Working Papers & Work in Progress

Immigration and Macroeconomic Outcomes in OECD Countries
with Mithali R. Mathur and Giovanni Peri
NBER Working paper no. 35523, 2026
Featured in Cato Institute Research Briefs in Economic Policy

Workplace Flexibility and the Motherhood Penalty: Evidence from the Diffusion of Remote Work
with Salvatore Lattanzio, Matteo Paradisi and Maria De Paola
CEPR Discussion paper no. 21486, 2026

Working from home and labour productivity: Firm-level evidence
with Davide Dottori and Sara Formai
Banca d'Italia Working Paper no. 1508, 2025

Workforce on the move: the asymmetric impact of job creation and job destruction
with Salvatore Lo Bello and Francesca Subioli
Latest draft (previous: Labor Market Dynamics and Geographical Reallocation, Banca d'Italia Working Paper no. 1430, 2023)

Short-time work, its replacement rate and labour mobility
with Emanuele Ciani, Francesco Manaresi and Lorenzo Pesaresi
Draft available upon request

Recovering delayed treatment effects with serially correlated shocks in panel data
with Doug Miller and Jessamyn Schaller
Draft coming soon!

Local labor markets adjustments to oil booms and busts
Link to most recent draft, 2017

The association between immigration and labor market outcomes in the United States
with Giovanni Peri
IZA working paper no. 9436, 2015
Data and codes here
Featured in Cato Institute Research Briefs in Economic Policy


Publications

​Migration flows and policies in Italy and in other European countries
with Elena Gentili, Salvatore Lattanzio and Giacomo Roma
Politica Economica - Journal of Economic Policy, 2026 (Banca d'Italia Occasional paper no. 923)

Quality and selection in regulated professions
with Eleonora Brandimarti, Michele Pellizzari, Giovanni Pica
Journal of Human Resources, 61(4), 2026 (CEPR Discussion paper no. 15674)

Worker flows and reallocation during the recovery
with Salvatore Lattanzio and Domenico Depalo
Labour economics, 83, 102399, 2023 (Banca d'Italia Occasional paper no. 704)

Emigration and Entrepreneurial Drain
with Massimo Anelli, Giuseppe Ippedico and Giovanni Peri
AEJ: Applied economics, 15(2), 218-52, 2023 (IZA working paper titled "Does emigration drain entrepreneurs? " and older NBER working paper no. 26055, Banca d'Italia working paper no. 1240 titled "Youth Drain, Entrepreneurship and Innovation")

Unsafe jobs, labour market risk and social protection
with Tito Boeri, Alessandro Caiumi and Marco Paccagnella
Economic Policy, 2022 (IZA and OECD working papers titled "New hazardous jobs and worker reallocation")
The data are available here

The (little) reallocation potential of workers most hit by the Covid-19 crisis
with Adele Grompone and Francesca Modena
Politica economica/Journal of Economic Policy, 2: 151-186, 2021 (Banca d'Italia Occasional Paper no. 597)

Italian workers at risk during the COVID-19 epidemic
with Teresa Barbieri and Sergio Scicchitano
Italian Economic Journal, 8: 175-195, 2021 (Banca d'Italia Occasional Paper no. 569, also as INAPP WP, SSRN and GLO)

Computerization and immigration: Theory and evidence from the United States
with Ahmed Rahman and Giovanni Peri
Canadian Journal of Economics 53(4): 1457-1494, 2020 (NBER working paper no. 23935 updated)
Featured on VoxEU
Winner of the 2020 CJE Johnson Prize

The evolution of the occupational structure in Italy, 2007–2017
Social Indicators Research, 152: 673–704, 2020 (Banca d'Italia Occasional Papers no. 478)

Internal mobility: The greater responsiveness of foreign-born to economic conditions
with Giovanni Peri
Journal of Economic Perspectives 34(3): 77-98, 2020

Immigrants, labor market dynamics and adjustment to shocks in the euro area
with Francesco D'Amuri and Giovanni Peri
IMF Economic Review, 67(3), 528-572, 2019 (NBER working paper no. 25091, Banca d'Italia working paper no. 1195)
Invited paper at IMF-Bank of Ireland conference "Euro at 20"
Featured on VoxEU and neodemos

Did California Paid Family Leave impact infant health?
with Ariel Pihl
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 38(1), 155-180, 2018


Book Contributions

​The Great Recession and its consequences for household incomes in 21 countries
with Stephen Jenkins, Andrea Brandolini, John Micklewright and Brian Nolan
in "The Great Recession and the Distribution of Household Income", in S. Jenkins, A. Brandolini, J. Micklewright, B. Nolan (eds). Oxford University Press, 2012 - link


Conference Proceedings, Policy Reports and Other Contributions

The Immigration Impact on Population, Labor Productivity, Investments and TFP in OECD Countries  
with Mithali R. Mathur and Giovanni Peri
Prepared for and presented at the 2026 ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra
Giovanni's presentation (with insightful discussion by Hillel Rapoport and among the crowd)

A forward-looking tracker of negotiated wages in the euro area
Lucyna Górnicka and Gerrit Koester (editors)
ECB Occasional paper no. 338, 2024

The employment activated by the National Recovery and Resilience Plan and its characteristics
with Luigi Guiso, Matteo Paradisi and Andrea Petrella
Banca d'Italia Occasional paper no. 747, 2023

The green transition and the Italian labour market
with Fabrizio Colonna, Domenico Depalo and Graziella Mendicino
Banca d'Italia Occasional paper no. 811, 2023

Digitalisation: Channels, impacts and implications for monetary policy in the euro area
Prepared for the ECB Strategy review
ECB Occasional paper no. 266, 2021

Working from home before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: firm-level evidence
with Sara Formai
Banca d'Italia COVID-19 Notes, 2021 (in Italian; please email me for the English version

Opportunity lost: The economic benefit of retaining foreign-born students in local economies
with Giovanni Peri and Sara McElmurry
Brief for the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, 2016

Paid Family Leave, job protection and low take-up among low-wage workers
with Ariel Pihl
Policy brief for the Center for Poverty Research at UC Davis, 2015
Featured on The Los Angeles Times

The effects of the recent economic crisis on social protection and labour market arrangements across socio-economic groups
with Matthias Dolls, Werner Eichhorst, Thomas Leoni and Andreas Peichl
Intereconomics, 47(4), 217-223, 2012 (IZA DP 6080)

​Family ties and access to licensed professions in Italy
with Michele Pellizzari, Paola Monti, Giovanna Labartino, Davide Malacrino and Andrea Catania
Report for Fondazione Rodolfo Debenedetti, 2011 (please email me for the most recent draft)

​The role of the social protection as economic stabiliser: Lessons from the current crisis
with Werner Eichhorst et al.
Policy Report for the European Parliament and IZA Research Report n. 31, 2010