See What the Crowd Believes
Compare prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Know where they agree β and where they don't.
HivePoly pulls live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi and shows them side by side.
See the probability each market assigns to the same event. Spot where they diverge.
Track the events you care about. Know which platform has the better track record.
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π― Compare Probabilities
Β Β Β Β See side-by-side odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for the same event.
Β Β Β Β Understand what the crowd currently believes about any outcome.
πΒ Spot Divergences
Β Β Β Β When two markets disagree on the same event, something interesting is happening.
Β Β Β Β HivePoly highlights the biggest gaps in real time β so you never miss them.
βΒ Platform Accuracy
Β Β Β Β Which platform has a better track record? HivePoly scores both on resolved events
Β Β Β Β across Politics, Crypto, Finance, Economy, and Geopolitics.
Β Β Β Β Use it to calibrate how much weight to give each market.
βΒ Watchlist
Β Β Β Β Save the events you care about. Revisit them instantly from one screen.
Β Β Β Β Premium users get unlimited items and iCloud sync across all their devices.
πΒ 6 Market Categories
Β Β Β Β Politics Β· Crypto Β· Finance Β· Economy Β· Geopolitics Β· Weather
Β Β Β Β Hundreds of live events updated continuously.
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π GET STARTED IN 3 STEPS
1οΈβ£Β DOWNLOAD
Β Β Β Β Get HivePoly free from the App Store.
2οΈβ£Β BROWSE
Β Β Β Β Explore live prediction markets. See real-time odds for Politics, Crypto,
Β Β Β Β Finance, Economy, Geopolitics, and more. No paywall β full access to the feed.
3οΈβ£Β SAVE & TRACK (OPTIONAL)
Β Β Β Β Save up to 5 events to your Watchlist for free.
Β Β Β Β Upgrade to Premium for unlimited saves and iCloud sync.
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π°Β SIMPLE PRICING
FREE
β Full access to the Hive Feed
β Browse all 6 market categories
β Side-by-side odds comparison
β Platform Accuracy β see which market calls it better
β Save up to 5 events to your Watchlist
β Free, forever
PREMIUM
β Everything in Free, plus:
β Unlimited Watchlist items
β Unlimited price alerts
β iCloud sync across iPhone, iPad, and Mac
β β¬3.99 / month
β β¬2.33 / month, billed annually (save 41%)
Cancel anytime. Managed through Apple β no account needed.
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π― FOR DATA-DRIVEN DECISION MAKERS
π‘Β See the consensus
Β Β Β Β Prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of thousands of traders.
Β Β Β Β HivePoly makes that consensus visible in seconds β no spreadsheet needed.
πΒ Spot anomalies
Β Β Β Β When Polymarket and Kalshi assign very different probabilities to the same event,
Β Β Β Β one market may be behind on new information. Find out instantly.
πΒ Track accuracy over time
Β Β Β Β Past performance isn't everything β but it's something.
Β Β Β Β Platform Accuracy shows you which market has called events correctly more often,
Β Β Β Β broken down by category and calibrated against resolved outcomes.
β‘Β Always fresh
Β Β Β Β Odds change constantly. HivePoly fetches the latest data on every visit
Β Β Β Β so you're never looking at stale numbers.
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β FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Q: Is this financial advice?
A: No. HivePoly is for informational purposes only.
Β Β Β Your decisions are your responsibility. See our Terms of Service.
Q: Who manages my subscription?
A: Apple. We don't handle payments directly. Subscribe through the app
Β Β Β and manage or cancel through iPhone Settings β Apple ID β Subscriptions.
Q: What data sources do you use?
A: Polymarket and Kalshi public APIs. Data is fetched on every app session.
Q: Can I sync across devices?
A: Yes β Premium subscribers sync their Watchlist across iPhone, iPad, and Mac via iCloud.
Q: What categories do you cover?
A: Politics, Crypto, Finance, Economy, Geopolitics, and Weather.
Q: How often is data updated?
A: Odds are fetched live and cached for up to 45 minutes.
Q: What is Platform Accuracy?
A: It's a tab inside the app that scores Polymarket and Kalshi on resolved events β
Β Β Β showing win rate and calibration by category. It's free for all users.
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HivePoly is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi.
Prediction market data is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
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