Immigrants’ Returns Intentions and Labor Market Behavior When the Home Country is Unsafe with Teresa Freitas Monteiro
Forthcoming, Journal of Labor Economics. Working paper here.
Extreme Temperatures, Environmental Concerns and Green Voting with Roman Hoffmann, Raya Muttarak, Jonas Peisker, Piero Stanig
Forthcoming, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Tax Incentives and Return Migration with Giuseppe Ippedico
Conditionally accepted, Review of Economics and Statistics. Latest WP here.
Awards: 2024 IIPF Young Economist Award, 2024 Etta Chiuri Prize
Abstract
We study how tax incentives affect the return migration of high-skilled expatriates to their home country, exploiting a generous income tax break for returnees in Italy. Using administrative data and a Triple-Difference design, we estimate a migration elasticity to the average net-of-tax rate just below one. Responses are sizable across the upper half of the earnings distribution, indicating that tax-induced migration is not limited to top earners. A cost-benefit analysis reveals that, while costly in the short term, the scheme pays for itself in present value if a sufficiently large fraction of returnees remains after the scheme elapses.
Lifting Barriers to Skill Transferability: Immigrant Integration through Occupational Recognition with Silke Anger and Malte Sandner
R&R, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. Latest version here, IZA DP, CreAM/RFBerlin DP.
Abstract
Western countries face growing labor shortages, yet institutional barriers limit immigrants’ ability to transfer foreign-acquired skills. Using administrative and survey data from Germany and a difference-in-differences design, we show that removing these barriers for non-EU immigrants increased the share of recognized foreign qualifications by 15.3 percent. Employment and wages of non-EU immigrants rose by 6.3 and 7.6 percent, respectively, narrowing existing gaps with EU immigrants and natives. Employment gains were largest among immigrants experiencing greater occupational downgrading at arrival, consistent with improved skill transferability. Overall, easing access to occupational recognition constitutes an effective policy tool for enhancing immigrant economic integration.
Competitive School Grants and Student Achievement: Evidence from EU Cohesion Policy
with Francesco Filippucci and Marco Leonardi
Abstract
Competitive, project-based allocation mechanisms are a central feature of European Union public spending, governing the distribution of cohesion funds to regions, firms, and public institutions. We study how this allocation model performs when applied to schools by evaluating the impact of competitive school grants on student achievement. Between 2014 and 2020, roughly €3 billion of EU Structural Funds were allocated to Italian schools through calls that ranked applications and funded projects above a cutoff. Combining administrative data on standardized test scores with detailed information on funded projects, we exploit ranking thresholds using regression discontinuity and staggered difference-in-differences designs. Schools that marginally win grants for educational technology increase test scores, with larger effects for disadvantaged students. By contrast, grants for extra-curricular activities show no average school-level effects. At the student level, only participation in mathematics- or language-focused courses improves achievement, while non-focused activities yield no gains. Overall, cohesion resources raise performance when allocation mechanisms prioritize academically targeted investments.
Never too Early: Pathways to Immigrant Integration with Gordon Dahl, Helmut Rainer and Malte Sandner
Aggregate Shocks at Origin and the Formation of Immigrants' Preferences with Enrico Cavallotti and Teresa Freitas Monteiro
Firm Level Effects of Tax-Induced High-Skilled Migration with Giuseppe Ippedico and Giovanni Peri