 2: Changing state of the climate system
2.3.1.4.2 Global monsoon changes
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Li, X., Xie, S. P., and Ueda, H. (2017). Atlantic effects on recent decadal trends in global monsoon. Clim. Dyn. 49, 3443–3455.
【概要】1979年以降、全球規模でモンスーンは強化傾向にあるが、地域によってはその傾向が明瞭でなく、またデータセットによって傾向も異なる
Chapter 3: Human influence on the climate system
Cross-Chapter Box 3.1: Global Surface Warming over the Early 21st Century
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., and Kimoto, M. (2014), Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5192-5199.
【概要】1998年から2012年にかけて、地上気温上昇の減速が起きていた時期でも、陸上の極端高温は増えていた
3.3.3.2 Global Monsoons
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Li, X., Xie, S. P., and Ueda, H. (2017). Atlantic effects on recent decadal trends in global monsoon. Clim. Dyn. 49, 3443–3455.
【概要】近年の全球規模モンスーン強化傾向には、大西洋数十年規模変動が寄与している
Chapter 4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
4.2.4 Pattern Scaling
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., and Watanabe, M. (2012). On the robustness of tropospheric adjustment in CMIP5 models. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L23808. doi:10.1029/2012GL054275.
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., and Watanabe, M. (2013). Tropospheric adjustment to increasing CO2: Its timescale and the role of land-sea contrast. Clim. Dyn. 41, 3007–3024.
【概要】放射強制力と気候応答の概念を整理したことで、気候の変化は放射強制力に依存する速い調節過程と、全球平均気温に依存する遅い応答の二つに分けられることが明らかになった
Chapter 7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity
7.4.2.4.2 Assessment of feedbacks for individual cloud regimes
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., T. Ogura, M. Watanabe, S.-P. Xie, and H. Ueda, 2016: Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, 2593-2609.
【概要】温暖化時には陸上の雲が減り、陸の昇温を強める働きをする
7.5.7 Processes underlying uncertainty in the global temperature response to forcing
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., Ogura, T., Yokohata, T., and Kimoto, M. (2016) Lower tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a multiparameter multiphysics ensemble. J. Climate, 29, 6259-6275.
【概要】複数の気候モデルを用いて、モデルパラメータを変更した検証からは、気候フィードバックのばらつきに最も寄与するのは雲フィードバックであることが示されている
Chapter 8: Water cycle changes
8.3.2.8.2 Atmospheric rivers
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., W. Mei, S.-P. Xie, M. Naoi, and H. Ueda, 2017: Atmospheric rivers over the Northwestern Pacific: Climatology and interannual variability. J. Climate, 30, 5605-5619.
【概要】細長く、浅く、強い水蒸気の流れである大気の川は、東アジアにも暖候期に大きな影響力を持つ
8.4.2.8.2 Atmospheric rivers
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., W. Mei, and S.-P. Xie, 2019: Ocean warming pattern effects on future changes in East Asian atmospheric rivers. Env. Res. Lett., 14, 054019.
【概要】温暖化時には、より強い水蒸気輸送を伴う大気の川イベントが増え、より強い豪雨が世界各地および東アジアを襲うことが予測されており、その頻度変化には海面水温変化パターンが重要である
Chapter 11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
11.3.1 Mechanisms and drivers
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., and Kimoto, M. (2014). Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 5192–5199.
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., Imada, Y., Mori, M., Arakawa, O., Mizuta, R., et al. (2017). Forced response and internal variability of summer climate over western North America. Clim. Dyn. 49, 403–417.
【概要】太平洋や大西洋の数十年規模の変動が存在することで、全球平均気温で見た地球温暖化の進行と極端現象とは必ずしも対応せず、例えば地球温暖化の停滞期にも、数十年規模変動の影響で、中緯度の極端な高温が増えていたことが示されている
11.3.2 Observed trends
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., and Kimoto, M. (2014). Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 5192–5199.
【概要】暖候期の顕著な高温日がより高温になる傾向は、1990年代後期から2010年代初期にかけての地球温暖化の停滞期にも確認される
11.7.3.1 Mechanisms and drivers
【引用論文】Kamae, Y., W. Mei, S.-P. Xie, M. Naoi, and H. Ueda, 2017: Atmospheric rivers over the Northwestern Pacific: Climatology and interannual variability. J. Climate, 30, 5605-5619.
【概要】夏季東アジアを始め、大気の川や他の組織化した水蒸気フラックスは強い対流システムと豪雨をもたらす
書籍
水文・水資源学会編, 2022: 水文・水資源ハンドブック第二版. 朝倉書店, ISBM: 978-4-254-26174-5, 640 pp.
山川修治ほか編, 2022: 図説 世界の気候事典. 朝倉書店, ISBM: 978-4254161328, 430 pp.
天野一男, 渡部潤一, 釜江陽一, 柴崎直明, 田中博, 小川乃絵, 小幡喜一, 田中舘宏橘, 直井雅文, 村山敬真, 森山義礼, 2022: 地学基礎. 実教出版, ISBN: 978-4-407-20471-1, 208 pp.
Kosaka, Y., Y. Takaya, and Y. Kamae, 2020: The Indo-western Pacific Ocean capacitor effect. In: Tropical and Extra-tropical Air-Sea Interactions (Behera, S. K. ed.), Elsevier, 141-169.
筆保弘徳, 山崎哲, 堀田大介, 釜江陽一, 大橋唯太, 中村哲, 吉田龍二, 下瀬健一, 安成哲平, 2019: ニュース・天気予報がよくわかる気象キーワード事典. ベレ出版, ISBN:9784860645915, 276pp.
松岡憲知ほか編 2019: 改訂版 地球環境学. 古今書院, ISBN:9784772253192, 122pp.
査読付き原著論文
2024
Tsuchida, K., T. Mochizuki, R. Kawamura, T. Kawano, and Y. Kamae, 2024: Diversity of lagged relationships in global means of surface temperatures and radiative budgets for CMIP6 piControl simulations. J. Climate, 36, 8743-8759.
Ranaweera, K. R. K. D. N., and Y. Kamae, 2024: Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the first inter-monsoon rainfall over Sri Lanka in the post El Niño years. Front. Climate, 6, doi:10.3389/fclim.2024.1361322.
Jayasekara, S., T. Ushiyama, M. Rasmy, and Y. Kamae, 2024: Investigation of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean and the linkage to extreme weather events Over Sri Lanka. Atmosphere, 15, 390, doi:10.3390/atmos15040390.
2023
Ren, X., D. J. Lunt, E. Hendy, A. von der Heydt, A. Abe-Ouchi, B. Otto-Bliesner, C. J. R. Williams, C. Stepaneak, C. Guo, D. Chandan, G. Lohmann, J. C. Tindall, L. E. Sohl, M. A. Chandler, M. Kageyama, M. L. J. Baatsen, N. Tan, Q. Zhang, R. Feng, S. Hunter, W.-L. Chan, W. R. Peltier, X. Li, Y. Kamae, Z. Zhang, and A. M. Haywood, 2023: The hydrological cycle and ocean circulation of the Maritime Continent in the Pliocene: results from PlioMIP2. Clim. Past, 19, 2053-2077.
Guo. D., H. Wang, V. E. Romanovsky, A. M. Haywood, N. Pepin, U. Salzmann, J. Sun, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, X. Li, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, R. Feng, G. Lohmann, C. Stepanek, A. Abe-Ouchi, W.-L. Chan, W. R. Peltier, D. Chandan, A. S. von der Heydt, C. Contoux, M. A. Chandler, N. Tan, Q. Zhang, S. J. Hunter, and Y. Kamae, 2023: Highly restricted near‐surface permafrost extent during the mid-Pliocene warm period. PNAS, 120, e2301954120.
Kamae, Y., H. Ueda, T. Inoue, and H. Mitsudera, 2023: Atmospheric circulations associated with sea-ice reduction events in the Okhotsk Sea. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 101, 201-212.
Li, C., W. Mei, and Y. Kamae, 2023: A cluster analysis of cold-season atmospheric river tracks over the North Atlantic and their linkages to extreme precipitation and winds. Clim. Dyn., 60, 201-212.
2022
山田将喜, 釜江陽一, 2022: 日本で発生する相対的に強い降水に占める大気の川事例の割合. 天気, 69, 609-620.
Pontes, G., A. Taschetto, A. S. Gupta, A. Santoso, I. Wainer, A. M. Haywood, W.-L. Chan, A. Abe-Ouchi, C. Stepanek, G. Lohmann, S. J. Hunter, J. C. Tindall, M. A. Chandler, L. E. Sohl, W. R. Peltier, D. Chandan, Y. Kamae, K. H. Nisancioglu, Z. Zhang, C. Contoux, N. Tan, Q. Zhang, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, E. C. Brady, R. Feng, A. S. von der Heydt, M. L. J. Baatsen, and A. Oldeman, 2022: Mid-Pliocene El Niño/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift. Nature Geoscience, 15, 726-734.
Li, C., W. Mei, and Y. Kamae, 2022: Variability and predictability of cold-season North Atlantic atmospheric river occurrence frequency in a set of high-resolution atmospheric simulations. Clim. Dyn., 58, 2485-2500.
2021
Kamae, Y., Y. Imada, H. Kawase, and W. Mei, 2021: Atmospheric rivers bring more frequent and intense extreme rainfall events over East Asia under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL096030.
Oldeman, A. M., Mi. L. J. Baatsen, A. S. von der Heydt, H. A. Dijkstra, J. C. Tindall, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. R. Booth, E. C. Brady, W.-L. Chan, D. Chandan, M. A. Chandler, C. Contoux, R. Feng, C. Guo, A. M. Haywood, S. J. Hunter, Y. Kamae, Q. Li, X. Li, G. Lohmann, D. J. Lunt, K. H. Nisancioglu, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, W. R. Peltier, G. M. Pontes, G. Ramstein, L. E. Sohl, C. Stepanek, N. Tan, Q. Zhang, Z. Zhang, I. Wainer, and C. J. R. Williams, 2021: Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble. Clim. Past, 17, 2427-2450.
Berntell, E., Q. Zhang, Q. Li, A. M. Haywood, J. C. Tindall, S. J. Hunter, Z. Zhang, X. Li, C. Guo, K. H. Nisancioglu, C. Stepanek, G. Lohmann, L. E. Sohl, M. A. Chandler, N. Tan, C. Contoux, F. Ramstein, M. L. J. Baatsen, A. S. von der Heydt, D. Chandan, W. R. Peltier, A. Abe-Ouchi, W.-L. Chan, Y. Kamae,, C. J. R. Williams, and D. Lunt, 2021: Mid-Pliocene West African monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble. Clim. Past, 17, 1777-1794.
Kuramochi, M., H. Ueda, C. Kobayashi, Y. Kamae, and K. Takaya, 2021: Anomalous Warm Winter 2019/2020 over East Asia associated with Trans-basin Indo-Pacific connections. SOLA, 17B, 9-13.
Ryu, Y., H. Moon, J. Kim, T.-J. Kim, K.-O. Boo, B. Guan, Y. Kamae, W. Mei, C. Park, S.-W. Son, and Y.-H. Byun, 2021: A multi-inventory ensemble analysis of the effects of atmospheric rivers on precipitation and streamflow in the Namgang-dam inflow basin in Korea. Water Res. Res., 57, e2021WR030058.
Hirota, N., T. Ogura, H. Shiogama, P. Caldwell, M. Watanabe, Y. Kamae, and K. Suzuki: Underestimated marine stratocumulus cloud feedback associated with overly active deep convection in models. Env. Res. Lett., 16, 074015.
Chapman, W. E., A. C. Subramanian, S.-P. Xie, M. Sierks, F. M. Ralph, and Y. Kamae, 2021: Monthly modulation of ENSO teleconnections: Implications for potential predictability in North America. J. Climate, 34, 5899-5921.
2020
de Nooijer, Wesley., Q. Zhang, Q. Li, Q. Zhang, X. Li, Z. Zhang, C. Guo, K. H. Nisancioglu, A. M. Haywood, J. C. Tindall, S. J. Hunter, H. J. Dowsett, C. Stepanek, G. Lohmann, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, R. Feng, L. E. Sohl, N. Tan, C. Contoux, G. Ramstein, M. L. J. Baatsen, A. S. von der Heydt, D. Chandan, W. R. Peltier, A. Abe-Ouchi, W.-L. Chan, Y. Kamae , and C. M. Brierley, 2020: Evaluation of Arctic warming in mid-Pliocene climate simulations. Clim. Past, 16, 2325-2341.
Haywood, A. M., J. C. Tindall, H. J. Dowsett, A. M. Dolan, K. M. Foley, S. J. Hunter, D. J. Hill, W.-L. Chan, A. Abe-Ouchi, C. Stepanek, G. Lohmann, D. Chandan, W. R. Peltier, N. Tan, C. Contoux, G. Ramstein, X. Li, Z. Zhang, C. Guo, K. H. Nisancioglu, Q. Zhang, Q. Li, Y. Kamae, M. A. Chandler, L. E. Sohl, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, R. Feng, E. C. Brady, A. S. von der Heydt, M. L. J. Baatsen, and D. Lunt: The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Large scale climate features and climate sensitivity. Clim. Past, 16, 2095-2123.
Pontes, G. M., I. Wainer, A. S. Taschetto, A. S. Gupta, A. Abe-Ouchi, E. C. Brady, W.-L. Chan, D. Chandan, C. Contoux, R. Feng, S. J. Hunter, Y. Kamae , G. Lohmann, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, W. R. Peltier, C. Stepanek, J. Tindall, N. Tan, Q. Zhang, and Z. Zhang, 2020: Drier tropical and subtropical Southern Hemisphere in the Mid-Pliocene warm period. Sci. Rep., 10, 13458, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-68884-5.
Naoi, M., Y. Kamae, H. Ueda, and W. Mei, 2020: Impacts of seasonal transitions of ENSO on atmospheric river activity over East Asia. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98, 655-668.
Peng Q., S.-P. Xie, D. Wang, Y. Kamae, H. Zhang, S. Hu, X.-T. Zheng, and W. Wang, 2020: Eastern Pacific wind effect on the evolution of El Niño: Implications for ENSO diversity. J. Climate, 33, 3197-3212.
2019
Kamae, Y., W. Mei, and S.-P. Xie, 2019: Ocean warming pattern effects on future changes in East Asian atmospheric rivers. Env. Res. Lett., 14, 054019, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab128a.
Mei, W., Y. Kamae, S.-P. Xie, and K. Yoshida, 2019: Variability and predictability of North Atlantic hurricane frequency in a large ensemble of high-resolution atmospheric simulations. J. Climate, 32, 3153-3167.
Kamae, Y., R. Chadwick, D. Ackerley, M. Ringer, and T. Ogura, 2019: Seasonally variant low cloud adjustment over cool oceans. Clim. Dyn., 52, 5801-5817.
Takahashi, C., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, Y. Kosaka, M. Mori, M. Arai, Y. Kamae, and M. Watanabe, 2019: The effects of natural variability and climate change to the record low sunshine over Japan during August 2017. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, S67-S71.
2018
Watanabe, M., Y. Kamae, H. Shiogama, A. M. DeAngelis, and K. Suzuki, 2018: Low clouds link equilibrium climate sensitivity to hydrological sensitivity. Nature Climate Change, 8, 901-906.
Ueda, H., K. Miwa, and Y. Kamae, 2018: Seasonal modulation of tropical cyclone occurrence associated with coherent Indo-Pacific variability during decaying phase of El Niño. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 96, 381-390.
Xie, S.-P., Q. Peng, Y. Kamae, X. Zheng, H. Tokinaga, and D. Wang, 2018: Eastern Pacific ITCZ dipole and ENSO diversity. J. Climate, 31, 4449-4462.
Imada, Y., H. Shiogama, C. Takahashi, M. Watanabe, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, and S. Maeda, 2018: Climate change increased the likelihood of the 2016 heat extremes in Asia. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, S97-S101.
2017
Ogura, T., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Yoshimori, T. Yokohata, J. D. Annan, J. C. Hargreaves, N. Ushigami, K. Hirota, Y. Someya, Y. Kamae, H. Tatebe, and M. Kimoto, 2017: Effectiveness and limitations of parameter tuning in reducing biases of top-of-atmosphere radiation and clouds in MIROC version 5. Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4647-4664.
Kamae, Y., W. Mei, and S.-P. Xie, 2017: Climatological relationship between warm season atmospheric rivers and heavy rainfall over East Asia. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 95, 411-431.
Kamae, Y., X. Li, S.-P. Xie, and H. Ueda, 2017: Atlantic effects on recent decadal trends in global monsoon. Clim. Dyn., 49, 3443-3455.
Kamae, Y., T. Kawana, M. Oshiro, and H. Ueda, 2017: Seasonal modulation of the Asian summer monsoon between the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age: a multi model study. Prog. Earth Planet. Sci., 4, 22.
Kamae, Y., W. Mei, S.-P. Xie, M. Naoi, and H. Ueda, 2017: Atmospheric rivers over the Northwestern Pacific: Climatology and interannual variability. J. Climate, 30, 5605-5619.
Mizuta, R., A. Murata, M. Ishii, H. Shiogama, K. Hibino, N. Mori, O. Arakawa, Y. Imada, K. Yoshida, T. Aoyagi, H. Kawase, M. Mori, Y. Okada, T. Shimura, T. Nagatomo, M. Ikeda, H. Endo, M. Nosaka, M. Arai, C. Takahashi, K. Tanaka, T. Takemi, Y. Tachikawa, K. Temur, Y. Kamae, M. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, A. Kitoh, I. Takayabu, E. Nakakita, and M. Kimoto, 2017: Over 5000 years of ensemble future climate simulations by 60km global and 20km regional atmospheric models. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1383-1398.
Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, M. Mori, O. Arakawa, R. Mizuta, K. Yoshida, C. Takahashi, M. Arai, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, S.-P. Xie, and H. Ueda, 2017: Forced response and internal variability of summer climate over western North America. Clim. Dyn., 49, 403-417.
2016
Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, T. Ogura, T. Yokohata, and M. Kimoto, 2016: Lower tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a multiparameter multiphysics ensemble. J. Climate, 29, 6259-6275.
Kamae, Y., K. Yoshida, and H. Ueda, 2016: Sensitivity of Pliocene climate simulations in MRI-CGCM2.3 to respective boundary conditions. Clim. Past, 12, 1619-1634.
Yoshimori, M., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, A. Oka, A. Abe-Ouchi, R. Ohgaito, and Y. Kamae, 2016: A review of progress towards understanding the transient global mean surface temperature response to radiative perturbation. Prog. Earth Planet. Sci., 3, 21.
Kamae, Y., T. Ogura, H. Shiogama, and M. Watanabe, 2016: Recent progress toward reducing the uncertainty in tropical low cloud feedback and climate sensitivity: a review. Geosci. Lett., 3, 17.
Kamae, Y., T. Ogura, M. Watanabe, S.-P. Xie, and H. Ueda, 2016: Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, 2593-2609.
Howell, F. W., A. M. Haywood, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, F. Bragg, W.-L. Chan, M. A. Chandler, C. Contoux, Y. Kamae, A. Abe-Ouchi, N. A. Rosenbloom, C. Stepanek, and Z. Zhang, 2016: Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble. Clim. Past, 12, 749-767.
2015
Ueda, H., Y. Kamae, M. Hayasaki, A. Kitoh, S. Watanabe, Y. Miki, and A. Kumai, 2015: Combined effects of recent Pacific cooling and Indian Ocean warming on the Asian monsoon. Nature Communications, 6, 8854.
Dal Gesso, S., J. J. van der Dussen, A. P. Siebesma, S. R. de Roode, I. A. Boutle, Y. Kamae, R. Roehrig, and J. Vial, 2015: A single-column model intercomparison on the stratocumulus representation in present-day and future climate. J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 7, 617-647.
釜江陽一, 2015: 二酸化炭素濃度上昇に対する速い気候応答 -2014年度山本賞受賞記念講演-. 天気, 62, 391-401.
Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, H. Ueda, and M. Kimoto, 2015: Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 2995-3003.
Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, T. Ogura, M. Yoshimori, and H. Shiogama, 2015: Rapid adjustments of cloud and hydrological cycle to increasing CO2: a review. Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 1, 103-113.
Dolan, A. M., S. J. Hunter, D. J. Hill, A. M. Haywood, S. J. Koenig, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, A. Abe-Ouchi, F. Bragg, W.-L. Chan, M. A. Chandler, C. Contoux, A. Jost, Y. Kamae, G. Lohmann, D. J. Lunt, G. Ramstein, N. A. Rosenbloom, L. Sohl, C. Stepanek, H. Ueda, Q. Yan, and Z. Zhang, 2015: Using results from the PlioMIP ensemble to investigate the Greenland Ice Sheet during the mid-Pliocene warm period. Clim. Past, 11, 403-424.
2014年以前の研究成果はこちらをご覧ください。