Finance Economics and Econometrics Lab

Seminar Series

2021 - 2022


 

Speaker: Caner Canyakmaz (Ozyegin U).

Title: “Human and Machine: The Impact of Machine Input

on Decision-Making Under Cognitive Limitations”

joint with Tamer Boyacı and Francis de Vericourt (both ESTM Berlin).

Date: Thursday, May 19th at 12h30 (Paris Time).

Abstract: The rapid adoption of AI technologies by many organizations has recently raised concerns that AI may eventually replace humans in certain tasks. In fact, when used in collaboration, machines can significantly enhance the complementary strengths of humans. Indeed, because of their immense computing power, machines can perform specific tasks with incredible accuracy. In contrast, human decision-makers (DM) are flexible and adaptive but constrained by their limited cognitive capacity. This paper investigates how machine-based predictions may affect the decision process and outcomes of a human DM. We study the impact of these predictions on decision accuracy, the propensity and nature of decision errors as well as the DM’s cognitive efforts. To account for both flexibility and limited cognitive capacity, we model the human decision-making process in a rational inattention framework. In this setup, the machine provides the DM with accurate but sometimes incomplete information at no cognitive cost. We fully characterize the impact of machine input on the human decision process in this framework. We show that machine input always improves the overall accuracy of human decisions, but may nonetheless increase the propensity of certain types of errors (such as false positives). The machine can also induce the human to exert more cognitive efforts, even though its input is highly accurate. Interestingly, this happens when the DM is most cognitively constrained, for instance, because of time pressure or multitasking. Synthesizing these results, we pinpoint the decision environments in which human-machine collaboration is likely to be most beneficial. Our main insights hold for different information and reward structures, and when the DM mistrust the machine.

You will find the paper attached. Bio: Here is a link to the speaker’s website

https://sites.google.com/view/canercanyakmaz

You are cordially invited to participate to the seminar, which will take place in Room 104, Bosco building. For those who will not be in the room, please find the zoom link below:

https://tbs-education-fr.zoom.us/j/85490856559?pwd=U0VHWTN1ZFFkM2h3cjU1ckhDRHE0Zz09

For more information, please contact: Pierre Mella-Barral p.mella-barral@tbs-education.fr