Week 3

Capability of predicting water level using Exponential smoothing was studied.

Result of the model using exponetial smoothing where smoothing constant is 0.8

Magnified plot of the above graph is shown below

The root mean square error of this prediction is 36.7854 cm. So considering the linear regression model and the ARIMA models the performance of this model is poor.

For the convenience of reference, work done related to exponential smoothing using data obtain using Rivernet website also added to this page