Lawrence is as close to a generational prospect as they come. A 3 year starter, national champion, and all the intangibles. Lawrence looks to be a long-term fix for the Jaguars at QB. His best traits are his ability to make plays on the run, his athleticism moving in the pocket, and making smart decisions taking care of the ball. The *only* physical thing you can nitpick is deep third velocity, but he can still hit guys in stride 50 yards down field. His offense was built around the RPO, and didn't ask Lawrence to do much beyond making a correct read and executing the play, which was keyed on in his only 2 losses. Lawrence is the best QB in this class, and maybe the last 5 classes. He'll have a plethora of weapons and the offense will run through him. He has virtually no ceiling, and his talent should give him a high floor, especially with rushing upside. Doubters are mostly looking for hot takes, Lawrence is the real deal. Generational? No, but there isn't much more you can ask for in a QB prospect.
Fields is a very similar prospect to Lawrence. Almost every other year he is a clear #1. A team leader who makes exceptional throws at all levels, and adds in incredible toughness and athleticism. I can give plenty of comparisons but Russell Wilson is probably the closest. Fields should be productive from day 1, as he is a great passer with the ability to rush. He doesn't move like Lamar, but he's extremely athletic. With a rushing floor and elite passing skills, Fields looks like a safe bet at QB in SF leagues. The concerns about him being slow in his progressions is nonsense, Ohio State is built on that fundamental concept of letting their pass catchers develop their routes. Fields has great pocket presence and is able to confidently make throws while getting hit. His moonshot throw is awesome, and he consistently makes smart decisions on pulling for a run or making a check down throw to keep the drive alive. It's no more than prospect fatigue for him to not be #2, Fields is a tier above the others.
Zach Wilson has all the upside in the world. Watching strictly highlight film, you would think he is a guaranteed NFL MVP. However, that is not every play. His first 2 seasons as a starter, he played 18 games and tossed only 23 TDs at a 64% completion rate. In 2020, he played 12 games and threw for 33 TDs. He is the definition of a one-hit wonder. The upside is there, and he is absolutely worth a look as a franchise QB, but he falls a clear tier below Fields and Lawrence. There are arguments to be made about the level of competition, but you cannot overlook the incredible season that he had. I'd like to see him drive throws more from his legs, but he seems to have a cannon with a very quick release. His improvisation is nice, but he seems to collapse and make terrible plays when faced with pressure. I see some indecisiveness in his game in these moments, which will come back to haunt him at the NFL speed. Lots of throws to wide open WRs which tells me he's looking for and finding the right pass, but his accuracy consistently leaves a bit to be desired when pass-catchers have tight coverage.
(Why are people putting him ahead of Fields? We don't know.)
Jones is a very interesting prospect. While he doesn't look like a gunslinger and has limited mobility, he has pinpoint accuracy and incredible pocket presence. He led one of the most dominant all time college football offenses to a National Championship. For fantasy purposes, limit expectations. He will be a better real-life QB than fantasy. His best asset is the ability to get the ball in the hands of his playmakers through extremely tight windows. Jones is worth a flier, but will probably have a similar fantasy return as Tua did this past season, primarily as a smart game manager who takes care of the ball. Mac Jones could have serious upside on a team with already established skill players with YAC ability, best cases: SF, DEN, CAR.
Lance is quite an interesting prospect, we saw a showcase game in 2020 but nothing else since 2019, which is a scary thought when selecting a franchise QB. Lance is an elite athlete who would be a fantastic running back. He can also throw. At NDSU, emphasis was on Lance's rushing skillset, in 2019 he had 169 rushes compared to 287 passes. For fantasy purposes, a rushing floor is fantastic, and that is why he gets a nice bump. He has excellent game sense, in making the smart play, whether it be his decision to run the ball or to make a certain throw. His ceiling is as high as anyone, but it's a shot in the dark in selecting an FCS prospect who only played one game since 2019. He likely will fall into QB 4 or 5 in SF leagues, which is fantastic value.
Anything after these 'Big 5' QBs in this class is up in the air. The top 5 here will likely start from day 1, and while they have different playstyles and strengths, they should net decent fantasy production early on in their rookie contracts. The rest will probably have to sit at least a year, and that's if teams give them a shot at all.
Trask was deemed the 'next Joe Burrow' after his successful 2019 season, but suffered a fall from grace in 2020. He has impressive size at 6'5", 240 lbs, and plays like it. His biggest strength is making intelligent throws and attacking all levels of the field while remaining on schedule. He is also used for designed QB runs. Trask shows decent but not elite arm strength and loses accuracy past the intermediate level of the field. Despite his use on designed runs, Trask is more on the immobile side. He struggles to extend plays and escape rushers with his legs. The biggest improvement Trask can make at the next level is to fix his footwork in order to solve his deep throw problem. If he goes to a team where he can sit and learn for a year, he will be an excellent add. Trask could sneak in as a late day 1 pick in the NFL draft.
Mond has all the physical traits you want in a QB. He has a big arm, pocket awareness, good timing, and speed to escape rushers. His biggest weakness is his reads, as he can sometimes get stuck on the first target he looks at for far too long. He does hit his receivers in stride and will not make them wait for the ball. However, Mond is streaky, and will need to be more consistent if he wants to start in the NFL. I do believe he has the ability to start and win some games, if only for a season, a-la Gardner Minshew. If he fixes his inconsistencies, he could be a bargain for an NFL team looking for an option at QB. Look for him to sit for a year before a team potentially gives him a shot.
Book is not the uber athletic quarterback a lot of teams look for these days. He is, however, a great field and game manager and a very instinctive QB. He is patient with his receivers on routes and keeps his cool even under heavy pass rush. He also has the ability to scramble to escape the pocket. His best throws are in the short to intermediate area of the field, and he has great vision. In this way, his game is similar to (post-prime) Drew Brees. His biggest strength is his ability to improvise and play 'backyard football', but sometime he over relies on this. His deep ball accuracy and velocity could also use some work. He will most likely end up as a long term backup unless he ends up with a team that doesn't mind ignoring the vertical passing game.
Newman is a terrific athlete with solid passing fundamentals, but lacks the experience and intangibles to be a starting QB in the NFL. He can get stuck on his first read, but does spread the ball around. His timing is good and he hits his receivers with spirals every time. His biggest weaknesses are QB related (sounds bad, I know) and to be successful he will need to work on his progressions, decision making, and field vision. He is a high upside prospect but comes with little expectation. Expect a team to take a dart throw on him and make him sit a few years, but he will likely be overshadowed in upcoming years by higher rated younger players.
Mills is a good but not great QB. He has a good arm with great accuracy, some athleticism, but also doesn't have much experience, which scares me. He also hasn't shown a ton of improvement in his college career, where he's struggled with turnovers and making reads. I see him as nothing more than a backup, he doesn't display any elite traits that would warrant him getting consistent NFL starts.
Houston gives him an opportunity to fix the lack of reps, in what seems to be a throwaway season.