2015 Summer School

2015 Cide Summer School of Econometrics

Topic: "`Big Data' and High-Dimensional Econometric Models"

Organizer (on behalf of CIdE): Juri Marcucci

Speakers:

1. Victor Chernozhukov (MIT, Cambridge, USA) (link to webpage)

2. Christian B. Hansen (Chicago Booth, Chicago, USA) (link to webpage)

Dates: June 29 through July 3, 2015

Syllabus (Preliminary)

Venue: Bank of Italy Sadiba Center, Perugia, Italy

Course Description:

As in many other fields, economists are increasingly making use of high-dimensional models with many unknown parameters that need to be inferred from the data. Such models arise naturally in modern data sets that include rich information for each unit of observation (a type of “big data”) and in nonparametric applications where researchers wish to learn, rather than impose, functional forms. High-dimensional models provide a vehicle for modeling and analyzing complex phenomena and for incorporating rich sources of confounding information into economic models.

Our goal in this course is two-fold. First, we wish to provide an overview and introduction to several modern methods, largely coming from statistics and machine learning, which are useful for exploring high-dimensional data and for building prediction models in high-dimensional settings. Second, we will present recent proposals that adapt high-dimensional methods to the problem of doing valid inference about model parameters and illustrate applications of these proposals for doing inference about economically interesting parameters.

Outline:

1. Introduction to High-Dimensional Methods and Big Data

§ Regularization

§ Computation

2. Supervised Learning (Prediction Problems)

§ Cross-Validation

§ Regression

- Penalized estimation: Ridge, LASSO, Elastic Net, LAVA, adaptive LASSO, SCAD

- Regression Trees and Random Forests

- Bagging and Boosting

§ Classification

- Penalized estimation