The following list is updated whenever possible. For additional or more up-to-date information, please visit my Lattes CV. Less frequently updated are my ORCID profile. If you don't find the link to a paper (or a paper) you are looking for, please contact me (cyrino@puc-rio.br).
Embedded Files
Book
Book
Souza, R. C; Marcato, A. L. M. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Ferreira, P. G. C.; Dias, B. H.; Brandi, R. S.; Ramos, T. P. Planejamento da operação de sistemas hidrotérmicos no Brasil: Geração de Cenários e Otimização. 1. ed. Rio de Janeiro: PUC-Rio, 2014. v. 2000. 248p .
Unpublished (and) Working Papers
Unpublished (and) Working Papers
(available upon request)
Hierarchical time series forecast for a retailer’s Omnichannel
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Systematic Literature Network Analysis of Long-Term Electricity Forecasting
A hierarchical fuzzy inference system for forecasting oil well start-production date
Monopolistic Screening Game in Public-Private Partnerships
Nurse and Physician Scheduling – a state-of-the-art classification and review
Estimating Flood-related Human Leptospirosis Cases on Brazil Northern Region using a semi-parametric approach
Stock option pricing using stochastic volatility models in the Brazilian market
Analyzing the relation of electricity consumption profiles with the White Tariff in North & Northeast of Brazil
Predicting COVID-19 cases in Brazil through Hierarchical Forecasting Models
Accepted and Published Articles
Accepted and Published Articles
2025
Silva, T. E. B.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyino Oliveira, F. L.; Pereira, G. A. A. Enhancing Energy Planning with Copula-Based Dependency Models. Energy Reports. v. 14. 45-55. 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2025.05.028
Oliveira, L. F. A; Baiao, F. A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Peres, I. T. Determinants of Primary Healthcare Efficiency in the Brazilian Legal Amazon: A Hybrid Approach Using Data Envelopment Analysis and Tobit Regression. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. v. 101. 102257. 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2025.102257
Melo, G. A.; Maçaira, P. M; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Pereira, G. A. A. Impacts of Renewable Energy Plants Through the Lens of the Triple Bottom Line. Sustentabiliity. v. 17 (11), 4864. 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114864
Bechara Elabras da Motta Veiga, M., Kelab Sigaud, G., Luiz Cyrino Oliveira, F., & de Andrade Melo, G.. SOLAR ENERGY TIME SERIES ANALYSIS VIA MARKOV CHAINS. ENERLAC. Revista De energía De Latinoamérica Y El Caribe, 8(2). 2025. https://enerlac.olade.org/index.php/ENERLAC/article/view/340
Couto, R. A.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira. Forecasting Wind Speed Using Climate Variables. Forecasting. 7(1), 13. 2025.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast7010013
Iung, A. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Marcato, A. L. M.; Pereira, G. A. A. Evaluating the Potential of Copulas for Modeling Correlated Scenarios for Hydro, Wind, and Solar Energy. Forecasting. 7(1), 7. 2025This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers of Forecasting 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast7010007
Melo, G.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P.; Meira, E. Exploring Complementary Effects of Solar and Wind Power Generation. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. v. 209. 115139. 2025.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.115139
Vignon, Y. R.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Caiado, R. G. G.; Schery, C. A. D. Solar electrification in isolated Amazonian systems: barriers and mitigation strategies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. v. 208. 115072. 2025.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.115072
2024
Araujo, M.A.d.S.G.; Aguilar, S.; Souza, R.C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F.L. Global Horizontal Irradiance in Brazil: A Comparative Study of Reanalysis Datasets with Ground-Based Data. Energies, 17(20), 5063, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205063
Ferreira, S. C. A; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P. M. Joint modeling of wind speed and power via a nonparametric approach. Energies. 17(14), 3573, 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17143573
Melo, G.; Silva, T.; Ribeiro, R.; Couto, R.; Gusmao, B.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P.; Fanzeres, B,; Souza, R. C.; Bet. Olavo. Renewable Energy Sources Spatio-Temporal Scenarios Simulation under Influence of Climatic Phenomena. Electrical Power Systems Research. v. 235, p.110725. 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2024.110725
Villar, J.; Maddalena, L.; Camargo, T. A.; Maçaira, P. M.; Baiao, F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A Statistical Analysis of COVID-19 Mortality Dynamics: Unraveling the Interplay between Vaccination Trends, Socioeconomic Factors, and Government Interventions in Brazilian States. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 92, p. 101855, 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101855
2023
Bravo, R. Z. B.; Cunha, A. P. M. A.; Leiras, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. DRAI - A Risk-based Drought Monitoring and Alerting System in Brazil. Natural Hazards. 117, p. 113-142. 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05852-y
Meira, E.; Lila, M. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A novel reconciliation approach for hierarchical electricity consumption forecasting based on resistant regression. Energy. v. 269, 126794, 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.126794
Iung, A. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. Marcato. A. L. M. A review on modeling variable renewable energy: complementarity and spatial-temporal dependence. Energies. 16(3), 1013, 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031013
Duca, V. E. A.; Fonseca, T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. An overview of non-Gaussian state-space models for wind speed data. Energy. v. 266, 126436, 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126436
2022
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Bozza, F. A.; Salluh, J. I. F. Data-driven methodology to predict the ICU length of stay: a multicenter study of 99,492 admissions in 109 Brazilian units. Anaesthesia Critical Care & Pain Medicine. v. 41 (6). p. 101142. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accpm.2022.101142
Ferreira, S. C. A; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P. M. Validation of the representativeness of wind speed time series obtained from reanalysis data for Brazilian territory. v. 258. p. 124746. Energy. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124746
Fotios Petropoulos and Daniele Apiletti and Vassilios Assimakopoulos and Mohamed Zied Babai and Devon K. Barrow and Souhaib Ben Taieb and Christoph Bergmeir and Ricardo J. Bessa and Jakub Bijak and John E. Boylan and Jethro Browell and Claudio Carnevale and Jennifer L. Castle and Pasquale Cirillo and Michael P. Clements and Clara Cordeiro and Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira and Shari De Baets and Alexander Dokumentov and Joanne Ellison and Piotr Fiszeder and Philip Hans Franses and David T. Frazier and Michael Gilliland and M. Sinan Gönül and Paul Goodwin and Luigi Grossi and Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Mariangela Guidolin and Massimo Guidolin and Ulrich Gunter and Xiaojia Guo and Renato Guseo and Nigel Harvey and David F. Hendry and Ross Hollyman and Tim Januschowski and Jooyoung Jeon and Victor Richmond R. Jose and Yanfei Kang and Anne B. Koehler and Stephan Kolassa and Nikolaos Kourentzes and Sonia Leva and Feng Li and Konstantia Litsiou and Spyros Makridakis and Gael M. Martin and Andrew B. Martinez and Sheik Meeran and Theodore Modis and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Dilek Önkal and Alessia Paccagnini and Anastasios Panagiotelis and Ioannis Panapakidis and Jose M. Pavía and Manuela Pedio and Diego J. Pedregal and Pierre Pinson and Patrícia Ramos and David E. Rapach and J. James Reade and Bahman Rostami-Tabar and Michał Rubaszek and Georgios Sermpinis and Han Lin Shang and Evangelos Spiliotis and Aris A. Syntetos and Priyanga Dilini Talagala and Thiyanga S. Talagala and Len Tashman and Dimitrios Thomakos and Thordis Thorarinsdottir and Ezio Todini and Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas and Xiaoqian Wang and Robert L. Winkler and Alisa Yusupova and Florian Ziel. Forecasting: theory and practice. International Journal of Forecasting. v. 38 (3). p. 707-871. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001Also: https://forecasting-encyclopedia.com/
Lila, M. F.; Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Forecasting unemployment in Brazil: A robust reconciliation approach using hierarchical data. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 82, Part B, p. 101298, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2022.101298
Queiroz, E. R. C.; Alves, K.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Aguiar, E. P. Variable Step-Size evolving Participatory Learning with Kernel Recursive Least Square applied to Gas Prices Forecasting in Brazil. Evolving Systems. v. 13, p/ 297-307, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-021-09388-z
Rocha, M. V. G.; Alves, K. S. T. R.; Queiroz, E. R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Hell, M. B.; Aguiar, E. P. Power Transformers Thermal Modeling Based on the Modified Set-Membership evolving Multivariable Gaussian and Variable Step-Size evolving Multivariable Gaussian. Journal of Control, Automation and Electrical Systems. 33, p.1044–1055, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40313-021-00865-z
Oliveira, P. S.; Oliveira, M. T. B; Oliveira, E.; Conceição, L. R.; Junqueira, G. S.; Marcato, A. L. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Performance Evaluation of Hydro Generating Units Through the AHP Method. Journal of Control, Automation and Electrical Systems. 33, p.1056–1065, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40313-021-00839-1
Duca, V. E. A.; Fonseca, T. Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. Joint modelling wind speed and power via Bayesian Dynamical models. Energy. v. 247, 123431, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123431
Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; De Menezes, L. Forecasting natural gas consumption using Bagging and modified regularization techniques. Energy Economics. v. 106, 105760. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105760
2021
Valle dos Santos, R. O.; Araujo, C. F.; Accioly, R. M. S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Horizon-optimized weights for forecast combination with cross-learning. Pesquisa Operacional. 41: e245564 p.1-27. 2021DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2021.041.00245564
Bravo, R. Z. B.; Cunha, A. P. M. A.; Leiras, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A new approach for a Drought Composite Index. Natural Hazards. 108(1), pp. 755–773. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04704-x
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Klötzle, M. C. Pinto, A. C. F. Dynamic Associations Between GDP and Crude Oil Prices in Brazil: Structural Shifts and Nonlinear Causality. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 57(10), pp. 2767–2791. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2019.1658072
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher. S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Bozza, F. A; Salluh, J.; Prediction of ICU Length of Stay: A concise review. Revista Brasileira de Terapia Intensiva. 33(2), p. 183-187. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.5935/0103-507X.20210025
Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; De Menezes, L. Point and interval forecasting of electricity supply via pruned ensembles. Energy (invited paper). v. 232 (1), p. 121009. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121009
Bastos, B. Q.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Milidiu, R. U-Convolutional Model for Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting. v. 37 (2), p. 949-970. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.10.007
Bastos, B. Q.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Milidiu, R. ComPonentNet: Processing U- and V-components for Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting. Electrical Power Systems Research. v. 192, p. 106922. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106922
Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Jeon, J. Treating and Pruning: new approaches to forecasting model selection and combination using prediction intervals. International Journal of Forecasting. v. 37 (2), p. 547-568. 2021. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.07.005
Rocha, M. V. G.; Hell, M. B.; Alves. K; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Aguiar, E. P. Power Transformers Thermal Modeling using an Enhanced Set-Membership Multivariable Gaussian Evolving Fuzzy System. Electric Power Systems Research. v. 194, p. 107088. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2021.107088
Villarinho, P. A.; Panadero, J.; Pessôa, L. S.; Juan, A. A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A Simheuristic Algorithm for the Stochastic Permutation Flow-Shop Problem with Delivery Dates and Cumulative Payoffs. International Transactions in Operational Research, v. 28 (2), p. 716-737. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/itor.12862
Duca, V. E. A.; Fonseca, T. Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. A Generalized Dynamical Model for Wind Speed Forecasting. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. v. 1362021, p. 110421. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110421
2020
Sass, C. A. B; Pimentel, T. C.; Aleixo, M. G. B.; Dantas, T. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Freitas, M. Q.; Cruz, A. G.; Esmerino, E. A. Exploring social media data to understand consumers’ perception of eggs: A multilingual study using Twitter®. Journal of Sensory Studies, v. 35, e12607, 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joss.12607
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Thomé, A. M. T.; Bozza, F. A. What factors predict length of stay in the Intensive Care Unit? Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Journal of Critical Care, 60, p. 183-194. 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrc.2020.08.003
Maçaira, P. M.; Elsland, R.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Souza, R. ; Fernandes, G. Forecasting residential electricity consumption: A bottom-up approach for Brazil by region. Energy Efficiency, 13, p. 911–934. 2020DOI: http://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-020-09860-w
Alves. K.; Hell, M. B.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Aguiar, E. P. An Enhanced Set-Membership Evolving Participatory Learning With Kernel Recursive Least Squares Applied to Thermal Modeling of Power Transformers. Electric Power Systems Research, 184, p. 106334, 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106334
Cunha, F. A. F. S.; De Oliveira, E. M.; Orsato, R. J.; Klötzle, M. C. Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Caiado, R. Can sustainable investments outperform traditional benchmarks? Evidence from global stock markets. Business Strategy and the Environment. v. 29 (2), p. 682-697. 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.2397
Soares, E. K. B.; Silva, R.; Silva, W. P.; Kuryia, S. P.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Silva, M. A. A. P.; Pimentel, T. C.; Freitas, M. Q.; Cruz, A. G.; Esmerino, E. A. An intra-cultural investigation in Brazil using Coalho cheese and Preferred Attribute Elicitation. Journal of Sensory Studies, v. 35 (1), e12543. 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joss.12543
2019
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Barbosa, S. D. J.; Viegas, F. Simulation of Appointment Scheduling Policies: a Study in a Bariatric Clinic. Obesity Surgery, v. 29 (9), p. 2824–2830. 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11695-019-03898-1
Costa, L.; Blank, F. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Conditional Pricing Model with Heteroscedasticity: Evaluation of Brazilian Funds. RAE-Revista de Administração de Empresas, v. 59 (4). 2019. DOI: : http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0034-759020190402
Cornejo Sarmiento, M. G.; Epprecht, E. K.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Rodrigues Junior, A. T. S.; Canchumuni, S. W. A. The use of simulation to model the dispatch of inbound containers in port terminals. Pesquisa Operacional, v. 39 (1), p. 155-175. 2019. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2019.039.01.0155
Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrillo, Y. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. Including wind power generation in Brazil’s long-term optimization model for energy planning. Energies, v. 12 (5), 826, p. 1-20, 2019. (This article belongs to the Special Issue Optimisation Models and Methods in Energy Systems)DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en12050826
Aguillar, S.; Esteves, G. R. T.; Maçaira, P. M.; Bastos, B. Q.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. Wind Power Generation: A Review and Research Agenda. Journal of Cleaner Production, v. 218, p. 850-870, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.015
Duca, V. E.; Souza, R.C.; Ferreira, P. G. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Simulation of time series using periodic gamma autoregressive models. International Transactions in Operational Research, v. 26, p. 1315-1338. 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/itor.12593
Bravo, R. Z. B.; Leiras, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. The use of UAVs in humanitarian relief: an application of POMDP-based methodology for finding victims. Production and Operations Management, v. 28 (2), p. 421-440, 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.12930
Mareth, T.; Scavarda, L. F.; Thome, A. M. T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Wickstrom, T. A. Analysing the determinants of technical efficiency of dairy farms in Brazil. The International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, v. 68 (2), p. 464-481, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-06-2018-0234
Dantas , L. F.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Barbosa, S. D. J.; Viegas, F. Predicting Patient No-show Behavior: a Study in a Bariatric Clinic. Obesity Surgery, v. 29 (1), p. 40-47, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11695-018-3480-9
Silva, F. L .C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. A bottom-up Bayesian extension for long term electricity consumption forecasting. Energy, v. 167, p. 198-210, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.201
Huang, X.; Maçaira, P. M.; Hassani, H. Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Dhesi, G. Hydrological Natural Inflow and Climate Variables: Time and Frequency Causality Analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, v. 516, p. 480-495, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2018.09.079
2018
Russo, J. C.; Dias, M. A.; Barreira da Silva Rocha, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Renegotiation in Public-Private Partnerships: An Incentive Mechanism Approach. Group Decision and Negotiation, v. 27 (6), p. 949-979, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10726-018-9586-6
Dantas, L.; Fleck, J. L.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Hamacher, S. No-shows in Appointment Scheduling - a Systematic Literature Review. Health Policy, v. 122, p. 412-421, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2018.02.002
Pinto, L. P. F.; Silva, H. L. A.; Kurya, S. P.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Cruz, A. G.; Esmerino, E. A.; Freitas, M. Q. Understanding perceptions and beliefs about different types of fermented milks through the application of projective techniques: A case study using Haire's shopping list and free word association. Journal of Sensory Studies, v. 33, p. e12326, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joss.12326
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.. Forecasting mid-long term electric energy consumption through bagging ARIMA and exponential smoothing methods. Energy, v. 144, p. 776-788, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.049
Silva, F. L .C.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Lourenço, P. M.; Calili, R. F. A bottom-up methodology for long term electricity consumption forecasting of an industrial sector - Application to pulp and paper sector in Brazil. Energy, v. 144, p. 1107-1118, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.078
Dantas, T. M. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Improving time series forecasting: An approach combining bootstrap aggregation, clusters and exponential smoothing. International Journal of Forecasting, v. 34, p. 748-761, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.05.006
Maçaira, P. M.; Tavares Thome, A. M; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Carvalho Ferrer, A. L. Time series analysis with explanatory variables: A systematic literature review. Environmental Modelling & Software, v. 107, p. 199-209, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.06.004
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Padrões de Variabilidade em Vazões Afluentes a Usinas Hidrelétricas e Associações com Massas de Ar. Cadernos do IME. Série Estatística, v. 43, p. 18-38, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.12957/cadest.2017.31363
2017
Mareth, T.; Thome, A. M. T.; Scavarda, L. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Technical efficiency in dairy farms. The International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, v. 66, p. 380-404, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-09-2015-0131
Thome, A. M. T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Silva, D. L. Framework de Value Stream Mapping a partir de uma Revisão Sistemática da Literatura. Produto e Produção, v. 17, p. 19-40, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.22456/1983-8026.67249
Dantas, T. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Repolho, H. M. V. Air Transportation Demand Forecast through Bagging Holt Winters methods. Journal of Air Transport Management, v. 59, p. 116-123, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.12.006
Russo, J. C.; Samanez, C. P.; Dias, M. A. G.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Concessão do Complexo Maracanã: Análise do Comportamento Oportunista por meio da Teoria dos Jogos. Espacios (CARACAS), v. 38, p. 28, 2017.DOI: not available.
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cunha, F. A. F. S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Samanez, C. P.. Dynamic relationships between crude oil prices and socially responsible investing in Brazil: evidence for linear and non-linear causality. Applied Economics (Print), v. 49, p. 2125-2140, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234695
Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Ferreira, P. G. C.; Almeida, F. V. N.; Souza, R. C. Introducing a causal PAR(p) model to evaluate the influence of climate variables in reservoir inflows: a Brazilian case. Pesquisa Operacional (Impresso), v. 37, p. 107-128, 2017.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2017.037.01.0107
Condeixa, L. D.; Bastos, L. S. L.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Barbosa, S. D. J. Wind speed time series analysis using TBATS decomposition and moving blocks bootstrap. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, v. 05, p. 1750010, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2335680417500107
Aguilar Vargas, S.; Castro Souza, R.; Pessanha, J. F. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Hybrid methodology for modeling short-term wind power generation using conditional Kernel density estimation and singular spectrum analysis. DYNA (MEDELLÍN), v. 84, p. 145-154, 2017.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15446/dyna.v84n201.59541
2016
Mareth, T.; Thome, A. M. T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Scavarda, L. F . Systematic review and meta-regression analysis of technical efficiency in dairy farms. The International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, v. 65, p. 279-301, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-02-2015-0027
Calili, R. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. ; Souza, R. C; Araújo, T. G.; Ferreira, P. G. C . Proposta de um método empírico de ajuste de séries temporais influenciadas pelos ofensores calendário e temperatura. Gestão & Produção, v. 23, p. 787-797, 2016.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0104-530x-1868-15
Esteves, G. R.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Antunes, C. H.; Souza, R. C. An overview of electricity prepayment experiences and the Brazilian new regulatory framework. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, v. 54, p. 704-722, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.10.002
Torrini, F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C; Pessanha, J. F. M. Long term electricity consumption forecast in Brazil: A fuzzy logic approach. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, p. 18-27, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2015.12.002
Maçaira, P. M. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Another look at SSA.Boot forecast accuracy. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, v. 04, p. 1650008, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2335680416500083
Maçaira, P. M.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Forecasting Brazil's electricity consumption with Pegels Exponential Smoothing Techniques. Revista IEEE América Latina, v. 14, p. 1252-1258, 2016.DOI: 10.1109/TLA.2016.7459606
2015
Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R.C. ; Marcato, A. L. M. . A time series model for building scenarios trees applied to stochastic optimisation. International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, v. 67, p. 315-323, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2014.11.031
Marcato, A. L. M.; Castro, C. M. B.; Souza, R. C.; Silva Júnior, I. C. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Ramos, T. P. The generation of synthetic inflows via bootstrap to increase the energy efficiency of long-term hydrothermal dispatches. Electric Power Systems Research (Print), v. 124, p. 33-46, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2015.02.014
Ferreira, P. G. C.; Cyrino Oliveira; F. L.; Souza, R. C. The stochastic effects on the Brazilian Electrical Sector. Energy Economics, v. 49, p. 328-335, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.004
Maçaira, P. M; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L; Souza, R. C. Forecasting natural inflow energy series with multi-channel singular spectrum analysis and bootstrap techniques. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, v. 03, p. 1550005, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2335680415500052
Pessanha, J. F. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. Teaching Statistical Methods in Engineering Courses Through Wind Power Data. Revista de Ensino de Engenharia, v. 34, p. 85-92, 2015.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15552/2236-0158/abenge.v34n1p85-92
Maçaira, P. M.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Modelling and Forecasting the Residential Electricity Consumption in Brazil with Pegels Exponential Smoothing Techniques. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 328-335, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.057
Esteves, G. R. T.; Bastos, B. Q; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Calili, R. F.; Souza. R. C. Long Term Electricity Forecast: A Systematic Review. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 549-558, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.041
Silva, F. L. C.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Lourenço, P. M.; Fagundes, W. C. Forecast of Long-term Electricity Consumption of the Industrial Sub-sector of Pulp and Paper in Brazil Using a Bottom-up Approach. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 514-522, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.028
Bastos, B. Q.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Bottom-up Long-term Forecasting of Brazilian Commercial Class Electricity Consumption: First Results. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 388-394, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.088
2014
Oliveira, F. L. C.; Ferreira, P. G.; Souza, R. C. A Parsimonious Bootstrap Method to Model Natural Inflow Energy Series. Mathematical Problems in Engineering (Print), v. 2014, p. 1-10, 2014.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/158689
2013
Souza, R. C.; Pessanha, J. F. M.; Oliveira, F. L. C. A residential consumer payment capability index based on fuzzy logic inference. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, v. 25, p. 649-657, 2013.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/IFS-120672
Oliveira, F. C.; Ferreira, V. C. P. ; Costa, D. V. F. ; Oliveira, F. L. C. A Percepção dos Servidores sobre a Avaliação de Desempenho no Setor Público. Conhecimento Interativo, v. 7, p. 61-80, 2013.DOI: not available.
2012
Souza, R. C.; Marcato, A. L, M.; Dias, B. H.; Oliveira, F. L. C. Optimal Operation of Hydrothermal Systems with Hydrological Scenario Generation through Bootstrap and Periodic Autoregressive Models. European Journal of Operational Research, v. 222, p. 606-615, 2012.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.05.020
2011
OLIVEIRA, F. L. C.; Souza, R. C. A new approach to identify the structural order of par (p) models. Pesquisa Operacional, v. 31, p. 487-498, 2011.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0101-74382011000300005
Silva, T. E. B.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyino Oliveira, F. L.; Pereira, G. A. A. Enhancing Energy Planning with Copula-Based Dependency Models. Energy Reports. v. 14. 45-55. 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2025.05.028
Oliveira, L. F. A; Baiao, F. A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Peres, I. T. Determinants of Primary Healthcare Efficiency in the Brazilian Legal Amazon: A Hybrid Approach Using Data Envelopment Analysis and Tobit Regression. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. v. 101. 102257. 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2025.102257
Melo, G. A.; Maçaira, P. M; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Pereira, G. A. A. Impacts of Renewable Energy Plants Through the Lens of the Triple Bottom Line. Sustentabiliity. v. 17 (11), 4864. 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114864
Bechara Elabras da Motta Veiga, M., Kelab Sigaud, G., Luiz Cyrino Oliveira, F., & de Andrade Melo, G.. SOLAR ENERGY TIME SERIES ANALYSIS VIA MARKOV CHAINS. ENERLAC. Revista De energía De Latinoamérica Y El Caribe, 8(2). 2025. https://enerlac.olade.org/index.php/ENERLAC/article/view/340
Couto, R. A.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira. Forecasting Wind Speed Using Climate Variables. Forecasting. 7(1), 13. 2025.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast7010013
Iung, A. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Marcato, A. L. M.; Pereira, G. A. A. Evaluating the Potential of Copulas for Modeling Correlated Scenarios for Hydro, Wind, and Solar Energy. Forecasting. 7(1), 7. 2025This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers of Forecasting 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast7010007
Melo, G.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P.; Meira, E. Exploring Complementary Effects of Solar and Wind Power Generation. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. v. 209. 115139. 2025.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.115139
Vignon, Y. R.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Caiado, R. G. G.; Schery, C. A. D. Solar electrification in isolated Amazonian systems: barriers and mitigation strategies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. v. 208. 115072. 2025.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.115072
2024
Araujo, M.A.d.S.G.; Aguilar, S.; Souza, R.C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F.L. Global Horizontal Irradiance in Brazil: A Comparative Study of Reanalysis Datasets with Ground-Based Data. Energies, 17(20), 5063, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205063
Ferreira, S. C. A; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P. M. Joint modeling of wind speed and power via a nonparametric approach. Energies. 17(14), 3573, 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17143573
Melo, G.; Silva, T.; Ribeiro, R.; Couto, R.; Gusmao, B.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P.; Fanzeres, B,; Souza, R. C.; Bet. Olavo. Renewable Energy Sources Spatio-Temporal Scenarios Simulation under Influence of Climatic Phenomena. Electrical Power Systems Research. v. 235, p.110725. 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2024.110725
Villar, J.; Maddalena, L.; Camargo, T. A.; Maçaira, P. M.; Baiao, F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A Statistical Analysis of COVID-19 Mortality Dynamics: Unraveling the Interplay between Vaccination Trends, Socioeconomic Factors, and Government Interventions in Brazilian States. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 92, p. 101855, 2024.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101855
2023
Bravo, R. Z. B.; Cunha, A. P. M. A.; Leiras, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. DRAI - A Risk-based Drought Monitoring and Alerting System in Brazil. Natural Hazards. 117, p. 113-142. 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05852-y
Meira, E.; Lila, M. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A novel reconciliation approach for hierarchical electricity consumption forecasting based on resistant regression. Energy. v. 269, 126794, 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.126794
Iung, A. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. Marcato. A. L. M. A review on modeling variable renewable energy: complementarity and spatial-temporal dependence. Energies. 16(3), 1013, 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en16031013
Duca, V. E. A.; Fonseca, T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. An overview of non-Gaussian state-space models for wind speed data. Energy. v. 266, 126436, 2023.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126436
2022
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Bozza, F. A.; Salluh, J. I. F. Data-driven methodology to predict the ICU length of stay: a multicenter study of 99,492 admissions in 109 Brazilian units. Anaesthesia Critical Care & Pain Medicine. v. 41 (6). p. 101142. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accpm.2022.101142
Ferreira, S. C. A; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Maçaira, P. M. Validation of the representativeness of wind speed time series obtained from reanalysis data for Brazilian territory. v. 258. p. 124746. Energy. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124746
Fotios Petropoulos and Daniele Apiletti and Vassilios Assimakopoulos and Mohamed Zied Babai and Devon K. Barrow and Souhaib Ben Taieb and Christoph Bergmeir and Ricardo J. Bessa and Jakub Bijak and John E. Boylan and Jethro Browell and Claudio Carnevale and Jennifer L. Castle and Pasquale Cirillo and Michael P. Clements and Clara Cordeiro and Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira and Shari De Baets and Alexander Dokumentov and Joanne Ellison and Piotr Fiszeder and Philip Hans Franses and David T. Frazier and Michael Gilliland and M. Sinan Gönül and Paul Goodwin and Luigi Grossi and Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Mariangela Guidolin and Massimo Guidolin and Ulrich Gunter and Xiaojia Guo and Renato Guseo and Nigel Harvey and David F. Hendry and Ross Hollyman and Tim Januschowski and Jooyoung Jeon and Victor Richmond R. Jose and Yanfei Kang and Anne B. Koehler and Stephan Kolassa and Nikolaos Kourentzes and Sonia Leva and Feng Li and Konstantia Litsiou and Spyros Makridakis and Gael M. Martin and Andrew B. Martinez and Sheik Meeran and Theodore Modis and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Dilek Önkal and Alessia Paccagnini and Anastasios Panagiotelis and Ioannis Panapakidis and Jose M. Pavía and Manuela Pedio and Diego J. Pedregal and Pierre Pinson and Patrícia Ramos and David E. Rapach and J. James Reade and Bahman Rostami-Tabar and Michał Rubaszek and Georgios Sermpinis and Han Lin Shang and Evangelos Spiliotis and Aris A. Syntetos and Priyanga Dilini Talagala and Thiyanga S. Talagala and Len Tashman and Dimitrios Thomakos and Thordis Thorarinsdottir and Ezio Todini and Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas and Xiaoqian Wang and Robert L. Winkler and Alisa Yusupova and Florian Ziel. Forecasting: theory and practice. International Journal of Forecasting. v. 38 (3). p. 707-871. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001Also: https://forecasting-encyclopedia.com/
Lila, M. F.; Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Forecasting unemployment in Brazil: A robust reconciliation approach using hierarchical data. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 82, Part B, p. 101298, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2022.101298
Queiroz, E. R. C.; Alves, K.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Aguiar, E. P. Variable Step-Size evolving Participatory Learning with Kernel Recursive Least Square applied to Gas Prices Forecasting in Brazil. Evolving Systems. v. 13, p/ 297-307, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-021-09388-z
Rocha, M. V. G.; Alves, K. S. T. R.; Queiroz, E. R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Hell, M. B.; Aguiar, E. P. Power Transformers Thermal Modeling Based on the Modified Set-Membership evolving Multivariable Gaussian and Variable Step-Size evolving Multivariable Gaussian. Journal of Control, Automation and Electrical Systems. 33, p.1044–1055, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40313-021-00865-z
Oliveira, P. S.; Oliveira, M. T. B; Oliveira, E.; Conceição, L. R.; Junqueira, G. S.; Marcato, A. L. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Performance Evaluation of Hydro Generating Units Through the AHP Method. Journal of Control, Automation and Electrical Systems. 33, p.1056–1065, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40313-021-00839-1
Duca, V. E. A.; Fonseca, T. Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. Joint modelling wind speed and power via Bayesian Dynamical models. Energy. v. 247, 123431, 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123431
Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; De Menezes, L. Forecasting natural gas consumption using Bagging and modified regularization techniques. Energy Economics. v. 106, 105760. 2022.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105760
2021
Valle dos Santos, R. O.; Araujo, C. F.; Accioly, R. M. S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Horizon-optimized weights for forecast combination with cross-learning. Pesquisa Operacional. 41: e245564 p.1-27. 2021DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2021.041.00245564
Bravo, R. Z. B.; Cunha, A. P. M. A.; Leiras, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A new approach for a Drought Composite Index. Natural Hazards. 108(1), pp. 755–773. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04704-x
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Klötzle, M. C. Pinto, A. C. F. Dynamic Associations Between GDP and Crude Oil Prices in Brazil: Structural Shifts and Nonlinear Causality. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 57(10), pp. 2767–2791. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2019.1658072
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher. S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Bozza, F. A; Salluh, J.; Prediction of ICU Length of Stay: A concise review. Revista Brasileira de Terapia Intensiva. 33(2), p. 183-187. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.5935/0103-507X.20210025
Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; De Menezes, L. Point and interval forecasting of electricity supply via pruned ensembles. Energy (invited paper). v. 232 (1), p. 121009. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121009
Bastos, B. Q.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Milidiu, R. U-Convolutional Model for Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting. v. 37 (2), p. 949-970. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.10.007
Bastos, B. Q.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Milidiu, R. ComPonentNet: Processing U- and V-components for Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting. Electrical Power Systems Research. v. 192, p. 106922. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106922
Meira, E.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Jeon, J. Treating and Pruning: new approaches to forecasting model selection and combination using prediction intervals. International Journal of Forecasting. v. 37 (2), p. 547-568. 2021. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.07.005
Rocha, M. V. G.; Hell, M. B.; Alves. K; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Aguiar, E. P. Power Transformers Thermal Modeling using an Enhanced Set-Membership Multivariable Gaussian Evolving Fuzzy System. Electric Power Systems Research. v. 194, p. 107088. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2021.107088
Villarinho, P. A.; Panadero, J.; Pessôa, L. S.; Juan, A. A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. A Simheuristic Algorithm for the Stochastic Permutation Flow-Shop Problem with Delivery Dates and Cumulative Payoffs. International Transactions in Operational Research, v. 28 (2), p. 716-737. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/itor.12862
Duca, V. E. A.; Fonseca, T. Cyrino Oliveira, F. C. A Generalized Dynamical Model for Wind Speed Forecasting. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. v. 1362021, p. 110421. 2021.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110421
2020
Sass, C. A. B; Pimentel, T. C.; Aleixo, M. G. B.; Dantas, T. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Freitas, M. Q.; Cruz, A. G.; Esmerino, E. A. Exploring social media data to understand consumers’ perception of eggs: A multilingual study using Twitter®. Journal of Sensory Studies, v. 35, e12607, 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joss.12607
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Thomé, A. M. T.; Bozza, F. A. What factors predict length of stay in the Intensive Care Unit? Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Journal of Critical Care, 60, p. 183-194. 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrc.2020.08.003
Maçaira, P. M.; Elsland, R.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Souza, R. ; Fernandes, G. Forecasting residential electricity consumption: A bottom-up approach for Brazil by region. Energy Efficiency, 13, p. 911–934. 2020DOI: http://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-020-09860-w
Alves. K.; Hell, M. B.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Aguiar, E. P. An Enhanced Set-Membership Evolving Participatory Learning With Kernel Recursive Least Squares Applied to Thermal Modeling of Power Transformers. Electric Power Systems Research, 184, p. 106334, 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106334
Cunha, F. A. F. S.; De Oliveira, E. M.; Orsato, R. J.; Klötzle, M. C. Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Caiado, R. Can sustainable investments outperform traditional benchmarks? Evidence from global stock markets. Business Strategy and the Environment. v. 29 (2), p. 682-697. 2020.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.2397
Soares, E. K. B.; Silva, R.; Silva, W. P.; Kuryia, S. P.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Silva, M. A. A. P.; Pimentel, T. C.; Freitas, M. Q.; Cruz, A. G.; Esmerino, E. A. An intra-cultural investigation in Brazil using Coalho cheese and Preferred Attribute Elicitation. Journal of Sensory Studies, v. 35 (1), e12543. 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joss.12543
2019
Peres, I. T.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Barbosa, S. D. J.; Viegas, F. Simulation of Appointment Scheduling Policies: a Study in a Bariatric Clinic. Obesity Surgery, v. 29 (9), p. 2824–2830. 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11695-019-03898-1
Costa, L.; Blank, F. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Conditional Pricing Model with Heteroscedasticity: Evaluation of Brazilian Funds. RAE-Revista de Administração de Empresas, v. 59 (4). 2019. DOI: : http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0034-759020190402
Cornejo Sarmiento, M. G.; Epprecht, E. K.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Rodrigues Junior, A. T. S.; Canchumuni, S. W. A. The use of simulation to model the dispatch of inbound containers in port terminals. Pesquisa Operacional, v. 39 (1), p. 155-175. 2019. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2019.039.01.0155
Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrillo, Y. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. Including wind power generation in Brazil’s long-term optimization model for energy planning. Energies, v. 12 (5), 826, p. 1-20, 2019. (This article belongs to the Special Issue Optimisation Models and Methods in Energy Systems)DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en12050826
Aguillar, S.; Esteves, G. R. T.; Maçaira, P. M.; Bastos, B. Q.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. Wind Power Generation: A Review and Research Agenda. Journal of Cleaner Production, v. 218, p. 850-870, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.015
Duca, V. E.; Souza, R.C.; Ferreira, P. G. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Simulation of time series using periodic gamma autoregressive models. International Transactions in Operational Research, v. 26, p. 1315-1338. 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/itor.12593
Bravo, R. Z. B.; Leiras, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. The use of UAVs in humanitarian relief: an application of POMDP-based methodology for finding victims. Production and Operations Management, v. 28 (2), p. 421-440, 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.12930
Mareth, T.; Scavarda, L. F.; Thome, A. M. T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Wickstrom, T. A. Analysing the determinants of technical efficiency of dairy farms in Brazil. The International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, v. 68 (2), p. 464-481, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-06-2018-0234
Dantas , L. F.; Hamacher, S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Barbosa, S. D. J.; Viegas, F. Predicting Patient No-show Behavior: a Study in a Bariatric Clinic. Obesity Surgery, v. 29 (1), p. 40-47, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11695-018-3480-9
Silva, F. L .C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. A bottom-up Bayesian extension for long term electricity consumption forecasting. Energy, v. 167, p. 198-210, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.201
Huang, X.; Maçaira, P. M.; Hassani, H. Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Dhesi, G. Hydrological Natural Inflow and Climate Variables: Time and Frequency Causality Analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, v. 516, p. 480-495, 2019.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2018.09.079
2018
Russo, J. C.; Dias, M. A.; Barreira da Silva Rocha, A.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Renegotiation in Public-Private Partnerships: An Incentive Mechanism Approach. Group Decision and Negotiation, v. 27 (6), p. 949-979, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10726-018-9586-6
Dantas, L.; Fleck, J. L.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Hamacher, S. No-shows in Appointment Scheduling - a Systematic Literature Review. Health Policy, v. 122, p. 412-421, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2018.02.002
Pinto, L. P. F.; Silva, H. L. A.; Kurya, S. P.; Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Cruz, A. G.; Esmerino, E. A.; Freitas, M. Q. Understanding perceptions and beliefs about different types of fermented milks through the application of projective techniques: A case study using Haire's shopping list and free word association. Journal of Sensory Studies, v. 33, p. e12326, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joss.12326
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.. Forecasting mid-long term electric energy consumption through bagging ARIMA and exponential smoothing methods. Energy, v. 144, p. 776-788, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.049
Silva, F. L .C.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Lourenço, P. M.; Calili, R. F. A bottom-up methodology for long term electricity consumption forecasting of an industrial sector - Application to pulp and paper sector in Brazil. Energy, v. 144, p. 1107-1118, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.078
Dantas, T. M. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Improving time series forecasting: An approach combining bootstrap aggregation, clusters and exponential smoothing. International Journal of Forecasting, v. 34, p. 748-761, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.05.006
Maçaira, P. M.; Tavares Thome, A. M; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Carvalho Ferrer, A. L. Time series analysis with explanatory variables: A systematic literature review. Environmental Modelling & Software, v. 107, p. 199-209, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.06.004
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Padrões de Variabilidade em Vazões Afluentes a Usinas Hidrelétricas e Associações com Massas de Ar. Cadernos do IME. Série Estatística, v. 43, p. 18-38, 2018.DOI: https://doi.org/10.12957/cadest.2017.31363
2017
Mareth, T.; Thome, A. M. T.; Scavarda, L. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Technical efficiency in dairy farms. The International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, v. 66, p. 380-404, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-09-2015-0131
Thome, A. M. T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Silva, D. L. Framework de Value Stream Mapping a partir de uma Revisão Sistemática da Literatura. Produto e Produção, v. 17, p. 19-40, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.22456/1983-8026.67249
Dantas, T. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Repolho, H. M. V. Air Transportation Demand Forecast through Bagging Holt Winters methods. Journal of Air Transport Management, v. 59, p. 116-123, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.12.006
Russo, J. C.; Samanez, C. P.; Dias, M. A. G.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Concessão do Complexo Maracanã: Análise do Comportamento Oportunista por meio da Teoria dos Jogos. Espacios (CARACAS), v. 38, p. 28, 2017.DOI: not available.
De Oliveira, E. M.; Cunha, F. A. F. S.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Samanez, C. P.. Dynamic relationships between crude oil prices and socially responsible investing in Brazil: evidence for linear and non-linear causality. Applied Economics (Print), v. 49, p. 2125-2140, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234695
Maçaira, P. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Ferreira, P. G. C.; Almeida, F. V. N.; Souza, R. C. Introducing a causal PAR(p) model to evaluate the influence of climate variables in reservoir inflows: a Brazilian case. Pesquisa Operacional (Impresso), v. 37, p. 107-128, 2017.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2017.037.01.0107
Condeixa, L. D.; Bastos, L. S. L.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Barbosa, S. D. J. Wind speed time series analysis using TBATS decomposition and moving blocks bootstrap. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, v. 05, p. 1750010, 2017.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2335680417500107
Aguilar Vargas, S.; Castro Souza, R.; Pessanha, J. F. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Hybrid methodology for modeling short-term wind power generation using conditional Kernel density estimation and singular spectrum analysis. DYNA (MEDELLÍN), v. 84, p. 145-154, 2017.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15446/dyna.v84n201.59541
2016
Mareth, T.; Thome, A. M. T.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Scavarda, L. F . Systematic review and meta-regression analysis of technical efficiency in dairy farms. The International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, v. 65, p. 279-301, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-02-2015-0027
Calili, R. F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. ; Souza, R. C; Araújo, T. G.; Ferreira, P. G. C . Proposta de um método empírico de ajuste de séries temporais influenciadas pelos ofensores calendário e temperatura. Gestão & Produção, v. 23, p. 787-797, 2016.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0104-530x-1868-15
Esteves, G. R.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Antunes, C. H.; Souza, R. C. An overview of electricity prepayment experiences and the Brazilian new regulatory framework. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, v. 54, p. 704-722, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.10.002
Torrini, F.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C; Pessanha, J. F. M. Long term electricity consumption forecast in Brazil: A fuzzy logic approach. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, p. 18-27, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2015.12.002
Maçaira, P. M. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Another look at SSA.Boot forecast accuracy. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, v. 04, p. 1650008, 2016.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2335680416500083
Maçaira, P. M.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Forecasting Brazil's electricity consumption with Pegels Exponential Smoothing Techniques. Revista IEEE América Latina, v. 14, p. 1252-1258, 2016.DOI: 10.1109/TLA.2016.7459606
2015
Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R.C. ; Marcato, A. L. M. . A time series model for building scenarios trees applied to stochastic optimisation. International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, v. 67, p. 315-323, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2014.11.031
Marcato, A. L. M.; Castro, C. M. B.; Souza, R. C.; Silva Júnior, I. C. ; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Ramos, T. P. The generation of synthetic inflows via bootstrap to increase the energy efficiency of long-term hydrothermal dispatches. Electric Power Systems Research (Print), v. 124, p. 33-46, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2015.02.014
Ferreira, P. G. C.; Cyrino Oliveira; F. L.; Souza, R. C. The stochastic effects on the Brazilian Electrical Sector. Energy Economics, v. 49, p. 328-335, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.004
Maçaira, P. M; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L; Souza, R. C. Forecasting natural inflow energy series with multi-channel singular spectrum analysis and bootstrap techniques. International Journal of Energy and Statistics, v. 03, p. 1550005, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2335680415500052
Pessanha, J. F. M.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Souza, R. C. Teaching Statistical Methods in Engineering Courses Through Wind Power Data. Revista de Ensino de Engenharia, v. 34, p. 85-92, 2015.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15552/2236-0158/abenge.v34n1p85-92
Maçaira, P. M.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Modelling and Forecasting the Residential Electricity Consumption in Brazil with Pegels Exponential Smoothing Techniques. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 328-335, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.057
Esteves, G. R. T.; Bastos, B. Q; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Calili, R. F.; Souza. R. C. Long Term Electricity Forecast: A Systematic Review. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 549-558, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.041
Silva, F. L. C.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L.; Lourenço, P. M.; Fagundes, W. C. Forecast of Long-term Electricity Consumption of the Industrial Sub-sector of Pulp and Paper in Brazil Using a Bottom-up Approach. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 514-522, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.028
Bastos, B. Q.; Souza, R. C.; Cyrino Oliveira, F. L. Bottom-up Long-term Forecasting of Brazilian Commercial Class Electricity Consumption: First Results. Procedia Computer Science, v. 55, p. 388-394, 2015.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2015.07.088
2014
Oliveira, F. L. C.; Ferreira, P. G.; Souza, R. C. A Parsimonious Bootstrap Method to Model Natural Inflow Energy Series. Mathematical Problems in Engineering (Print), v. 2014, p. 1-10, 2014.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/158689
2013
Souza, R. C.; Pessanha, J. F. M.; Oliveira, F. L. C. A residential consumer payment capability index based on fuzzy logic inference. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, v. 25, p. 649-657, 2013.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/IFS-120672
Oliveira, F. C.; Ferreira, V. C. P. ; Costa, D. V. F. ; Oliveira, F. L. C. A Percepção dos Servidores sobre a Avaliação de Desempenho no Setor Público. Conhecimento Interativo, v. 7, p. 61-80, 2013.DOI: not available.
2012
Souza, R. C.; Marcato, A. L, M.; Dias, B. H.; Oliveira, F. L. C. Optimal Operation of Hydrothermal Systems with Hydrological Scenario Generation through Bootstrap and Periodic Autoregressive Models. European Journal of Operational Research, v. 222, p. 606-615, 2012.DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.05.020
2011
OLIVEIRA, F. L. C.; Souza, R. C. A new approach to identify the structural order of par (p) models. Pesquisa Operacional, v. 31, p. 487-498, 2011.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0101-74382011000300005
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