Publications
Journal articles
(student and postdoctoral advisees underlined)
Submitted
Van de Koot, E., Byrne, M. P. and Woollings, T.: Tropical cloud feedbacks estimated from observed multi-decadal trends, Journal of Climate, submitted.
Byrne, M. P., Hegerl, G., Scheff, J. et al: Theory and the future of land-climate science, revised.
Lambert, F. H., Allan, R. P., Behrangi, A. , Byrne, M. P. et al: Future changes in the regional water cycle and their impact on societies, submitted.
2024
Pendergrass, A. G., Byrne, M. P., Watt-Meyer, O., Maher, P. and Webb, M. J.: Impact of ITCZ width on global climate: ITCZ-MIP, Geoscientific Model Development, in press (doi: 10.5194/gmd-2024-17).
Byrne, M. P., Boos, W. R. and Hu, S.: Elevation-dependent warming: observations, models, and energetic mechanisms, Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5, 763-777.
Editor's choice highlight paper
Chaudhri, A. K., Byrne, M. P. and Scott, R. K.: A moist-thermal quasigeostrophic model for monsoon depressions, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, in press (doi: 10.1002/qj.4723).
2023
Adam, O., Shourky Wolff, M., Garfinkel, C. I. and Byrne, M. P.: Increased Uncertainty in Projections of Precipitation and Evaporation Due To Wet-Get-Wetter/Dry-Get-Drier Biases, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL106365.
Hill, P., Holloway, C., Byrne, M. P., Lambert, F.H. and Webb, M.: Climate models underestimate dynamic cloud feedbacks in the tropics, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL104573.
Burke, A., Innes, H.M., Crick, L., Anchukaitis, K.J., Byrne, M. P. et al: High sensitivity of summer temperatures to stratospheric sulfur loading from volcanoes in the Northern Hemisphere, Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences, 120, e2221810120.
Keil, P., Schmidt, H., Stevens, B., Byrne, M. P., Segura, H. and Putrasahan, D.: Tropical tropospheric warming pattern explained by shifts in convective heating in the Matsuno-Gill model, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149, 2678-2695.
Mackie, A. and Byrne, M. P.: Effects of circulation on tropical cloud feedbacks in high-resolution simulations, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003516.
Adam, O., Liberty-Levi, N., Byrne, M. P. and Birner, T.: Reduced Tropical Climate Land Area under Global Warming, Geophysical Research Letters, 6, e2022GL102546.
2022
Matthews T., Byrne M. P., Horton R. M. et al: Latent Heat Must be Visible in Climate Communications, WIREs Climate Change, 13, e779.
2021
Byrne, M. P.: Amplified warming of extreme temperatures over tropical land, Nature Geoscience (doi: 10.1038/s41561-021-00828-8)
Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P. et al: Monsoons Climate Change Assessment, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102, E1–19 (doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1)
2020
Byrne, M. P. and Zanna, L.: Radiative effects of clouds and water vapor on an axisymmetric monsoon, Journal of Climate, 33, 8789–8811.
Allan, R. P., Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P. et al: Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472, 49-75.
2019
Donohoe, A., Atwood, A. R. and Byrne, M. P.: Controls on the width of tropical precipitation and its contraction under global warming, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 9958–9967.
Byrne, M. P. and Thomas, R.: Dynamics of ITCZ width: Ekman processes, non-Ekman processes and links to sea-surface temperature, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 76, 2869–2884.
2018
Byrne, M. P., Pendergrass, A. G., Rapp, A. D. and Wodzicki, K. R.: Response of the intertropical convergence zone to climate change: location, width and strength, Current Climate Change Reports, 4, 355–370.
Byrne, M. P. and O'Gorman, P. A.: Trends in continental temperature and humidity directly linked to ocean warming, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115, 4,863–4,868.
Ibarra, D. E., Oster, J. E., Winnick, M. J., Caves, J. K., Byrne, M. P. and Chamberlain, C. P.: Warm and cold wet-states in the western United States during the Pliocene-Pleistocene, Geology, 46, 355–358.
Byrne, M. P. and Schneider, T.: Atmospheric dynamics feedback: concept, simulations and climate implications, Journal of Climate, 31, 3,249–3,264.
2016
Byrne, M. P. and Schneider, T.: Narrowing of the ITCZ in a warming climate: Physical mechanisms, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11,350–11,357.
Byrne, M. P. and O'Gorman, P. A.: Understanding decreases in land relative humidity with global warming: conceptual model and GCM simulations, Journal of Climate, 29, 9,045–9,061.
Wills, R. C., Byrne, M. P. and Schneider, T.: Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 4,640–4,649.
Byrne, M. P. and Schneider, T.: Energetic constraints on the width of the intertropical convergence zone, Journal of Climate, 29, 4,709–4,721.
2015
Byrne, M. P. and O'Gorman, P. A.: The response of precipitation minus evapotranspiration to climate warming: Why the "wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier" scaling does not hold over land, Journal of Climate 28, 8,078–8,092.
2013
Byrne, M. P. and O'Gorman, P. A.: Link between land-ocean warming contrast and surface relative humidities in simulations with coupled climate models, Geophysical Research Letters 40, 5,223–5,227.
Byrne, M. P. and O'Gorman, P. A.: Land-ocean warming contrast over a wide range of climates: convective quasi-equilibrium theory and idealized simulations, Journal of Climate 26, 4,000–4,016.
2012
O'Gorman, P. A., Allan, R. P., Byrne, M. P. and Previdi, M.: Energetic constraints on precipitation under climate change, Surveys in Geophysics 33, 585–608.
Miscellanea
Byrne, M. P., Hegerl, G. and Scheff, J.: Report on the Carnegie Research Workshop on 'Continental Climate Change' (6-8th June 2022, University of St Andrews)
PhD thesis
Byrne, M. P. (2015). Land-ocean contrasts under climate change, PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.