associate professor (ramón y cajal fellow) econ uc3m
investigador rednie
PhD in Economics, Duke University
aikido black belt, Shodan (初段)
macroeconomist
Damian Pierri and I organized the first, Buenos Aires Macro Workshop (BAMW), August 8th 2025.
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working papers
working papers
Stochastic Climate Damages: Business Cycle and Policy Responses, with Sofia Sanchez, April 2026
Expropriation risks over the business cycle, with Emir Yurdagul, December 2025, Reject and Resubmit, Review of Economic Studies (submitted)
Overborrowing and Instability under Default Risk, with Damian Pierri, December 2025
The green metamorphosis of a small open economy, with Florencia Airaudo and Evi Pappa, October 2025, Revise and Resubmit, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
The trend-cycle connection, with Florencia Airaudo, May 2025, Revise and Resubmit, Quantitative Economics
Policy switches in emerging economies, December 2024
An ergodic theory of sovereign default, with Damian Pierri, December 2025
Exchange rate controls and foreign reserves, with Gabriela Ertola Navajas and Alba Muñoz-Muñoz, September 2024 [blog]
Sovereign Risk, Firms' Investment and the Business Cycle, with Emir Yurdagul, June 2023
Firm dynamics, the trend and the cycle, January 2013
publications
publications
Perturbating and estimating DSGE models in Julia, with Alvaro Salazar-Perez, Computational Economics, june 2024 [codes]
Made in europe: monetary-fiscal policy mix with financial frictions, with P. Gomes, European Economic Review, april 2024, 104727.
Welfare gains of bailouts in a sovereign default model, with R. Pancrazi and M. Vukotic, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol 113, april 2020. 103867
Trend shocks and sudden stops, with E. Yurdagul, Journal of International Economics, vol 121, november 2019. 103252
Time-varying volatility, default and the sovereign risk premium, International Economic Review, vol 60 (1), february 2019, pp. 283-301[appendix]
Markups and the real effects of volatility shocks, International Economic Review, vol 58 (3), august 2017, pp. 807-828 [appendix]
The price of capital and the financial accelerator, with R. Pancrazi and M. Vukotic, Economics Letters, vol. 149, december 2016, pp. 86-89
Parameter drifts, misspecification and the real exchange rate in emerging countries, Journal of International Economics, vol. 98, january 2016, pp 204-215 [appendix]
Near unit root small open economies, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 53, april 2015, pp 37-46 [appendix]
Bayesian mixed frequency VARs, with C.W. Chiu, B. Eraker, A. Foerster and T.B. Kim, Journal of Financial Econometrics, vol. 13 (3), summer 2015, pp 698-721
policy reports, comments and other stuff
Argentina's stabilization plan 2024/2025 (2025)
comment on exchange rate controls (2024)
comment on dollarization (2023)
"Asia's corporate debt: assessing its role in financial vulnerability", in "Debt sustainability in Asia: Problems, Policies and Practices", Ed. by Ferrarini, Giugale and Pradelli (2022)
A model to think about crypto-assets and central bank digital currency (EconPol policy report, December 2021)
The sovereign-bank nexus: the role of debt and monetary policy (EconPol policy report, December 2020)
The real interest rate across monetary policy regimes (EconPol policy report, September 2020)
Comment on "From austerity to growth in Europe: some lessons from Latin America", by S. Griffith-Jones, IEA volume debt crises "how to prevent them, how to manage them, how to ensure there is life after debt" (eds. D. Heymann and J. Stiglitz, Palgrave 2014)
yo estoy al derecho, dado vuelta estás vos
sumo, 1987
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