Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)
The code format for expected meteorological conditions within a 5 SM radius from the center of an airport’s runway complex typically for the next 24 hours
Developed for aviation weather
Reported by every airport four times a day at 23:40, 06:40, 11:40 and 17:40 UTC
Example:
TAF KJFK 162005Z 1620/1724 29015G24KT P6SM SCT035
FM162300 28010G18KT P6SM FEW035
FM170000 28010KT P6SM FEW240
FM171500 27014G22KT P6SM SCT045
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
Four-letter Station ID
Date & Time
Wind
Visibility
Present Weather
Clouds
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
2 types of reports:
TAF: standard report at standard time
TAF AMD: Issued when the current TAF no longer adequately describes the ongoing weather, or forecasters feel the TAF isn’t representative of the current or expected weather
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
The UTC valid period of the forecast is the beginning date & hour and the ending date & hour
Valid periods beginning at 00:00 UTC are indicated as 00
Valid periods ending at 00:00 UTC are indicated as 24
If a forecast is amended, corrected, or delayed, the valid period may be for less than 24 hours
The TAF is valid until a new TAF is issued
NIL means the TAFs were issued when the location was closed
NIL AMD SKED AFT (closing time) Z is added to the end of the forecast if the location is operated on a part-time basis (not 24 hours)
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 VRB12G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
Variations in wind direction can be reported as: "VRB"
Replaces the wind direction, as it is impossible to forecast the wind direction due to convective activity or low wind speeds
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
The only difference between METARs and TAFs regarding visibility is a potential “P”
A “P” before indicates that the visibility is more than six statute miles
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020 WS020/07040KT
Wind shear (WS) is the forecast of non-convective low-level winds (up to 2000 feet) above the surface
Follows the sky conditions category if it is expected
Includes the height of the new wind followed by the wind direction and wind speed at the indicated height
The height of the wind is in hundreds of feet AGL up to 2,000 feet
Example above: wind at 2,000 ft AGL with a wind direction of 70º and a 40-knot wind
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM –SHSN OVC020
LINE 1706/1709 CONDITIONS THAT CHANGE
There are four types of additional lines: PROBABILITY, FROM, BECOMING, & TEMPORARY
The first two digits are the date and the last two digits are the beginning hour and ending hour of the change period
The four digits in a FROM after the date are the hour and minute where the change is expected to begin
Conditions that can change are winds, visibility, weather, and sky condition
The omitted conditions are carried over from the previous time group
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM –SHSN OVC020
PROB30 1705/1710 VRB25G40KT 5SM –TSRA BKN070
The probability group is used to forecast a low probability (30% chance) of a thunderstorm or precipitation event and its associated weather and/or obstruction elements
PROB40 can also be used with a 40% chance
Example above: Between 5:00 and 10:00 UTC on the 17th, there’s a 30% chance winds will be variable at 25 kts gusting to 40 kts with reduced visibility down to 5 sm and thunderstorms with light rain, along with a broken cloud layer at 7000 ft AGL
Notes: cannot be used in the first 9 hours of the TAFs valid period and the time period covered should be 6 hours or less
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
FM170200 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
Used when a rapid change, usually occurring in less than one hour in prevailing conditions, is expected
Typically, the rapid change is associated with a completely new set of conditions (ie: warm/cold front passage)
The change is expected to occur and continue until the next change or until the end of the current forecast
Example above: From the 17th at 2:00 UTC until 18:00 UTC, the wind direction will be variable at 5 kts with visibility greater than 6 sm and skies clearing
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
BECMG 1620/1622 12010KT BKN020
Used when a gradual change in conditions is expected over a longer period of time, usually two hours
The gradual change will occur at an unspecified time within this period of time
Example above: Beginning at 20:00 UTC and lasting until 22:00 UTC on the 16th, the wind will be 120° at 10 knots with broken clouds at 2,000 ft AGL
TAF KCDC 161836Z 1619/1718 35012G20KT P6SM -SHSN OVC020
TEMPO 1621/1705 2SM BR HZ
Used for any conditions which are expected to last for generally less than an hour at a time (occasional) and are expected to occur during less than half the time stated
Only the changing conditions are included
Example above: Beginning at 21:00 UTC on the 16th and lasting until 5:00 UTC on the 17th, occasional visibility down to 2 sm with mist and haze
TAF KPWM 162320Z 1700/1724 31008KT P6SM SCT035
FM170300 27005KT P6SM FEW030
Four Letter Station ID: KPWM (Portland, Maine)
Date/Time: 16th day of the month/23:20 UTC
Forecast Period: 00:00 to 24:00 UTC on the 17th of November
Winds: NW at 8 knots
Visibility: 6 or more statute miles
Clouds: Scattered clouds at 3,500 ft AGL
From Category: Valid from the 17th at 03:00 UTC
Winds: W at 5 knots
Visibility: 6 or more statute miles
Clouds: Few clouds at 3,000 ft AGL
KGFK 232133Z 2322/2418 VRB04KT P6SM VCSH OVC018
FM232300 VRB03KT P6SM BKN050
Four Letter Station ID: KGFK (Grand Forks)
Date/time: 23rd day of the month/21:33 UTC
Forecast Period: 22 to 23 UTC on the 24th day of August
Winds: Variable at 4 knots
Visibility: 6 or more statute miles
Clouds: Overcast at 1,800 ft AGL
Weather: Showers in the vicinity
From Category: Valid from the 23rd at 23 UTC
Winds: Variable at 3 knots
Visibility: 6 or more statute miles
Clouds: Broken at 5,000 ft AGL